once again:
Bender is not a scrub. But he hasn`t shown ANYTHING good enough to be top3 pick.
Bender didn`t get minutes playing for a bad team against even worse competition. how many times have you watched Macabi this season?
Bender against other players in his age didn`t make the difference.
Scouts try to avoid another Giannis pick. Nobody wants to be the guy that missed again a 7ft playmaker...
This, in a nutshell.
I hope to god Danny doesn't waste the highest pick we have had in probably 20 years on Bender.
Just to amuse myself, I called an advance scout I've known for 20 years with a team that's still playing, and has a much more consistent draft record than Ainge's.
His take on Bender: "Some club will be stupid enough to overpay for him the draft. It won't be us."
I asked him what he'd heard about the Celtics and Bender: "Nothing."
Sounds about right.
The thing that amuses me is that nobody really has much to say about Bender that makes him sound outstanding. Even the guys here who promote the idea of taking him at #3 don't seem to make an especially strong case for it.
1) He's seven feet tall
2) He's fairly athletic for a seven footer
3) He has decent shooting mechanics
4) He's a pretty good perimeter defender for a seven footer
5) He's an above average passer and ball handler for a seven footer
6) He has a good motor and work ethic
Every bit of writing you ever see on Bender is smothered with adjectives like "fairly", "decent", "pretty good", "above average" - and more then anything "potential".
Pretty much everybody acknowledges that he is not even remotely close to NBA ready, and that he'd be a long work in progress. Everybody prays that he will realise this 'potential' because right now that's pretty much all he is.
Bender appears to have the foundational skills to ensure that in time, he will eventually become an NBA calibre player. That's all well and good, but we are talking about a #3 pick here.
You don't gamble a #3 pick on guys who are years away from 'hopefully' becoming effective NBA players just because you think they might have some hidden upside. You gamble on guys like when you fall back into the 14-20 range, when all the "sure things" are gone. That's why guys like Giannis, Gobert and Whiteside were taken so late in the draft - high risk, high upside. Nobody was wasting a top 5 pick on those guys. Not just Ainge - nobody.
Right now Bender is firmly in Labissiere territory - very raw big man who has some nice foundational skills, solid athleticism, and who you hope (with a bit of luck) could surprise you and become really good players. In fact I think Labissiere has a better chance of making it then Bender does, to be honest. I wouldn't throw away a top 5 pick on either of them, but I'd take the gamble on Labissiere with the Mavs pick probably, if he's still there.
There;s just nothing at all elite about Bender's game. His most promising talent is probably his ability to defend against quicker perimeter players, but while that is a nice trait to have it's hardly the type of trait that breeds superstars. Not unless you can also prove you're calable of being a quality scorer, and Bender right now hasn't proven that at all.
I think the best case for Bender is a slightly taller Al Horford. Nice player, but at #3 I want somebody who has the potential to be a bonafide All-Star.