You're entitled to your opinion, but I'm also entitled to find your comparison wildly off-base. Magic is almost universally seen as a top-five player of all-time. I think it does a real disservice to college freshman to saddle them with unrealistic expectations.
Simmons will be a huge success if he develops into the next Blake Griffin. He'd have to go two or three steps beyond that to be in the conversation with Magic.
I just don't understand why you are getting so defensive.
You are reacting as if I am saying "Simmons is going to be Magic Johnson 2.0". I'm not saying that at all.
What I'm saying is that Simmons' has a freakish set of skills and physical attributes that compare very well to what Magic and Lebron James (who will go down in history as all time greats) had when they came into the league.
Does that mean that Simmons is going to become as good as Magic and Lebron? No, of course it doesn't. To suggest such thing at this point in time would be silly. All it means is that, if history is anything to go off, somebody with Simmons' skill/talent set is most likely going to become a really, really good NBA player.
So far the LEAST flattering comparison to Simmons that I have seen is Lamar Odom. In his prime Lamar Odom was a 17/10/4 guy, so if that is the worst player you can find who has a Simmons-like skill set, then that is a pretty darn good floor.
So I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Simmons has a floor or Lamar Odom, and a ceiling of Magic.
You will seemingly get offended by me listing Magic as his ceiling, citing the fact that Magic is an all-time great and all the rest of it. But by saying Magic is his ceiling, I'm not predicting that Simmons will become as good as Magic.
What I am saying is that the absolute best case scenario for Simmons career is that he becomes as good as Magic. In other words, I am saying that there is
some (even if it is extremely, extremely small) possibility that he
could become that good.
By you saying my comparison is ridiculous, you are essentially claiming that it is absolutely impossible, and that there is absolutely no chance at all (not even the slightest possibility) that Simmons could become that good.
You say I am the one doing a disservice to Simmons by setting expectations too high. Isn't it you who is doing him the disservice by trying to suggest he has no hope of ever becoming an all-time great on that level?
You say it is I who is being unrealistic for saying he could one day become that, given that I haven't seen him play a day in the league. Isn't it you that is being unrealistic by suggesting that it is not at all possible that he could become that, when you also haven't seen him play a day in the league?
See, I'm not the one dealing in absolutes here. I'm not saying (in black or white) that Simmons WILL become that good. I'm just saying he might. I'm just saying that it's possible.
You are the one dealing in absolutes here because you are the one saying that he won't and that he can't. To the point where you are practically ridiculing the fact that I even suggest the possibility.
How do you know that Simmons will not ever become that good? Have you seen the future?
I completely understand if you say "I don't believe he has the potential to become that good". That's fine. But you aren't saying that. You are practically mocking me for even suggesting that it's possible.
You talk about it as if it is insulting or dishonourable to compare an upcoming talent to an all-time great. Yet at some point in their careers all of these all-time greats WERE upcoming talents.
When Magic left college to come to the NBA, if you were there, you probably would have been utterly offended if somebody suggested that this draftee had the talent to one day be as good as Oscar Robinson.
When Michael Jordan left college and came to the NBA, you probably would have been insulted if somebody suggested that this young kid had the talent to one day be as good as Dr J.
The fact of the matter is that everybody starts here. Even the all-time greats one day started off as young kids with uncertain futures. They all would have had their cult followers who swore they would be great, and they all would have had their hardcore critics who insisted they didn't have what it takes.
There is absolutely no guarantee that Simmons will become as good as guys like Magic or Lebron. I would never suggest that he will be. All I'm saying is that this kid as a very high floor, and an even higher ceiling, and that the sky is pretty much the limit when it comes to how good he could potentially become if he developed a solid jumper and the right attitude.
People go ga-ga over Ingram and insist he is so far above Simmons, and it makes me laugh. Simmons is so much more TALENTED then Ingram that it isn't even funny. Ingram is just a long, athletic kid who has a pretty good jumper. He's pretty good at a few other things too, but he's not really elite at anything. Even as a shooter, I wouldn't consider him elite - just good. Defensively once again he is not elite - he's just solid with the potential to become good. With Ingram everything is about 'potential'. People complain about Simmons not being aggressive or tough enough, but Ingram has that exact same character flaw - people just ignore it for some reason.
In fact I think Hield might be a better prospect then Ingram. He's a better shooter and
far better scorer then Ingram. He's probably just as good a passer and ball handler as Ingram. He's a similarly good rebounder (relative to his position). He has all the tools to be come a good defensive player. At just under 6'5" / 215 pounds and with a 6'8" wingspan, he has very good size for an NBA SG. In terms of intangibles Hield actually has a bigger heart, higher motor and better work ethic then either Simons or Ingram. Really the only downside for Hield is his age - at 22 years old he is obviously on the older side for a rookie...but I think he might be the most NBA ready player in this draft, and even at his age I think he has All-Star written all over him.
Honestly, I like all three of Simmons / Ingram / Hield and I wouldn't complain if we ended up with either of those three guys. But my fear with Ingram is his body. There is skinny, and then there is Ingram skinny. This guy is on a whole other level of thin, and he almost makes RJ Hunter look muscular. His ability to become a star will be more or less completely dependant on his ability to add strength to his frame. I'm sure he'll be ale to do that, but if he can't it is going to be a problem. Right now he is a teenager with a kids body, while Simmons is a teenager with a man's body.