Eric Wilbur: Draft Lottery Torture is "Inevitable"

[mef730]

Based on no math whatsoever, but a rehashing of our recent lottery woes:

http://www.boston.com/sports/boston-celtics/2016/05/12/celtics-lottery-luck

Special notice, however, goes out to Mr. Wilbur for his excellent use of the Flying Pig scene from the Simpsons (below) in the piece. Extra special notice for pulling that piece because Wilbur was the name of the pig in Charlotte's web.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWvevkE0kAI

Yes, folks, it's summertime...

Mike

[Mattybriand]

Ugh it's already torture, I found my self very frustrated playing with espn's lottery simulator yesterday... Ran it ten times coming up 6th pick TWICE 2nd TWICE 1st ZERO times!!

[mef730]

I kept getting second, so I suppose that's a good sign. I usually play the simulator until I come up with us as first pick and then drop it. Earlier this year, I was playing with the Tankathon simulator and got us the #1 and #2 picks. Not possible now, of course, but I stopped immediately.

Mike

[budMovin]

I'll just assume we will get screwed until there is a time it doesn't happen.

[Mattybriand]

I'm trying to hype myself up on Buddy Hield as the second coming of Damian Lillard "taller version"

[CelticsFan166]

Ugh it's already torture, I found my self very frustrated playing with espn's lottery simulator yesterday... Ran it ten times coming up 6th pick TWICE 2nd TWICE 1st ZERO times!!

Dude. I've found this too. Even the simulators hate us it's insane.

[Mattybriand]

Ugh it's already torture, I found my self very frustrated playing with espn's lottery simulator yesterday... Ran it ten times coming up 6th pick TWICE 2nd TWICE 1st ZERO times!!

Dude. I've found this too. Even the simulators hate us it's insane.

Update did it 10 more times,


2nd one time
Everything else was 3rd and below

Idk why I put myself through this..

Watching last night made me give up on Kevin Durant as well, I'm very pessimistic this morning

[fairweatherfan]

I just did the simulator once and we got 1st pick.  Danny send me, forget IT!!

[bigal534]

Boston sports Fans have the worst mentality of all.

Everything is negative and pessimistic.

What you are forgetting is this is TECHNICALLY Brooklyn's ping pong balls. They just happen to have our logo on them. 

Brooklyn/New Jersey have had much better "luck" in the Lottery than us, so staying positive, we will for sure get the #1 pick because that is how we break the curse.

Its someones elses wasteful season that we benefit from!

[Mattybriand]

Boston sports Fans have the worst mentality of all.

Everything is negative and pessimistic.

What you are forgetting is this is TECHNICALLY Brooklyn's ping pong balls. They just happen to have our logo on them. 

Brooklyn/New Jersey have had much better "luck" in the Lottery than us, so staying positive, we will for sure get the #1 pick because that is how we break the curse.

Its someones elses wasteful season that we benefit from!

Very true!! I think it is a defense mechanism. See if we get the 1st pick it will be great news and everyone will be ecstatic. On the other hand if we drop to the 6th we can say oh well we expected it the lottery gods hate us at least we got CBS

[alldaboston]

I kept getting second, so I suppose that's a good sign. I usually play the simulator until I come up with us as first pick and then drop it. Earlier this year, I was playing with the Tankathon simulator and got us the #1 and #2 picks. Not possible now, of course, but I stopped immediately.

Mike

I did that in 2014 and we dropped to 6. This year I'm going until we drop and Lakers keep their pick. Then, the roles will reverse on draft night.

[rondofan1255]

Is there a Lottery Countdown thread? 4 more days! Woo! 

[bigal534]

Boston sports Fans have the worst mentality of all.

Everything is negative and pessimistic.

What you are forgetting is this is TECHNICALLY Brooklyn's ping pong balls. They just happen to have our logo on them. 

Brooklyn/New Jersey have had much better "luck" in the Lottery than us, so staying positive, we will for sure get the #1 pick because that is how we break the curse.

Its someones elses wasteful season that we benefit from!

Very true!! I think it is a defense mechanism. See if we get the 1st pick it will be great news and everyone will be ecstatic. On the other hand if we drop to the 6th we can say oh well we expected it the lottery gods hate us at least we got CBS

This is a "losers" mentality though.

We are the doggone BOSTON CELTICS

We have won the most NBA Championships YET our fanbase expects BAD THINGS?

Tell me how that works?

WE WILL GET THE #1 pick mark my words. Or 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, etc., but guess what...

Its alll GRAVY!

[Mattybriand]

You say Loser's mentality, I call it human nature..

Hope for the best, Plan for the worst.

[fairweatherfan]

You say Loser's mentality, I call it human nature..

Hope for the best, Plan for the worst.

How does one plan for a random outcome you have no control over that affects a decision you also have no control over? 


EDIT:  Just saw your prior post, that's just about a textbook definition of defensive pessimism.  Which I suppose would be emotional planning of sorts; the only problem is I've never seen that kind of poster be less upset when something bad happens, they usually just bounce to the next negative forecast.