I haven't seen anything this year from this team that suggests they have a switch to flip. Too many nights of lackadaisical or inept play to get my hopes up. Even though they've won the last 2 games, it was against teams the should have beaten more handily and it was only a couple of weeks ago they experienced a bad 4-game losing streak.
on a positive note, Hayward's been improving steadily the past few weeks and Horford has turned up his level of play in the playoffs so I think regardless of whether they have HCA against Indy, I think they make the next round. with HCA, I could see them taking it in as little as 5 games but without it, I don't see anything less than 6 games and possibly having to gut out a win on the road in a game 7.
barring an unforeseen gelling of the team in the first round, I suspect that first round success will be the limit of their success this season.