Shame he is a guard.
If he was European, enigmatic, and playing in an obscure overseas league he'd be the consensus top pick in the draft.
TP! But you forgot non-athletic!
Well, there is not "if" on the non-athletic part for Murray so it seems it was left out.
He's average. As a minimum, considerably better than Hield. Given his age and production, I'd love to have him at 3.
Problem is he's an awful defender, struggles offensively versus athletic defenders, and his assists (2.2) to turnovers (2.1) is horrible for a player that projects as a combo guard. Kevin O'Conner is really down on him and has him much lower than others.
What was Hield doing at the same age?
I don't like this kind of comparison. To me, you draft based on the known talent and perhaps a bit of projection but not too much.
I like that kind of comparison. Say two kids graduate high school the same year.
One is a 17 year old who finished his Senior year with 3.6 GPA
The other is a 21 year old who finished his Senior year with a 3.8GPA, after failing Senior year 3 times.
Which do you expect will have a better shot of succeeding in College?
You know that comparison is flawed.
It does not matter where Hield was two years ago with respect to Murray. Only with respect to Hield. Maturation is impossible to predict. In one thread someone suggested Ben McLemore might average 50 ppg had he stayed in college. this is obviously ridiculous.
Age is a factor but you cannot apply it like this.
Plus Hield isnt a bit better than Murray like your arbitrary 3.8 vs 3.6 suggests, he has a 4.0.
Lastly, everyone know age is a factor.
You evaluate Hield as a 21 year old with 4 years of experience and Murray as a 19 year old with 1.