It's so hard to tell how deep a draft really is until after the fact.
That said, from what I've read and seen, this draft seems to break down like this:
1-2: Simmons & Ingram ... elite prospects. Can't go wrong. Might not be superstars, but they'll be good.
3-5: Brown, Bender, Dunn ... You can get a polished guard prospect with limited upside in Dunn, you can take a guy with great physical ability and a raw game who might be out of the league in 5 years, or you can take this year's Magical Euro Mystery Box and hope for the best -- but remember, he might not play in the NBA for 2-3 years.
6: Poeltl ... Worst case scenario he's Omer Asik. Best case scenario he's like a more offensively talented Steven Adams or Timofey Mozgov. Either way, you're going to get a guy who can be productive on the boards and inside, but probably not a game-changer at center.
7-14: Murray, Ellenson, Stone, Hield, Lab, Rabb, Valentine, Luwawu ... Your guess is as good as mine. Probably some role players / borderline starters in here, maybe a couple diamonds in the rough (or in the Stone?), but I wouldn't my life on any of them.
It could be worse; our all-important high draft pick could have come in a year like 2013 when there were no clear cut high upside, low bust potential prospects.
Basically, I agree with KR here -- you want a top 5 pick in this draft. Getting #6 means you're probably taking the safe pick in Poeltl. Though knowing Ainge, he'd use it on a player who fits his M.O. better, e.g. Ellenson or Valentine.
Personally, I think I'd like to see the team take Brown and then hope for the best. In the wrong situation, he's the kind of prospect who turns into Terrence Williams or, if you're lucky, Tyreke Evans. In the best type of situation, maybe he can become Jimmy Butler. You draft him and pray that Brad Stevens makes the Celtics "the best type of situation."
Alternatively, trading the pick and some other lesser assets to get a prospect like Okafor or Noel, or getting an even more established player, would be a great outcome.
