Ok so here is today's hypothetical scenario. We Draft Dunn third, and by the All star break he's Avg 30 mpg, he plays like a veteran.
During the Final two months he's a 16ppg 6apg 5rpg 2spg player. He's clearly a stud and our best chip going forward.
Now what do the rotations look like? Who does he flourish in the backcourt with? Avery might be the perfect backcourt partner with him because he shoots it and doesn't need the ball much.
Can the Dunn Smart backcourt work? Who starts? Does Thomas get traded? So many questions!
Dunn is extremely unlikely to get 32 mpg by the trade deadline. Otherwise, he could play with anyone in our backcourt, other than Rozier, because he can guard multiple positions. Rozier is a pure PG too, so that does not work that well. Thomas is a scoring PG who could move to SG if needed as he does with Smart.
If we are talking assets, Dunn is the BPA. If we are talking fit, he improves the PG position and forces a trade of a backcourt asset for another positional asset, but does not address our biggest needs (shooting, SF, bigs). I am a fan of Dunn’s and would take him (if I could not find a trade), but I can understand why Ainge would go in another direction.
With all the backcourt assets, it might be difficult to trade anyone other than IT (unlikely, since scoring is our biggest issue) or AB. In AB's case, there should be a strong market since containing the best backcourt player and still having enough scoring on the floor should command a premium. Without being able to line up a trade quickly, then you do not have enough minutes to showcase and develop players at the same time. We would have the same crowded backcourt issues drafting Murray or Hield, but no one is ruling them out because they are shooters.
Otherwise, I would take Bender or Hield and avoid Chriss (all potential) and Murray (no defense, shot creation in NBA). Brown has a high enough floor with his defense to be acceptable, but he's very raw too and while obviously bright, his offensive BBIQ is not impressive to me watching his videos. Obviously different positions, but AB had an elite defensive pedigree and a deficient offensive BBIQ (still does) coming out of school, but at least he could shoot and he went 19th. One big caveat on bad shooters is statistically that fault does not translate well to the NBA according to ESPN's Kevin Pelton.
Topic: Predict the future, If C's draft Dunn, and he's the best PG. (Read 3814 times)