Well now I wish we had done something at the deadline
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ya, but you can't bank on injuries
I'm still happy we didn't trade the big assets
Its not about banking on injuries. It's about doing everything you can possibly do to try and be as competitive as you possibly can, and going in with a winners attitude rather then being complacent and overvaluing your assets.
Nobody goes from a bottom 5 lottery team to a championship contender overnight. It takes multiple phases of rebuilding.
First you start by trying you're best to sell high on the assets you have, to trade short term assets for long term assets and flexibility - you aim becomes development, not winning and Ainge did that as well as I've ever seen any gm do.
Then you reach the point where you start being really competitive, and at this point you stay building the team with the aim is winning games. Ainge apparently missed this school and somehow got his brain frozen in rebuild mode.
You dont get anywhere by sitting idle. Lebron learnt that when The Heat got beat in the finals by an old Spurs team behind young Kawhi Leonard's mvp caliber play. The Warriors learnt it last season when they shocked the world by losibg to the Cavs, so they added Durant. Thats why Lebron is on a team with the highest payroll and is still whining about them not having enough. He knows they you can't stand still id your want to be competitive.
Boston could have added Demarcus Cousins, and right now we'd have been seen as having a serious shot at a championship. They could have added Ibaka while giving up no assets of significant value, and even that would have taken us one significant step closer to being able to compete with the Cavs and maybe make the finals.
Being competitive is beneficial. Danny doesn't want to sacrifice assets and cap flexibility, but what good is cap flexibility if no players want to sign with you as their first choice?
If we made the East finals last year, and pushed the Cavs to 6 games, then maybe Durant would have signed here based on the thought that maybe adding him is all this team needs to contend for a title.
But we didnt. We finished in a tiebreaker for the 3rd seed with 4 other teams which spells playoff mediocrity, and then we got eliminated in the first round by a Hawks team that was arguably no better then we were. That would have been enough to tell Durant we were more then one start player from a title. More then 2 even, because adding Horford still want enough to being him here.
So now Boston goes into the trade deadline with more assets then any other GM, every team who is considering dealing their key players are calling him, and he is not interested in doing anything to importune the team of there is even the slightest hint of risk involved. He wants somebody to trade him a star for scraps. So no deal gets done.
Now Toronto adds Ibaka, which improves their team dramatically. They'll probably finish above us by the time the playoffs come around, and i am very confident that if we play then in the playoffs we will lose.
The wizards are creeping up on us, and are a legit threat. They're very capable of beating Ius in a 7 game series.
Now let's say finish 3Rd, wizards finish 4Th, and the Wizards eliminate us in the first round. Now every few agent will be thinking about the fact that we've been knocked out of the first round 3 years in a row, and that were more then 1 guy away from being a championship contender. Unless they are 100% fixated on Boston, that's likely enough to convince them to sign elsewhere.
Now let's say it pick at #3 and we miss out on the key prospects. Suddenly we start next season having not budged freon where we were in a year where we got eliminated in the first round.
But if Aibge made a move - even just a modest one. Say, the ibaka trade for a pick and Rozier. Let's say that's smith for us to finish with the 2nd seed, beat the wizards and raptors, make the ECF, win 1 or 2 games against Cleveland. That could be all out takes to convince a Hayward or Griffin to sign with Boston, knowing they could put us over the top.
Now let's say ibaka wants to much and we don't resign him. Who cares? Our sacrifice of Rozier and a pick just ended up the difference between us being a key free agent who improves the team, or getting nobody.
And we will get to draft a top 4 guy anyway. But not that prospect has less pressure on him to have to make a huge impact right away.
This is why Ainge frustrates the hell out of me.
Have you forgotten about the 06-08 Celtics? They went from 2nd-worst to champions in one year. The Cavs are another good example, LeBron - a true superstar - took them from garbage to a near-contender in his first season. Same with Larry Bird.
Ainge is waiting for blue-chip talent, cause almost every NBA champion was led by an all-time player.
These incremental moves aren't worth worrying about one way or the other.
Free agents know this is a good organization already. The fact that AInge doesn't make panic trades doesn't hurt that notion, it reinforces it.
so what do you propose?
That of Boston can't very a Lebron / Bird caliber player, then there's no point in even trying to be good, or making any attempt whatsoever to be competitive?
The Celtics should just sit around and do nothing, until a Lebron comes along? That's rediculous.
Demarcus Cousins is the best center to play this game since Shaq, issues or not. We could have had him, but passed.
Making trades for established superstars like Cousins, Butler and George are not what I would refer to as 'panic moves'.
Making a trade for Melo - that could be called a panic move. But those other guys are all legit superstars, they're all young, and they're all guys who could be a part of the core of this team for years to come.
You say we shouldn't make panic moves, but how else would you describe Ainge throwing a max contact at the metaphorical corpse that is Al Horford? I don't know if ive ever seen a more panic move then that. The only reason Ainge signed him was as a desperate hope that it would be enough to convince Durant to sign here. That went down in flames, and now we're stuck with a $120M or so paperweight.
Ibaka would impact this team just as much as Horford, and woukd much rather get ibaka on a one year rental for the cost of Rozier anda pick...then gey Horford stuck here for the mext 4 years at a cost of $26m - $30m a year.
So please, dont try to sell the idea that Danny doesn't make moves because hes patient. Danny didnt make moves because he's greedy, and eber simce he pulled off a couple of fluke bargain deals, he now believes anything less then a fluke bargain deal isnt his enough.
Problem is that flukes are flukes for a reason. Ainge got lucky a couple of times, and he should cash in before his luck runs out. Which will probably happen on draft lottery night when the Brooklyn pick lands 3rd, loses about 70% of its value, and ends up getting us a prospect like Otto Porter.
That's the thing. We are competitive. Why the heck do we sacrifice a lot more to be nothing more than what we already are? Ainge got lucky.. What a baloney. You are one of those arrogant ****s who think it was all luck. Ainge worked hard for those deals. He studied the CBA, planned ahead, talked to agents, to owners, to coaches, to scouts. Its not luck, its a skill. If you cannot see that, then there's no use taking you seriously.
If you can't see that those deals are more then 50% luck them you're absolutely blinded by green goggles.
You really think that Danny expected to get the haul he did in return for Pierce and KG? If course not. It was right place, right time...and it never woukd habe happened if not for the fact that he was dealing with a brand new team with a billionaire owner that had an abdolute wet dream obsession with doing anything to ' win now ' - even if it meant giving up the entire future for two ex stars in theur mid 30s.
You think Ainge want lucky as hell to have the ray and KG deals fall in his lap? If course he was. Two teams who hearkened to be selling their superstar players right at the opportune time. That barely ever happens.
Ainge has practicality admitted himself that those deals were half flukes - just right place, right time.
You think Ainge serious predicted that Thomas was going to ne the NBAs 2Nd leading scorer at 29 PPG a couple of years after he graced for him? Of course he didnt. Maybe he thought he'd get lucky and IT would end up a 22 or 23 PPG scorer, but nobody could have predicted this.
Or that Crowder was going to develop in a really good starter, in the day he traded for him? No way. In sure he liked Crowder, probability thought he'd be a nice 6tg man or defensive role player, but I asure you he didn't predict he'd be this good.
Or the that the Nets would be so bad. He probably thought he had a solid shot at the Nets picks falling in the lottery, maybe even top 10. But three top 3 picks? Guarantee he didn't foresee that.
He's picked his opportunities well, but luck has given him more then a little bit of help along the way. A few of those moves go a bit less in the "wow doesn't see that coming" direction and everything changes.
Hell is his foresight was that good he woukdnt have signed Horford....
And you say we are competitive, I beg to differ. The goal in this nba is to win a championship. If the team doesn't have any real chance as a championship, then as far as im concerned that team is not competitive. Which is fine...long as said team is making changes necessary to try and BECOME competitive. Which Danny Ainge right now absolutely is not doing.
Which players were available potentially at the deadline? Demarcus Cousins? Jimmy Butler? Paul George?
Danny passed on those guys, so how about this. Let's se who he does get over the next year, and then we can meet up back here again, and we'll evaluate to see if those guys that he gets end up any better then Cousins, Butler and George.
I'll take that bet any time.