Boston needs to just win 2 out of the next 5 games. Mavs need to win 4/5 so there is that.
I feel it would be a disaster even with a hobbled KP for us to lose 4/5.
Agreed.
I'd see it as close to a 50-50 if we were to start and play the whole series without Porzingis. But with a 2-0 advantage and needing to only win 2 out of 5, it would take a collapse of epic proportions to lose the series from here.
Our odds of winning from here have to be above 90%. Maybe above 95%.
I agree but thinking about the suns/bucks finals from a few years ago gives me nightmares. Suns were a 1 seed front running soft team that made it through an injury riddled west and won the first 2 games in the finals and all there fans were ?sUnS iN 4? and then the best player just completely took over and the suns lost in 6.
1- we aren't that soft
2 - we have better defenders for Luka / Kyrie than the Suns had for Greek
How much does Luka have to take over for them to win? He had +30 points in the first two games. Do you expect him to drop 40-50 each game for the rest of the series? I don't.
I think he's due for a 40-burger in the upcoming game. C's tend to make opposing players look like Michael Jordan for some reason.
It?s going to take multiple 40, maybe even a 50 burger to get back in this series but I think he?s capable of it?he?s played pretty terrible but still put up 30
The biggest issue with him is he gets noticeably gassed by the 2nd half, probably due to having to exert so much because the C's are defending really well and also, the C's are actually attacking him defensively which none of the West teams seemed to do. As great as his Game 2 first half was, he only had 9 points in the 2nd half with 3 made shots, all while getting torched and blown by defensively.
I guess he could go for 40+ in a game, but will it be efficient and also, is he still making others do better in that same game as well?
I think the wild card is Kyrie. If Kyrie starts to shoot efficiently and put up 22+ PPG regularly the next few games, Dallas can absolutely win a game or two. I think we can accept that Doncic is gonna pretty much average 30/6/6+ most nights regardless win or lose.