First of all I would still consider Cavs favourites in a playoff-series. I think they can up their game and they will do it in the playoffs, but I sure hope not!
I think Raptors and us are a really close series, but if we can get the best out of Monroe and get our injured players back I consider us 55-45% favourites.
Besides that I believe that we will have a tough matchup in the first round. 76'ers and Pistons can both threaten us with their impressive bigs, but I think Monroe will give us the edge and level the big man duel, and then we will win due to our guards and wings.