Author Topic: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG  (Read 3684 times)

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Re: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG
« Reply #15 on: July 12, 2017, 10:18:04 AM »

Offline pearljammer10

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I'd go: PPg not minutes

IT 25/Rozier 4
Brown 11/ Smart 8
Hayward 22/
Morris 11/Tatum 8
Horford 14/Baynes 3

106 per game... still a bit high

Re: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG
« Reply #16 on: July 12, 2017, 10:21:11 AM »

Offline gouki88

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I'd go: PPg not minutes

IT 25/Rozier 4
Brown 11/ Smart 8
Hayward 22/
Morris 11/Tatum 8
Horford 14/Baynes 3

106 per game... still a bit high
Crowder?

I tried to do it but I also ended up with a team dropping way too many points, but maybe that's just what we're going to be  ;D
'23 Historical Draft: Orlando Magic.

PG: Terry Porter (90-91) / Steve Francis (00-01)
SG: Joe Dumars (92-93) / Jeff Hornacek (91-92) / Jerry Stackhouse (00-01)
SF: Brandon Roy (08-09) / Walter Davis (78-79)
PF: Terry Cummings (84-85) / Paul Millsap (15-16)
C: Chris Webber (00-01) / Ralph Sampson (83-84) / Andrew Bogut (09-10)

Re: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG
« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2017, 10:22:00 AM »

Offline ETNCeltics

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Who knows how the rotation will shake out, but we saw what JB did last year with limited minutes, and it doesn't take a genius to see that  Tatum is way ahead of where JB was a year ago. I think they'll try to use JT as a stretch 4 when the defensive matchup allows it.

I'd say he'll get about 20 minutes a game, and I'd expect him to put up 8 and 4, or thereabouts. 12 seems high unless he's getting 25+ minutes, and he's going to have to play really well to get that kind of time.

Re: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG
« Reply #18 on: July 12, 2017, 11:16:32 AM »

Offline bdm860

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Remember every player doesn't play every game.  So it's okay if the numbers come out a little high.  Using last year as a baseline and subbing in major additions and subtractions, this is what I see:

Last season:
Isaiah Thomas: 28.9
Avery Bradley: 16.3
Jae Crowder: 13.9
Al Horford: 14
Marcus Smart: 10.6
Kelly Olynyk: 9
Amir Johnson: 6.5
Jaylen Brown: 6.6
Terry Rozier: 5.5
Jonas Jerebko: 3.8
Gerald Green: 5.6
Tyler Zeller: 3.5
James Young: 2.3
Jordan Mickey: 1.5
Demetrius Jackson: 2


So we sub in Hayward for Bradley, but also take 4 points from Thomas to give to Hayward.  Also maybe Rozier gets a few more minutes and Thomas gets some more rest as the team now isn't as dependent on Thomas for scoring, so let's take a couple more points from Thomas to give Rozier.

Isaiah Thomas: 28.9 - 4 - 2
Gordon Hayward: 16.3 + 4
Terry Rozier: 5.5 + 2


Similarly subbing in Morris for Olynyk, and Baynes for Amir, but take 2 of Amir's points and give to Morris, because I don't expect Baynes to score much.

Morris: 9 + 2
Baynes: 6.5 - 2


I think Brown's role will increase, while Crowder's decreases:

Jae Crowder: 13.9 - 3
Jaylen Brown: 6.6 + 3
 
Tatum gets a combination of Jerebko and Greens points and minutes (but Green only played half the time so his ppg is a little inflated).  They scored a combined  561 points.  Assume Tatum plays 78 games.

Jayson Tatum: 561/78 = 7.2

Horford and Smart probably stay the same.

Now when the team added Horford, they went from scoring 105.7 ppg (5th in the league) to 107 (7th in the league).  Warriors adding Durant went from 114.9 (1st) to 115.9 (1st). So maybe there's another point or two we can add in for the team just improving.  I'll give it back to Thomas (28.9 - 4 - 2 + 1).  So I see:

Isaiah Thomas: 23.9
Gordon Hayward: 20.3
Jae Crowder: 10.9
Al Horford: 14
Marcus Smart: 10.6
Marcus Morris: 11
Aron Baynes: 4.5
Jaylen Brown: 9.6
Terry Rozier: 7.5
Jayson Tatum: 7.2

With everybody else (Yabu, Zizic, Theis, etc.) getting the Zeller, Young, Mickey, etc. production with limited games played.


After 18 months with their Bigs, the Littles were: 46% less likely to use illegal drugs, 27% less likely to use alcohol, 52% less likely to skip school, 37% less likely to skip a class

Re: Tatum 25 MPG. 12 ppg 6 RPG
« Reply #19 on: July 12, 2017, 11:58:24 AM »

Offline Sophomore

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Remember every player doesn't play every game.  So it's okay if the numbers come out a little high. 

TP - Yes! You beat me to this.