Kelly will be one of those classic stretch 4's that gets drafted so teams can go small with four three point shooters. A lot like Bonner and Ryan Anderson. He's a second-rounder.
I'd agree. I have a hard time seeing Kelly being worth spending a 1st round pick on. Maybe a very late 1st, but that's it.
As a college player, Kelly is fantastic. He's the difference between this Duke team being good (without him), and great (with him). Kelly has a high bb-iq, solid fundementals, and terrific shooting range. He's a solid rebounder and decent shot blocker as well.
As far as how well those skills transfer to the NBA, I'd say some will some won't. The shooting and rebounding will easily transfer. He'll likely have trouble on defense though, as he seriously lacks NBA atheleticism.
Personally, I'd be thrilled if the C's could get their hands on him with an early 2nd pick.