Author Topic: Kevin Love: 'A Lot Of Guys Need to look in the Mirror, Starting With Lebron'  (Read 15841 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Evantime34

  • NCE
  • Ed Macauley
  • ***********
  • Posts: 11942
  • Tommy Points: 764
  • Eagerly Awaiting the Next Fantasy Draft
Listen to the Zach Lowe podcast from about minute 6-7 through minute 15. He makes some excellent points about both Love's strengths, but also about his fit in Cleveland considering their win now mode, and how that translates to their need to match up well with GSW and / or SAS.

http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=14611206
He talks about Love to the C's at around the 36 mark, says some nice things about Jae and says Boston won't get Kevin Love without giving up Crowder.

I see Ainge resisting that like all hell. I could see him giving up Bradley in a deal for Love. Bradley, Jerebko, and Sullinger as a basis would make some sense for Cleveland, and works under the cap.
I think they would want Olynyk instead of Sully. I wouldn't have any problem trading Bradley, Olynyk and picks for Love though.

I agree about Bradley though. What I didn't understand about the podcast is Lowe brought up an idea of Caldwell-Pope, Ilyasova and a Detroit first for Love, but then said the Celtics couldn't get Love without giving up Crowder. We could easily top that package without giving up Crowder.

I don't believe Ainge would give up Olynyk in a Love deal. I have it on excellent authority that Ainge LOVES Olynyk -- that he's about as untouchable as any player on the Cs roster. I believe Ainge hangs up the phone on most deals (short of a franchise player) where Olynyk, Crowder or Thomas are requested.

Meanwhile, Cleveland is one of the places where I see Sully as an excellent fit.
I think that in the right situation Love is a franchise player.

Not sure how Sully fits in Cleveland, he does similar things to Mozgov and Thompson but probably not as well.
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Offline Lucky17

  • DKC Commish
  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16021
  • Tommy Points: 2352
In terms of payroll:

Love to BOS
Lee to PHX
PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris to CLE

That works. CLE could conceivably absorb Kieff into the Haywood TE. Or not.

Obviously, BOS would need to send out some draft considerations to make things work out. But I think nonlottery 1sts to PHX and CLE ought to offer fair value for all.
DKC League is now on reddit!: http://www.reddit.com/r/dkcleague

Offline Evantime34

  • NCE
  • Ed Macauley
  • ***********
  • Posts: 11942
  • Tommy Points: 764
  • Eagerly Awaiting the Next Fantasy Draft
In terms of payroll:

Love to BOS
Lee to PHX
PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris to CLE

That works. CLE could conceivably absorb Kieff into the Haywood TE. Or not.

Obviously, BOS would need to send out some draft considerations to make things work out. But I think nonlottery 1sts to PHX and CLE ought to offer fair value for all.
After what Cleveland paid to get him, and with how many teams were interested in signing him to a max offer as a free agent I think they would want more than Morris, Tucker and a first for Love,
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Offline Smartacus

  • Bailey Howell
  • **
  • Posts: 2169
  • Tommy Points: 321
Listen to the Zach Lowe podcast from about minute 6-7 through minute 15. He makes some excellent points about both Love's strengths, but also about his fit in Cleveland considering their win now mode, and how that translates to their need to match up well with GSW and / or SAS.

http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=14611206
He talks about Love to the C's at around the 36 mark, says some nice things about Jae and says Boston won't get Kevin Love without giving up Crowder.

I see Ainge resisting that like all hell. I could see him giving up Bradley in a deal for Love. Bradley, Jerebko, and Sullinger as a basis would make some sense for Cleveland, and works under the cap.
I think they would want Olynyk instead of Sully. I wouldn't have any problem trading Bradley, Olynyk and picks for Love though.

I agree about Bradley though. What I didn't understand about the podcast is Lowe brought up an idea of Caldwell-Pope, Ilyasova and a Detroit first for Love, but then said the Celtics couldn't get Love without giving up Crowder. We could easily top that package without giving up Crowder.

I don't believe Ainge would give up Olynyk in a Love deal. I have it on excellent authority that Ainge LOVES Olynyk -- that he's about as untouchable as any player on the Cs roster. I believe Ainge hangs up the phone on most deals (short of a franchise player) where Olynyk, Crowder or Thomas are requested.

Meanwhile, Cleveland is one of the places where I see Sully as an excellent fit.

I mean maybe Portland to put a big rebounder next to Meyers Leonard, Mason Plumlee, and Noah Vonleh or Minnesota since Sullinger could in theory be a nice fit next to Towns but other than that I couldn't really think of a better spot than a Love replacement if Cleveland decides to move on.

Lebron's also spoken well of Sullinger in the past.

Edit: New Orleans might not be a bad spot either.

Offline ssspence

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6375
  • Tommy Points: 403
I'm not exactly bought into this idea, but still think it's an interesting discussion point:

http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=jv3dkp6
  • Cs get: Love, Chandler
  • Suns get: Lee, Sully or Zeller, Young
  • Cavs get: Morris, Bradley, Tucker
Thoughts:
  • Big risk for the Cs, particularly the Chandler piece. I think Ainge sees that he's making Cleveland better, and gets cold feet.
  • The Suns clear their cap table tremendously -- presumably pretty attractive right now -- and save a ton of money, which Robert Sarver likes to sit around and count $1 at a time. I could see them choosing Zeller over Sully, which would be fine by me.
  • Cleveland gets far deeper, and matches up MUCH better with both GSW and SAS.
« Last Edit: January 20, 2016, 05:05:38 PM by ssspence »
Mike

(My name is not Mike)

Offline Who

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 52961
  • Tommy Points: 2570
In terms of payroll:

Love to BOS
Lee to PHX
PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris to CLE

That works. CLE could conceivably absorb Kieff into the Haywood TE. Or not.

Obviously, BOS would need to send out some draft considerations to make things work out. But I think nonlottery 1sts to PHX and CLE ought to offer fair value for all.
After what Cleveland paid to get him, and with how many teams were interested in signing him to a max offer as a free agent I think they would want more than Morris, Tucker and a first for Love,

Alex Len would have to be included. Len, Markieff and Tucker. That would be a nice package. Markieff their new starting PF. Len their center of the future. Tucker a high quality backup SF. Give Cleveland a more well rounded team.

Or maybe a trade based around Brandon Knight + Markieff for K-Love. A Kyrie - B.Knight - LeBron perimeter trio would be nice. Throw in Shumpert there with LeBron moving to PF or even smaller again with Markieff at C too. Great small ball options.

Offline Eddie20

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8497
  • Tommy Points: 975
http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/14610328/windhorst-cavs-need-get-kevin-love-involved

Quote
The reason the Cavs gave him $110 million was not for this, but because as a rebounder, passer and shooter, Love is world class at his position. The idea is the Cavs will use these strengths and mitigate the weaknesses -- the foundational deal for many a Hall of Famer. If the team can't find a way to weaponize what Love does best in the chips-are-down games, Blatt might as well just bench him.

So there is the issue: the Cavs are not using Love's strengths. They run almost nothing for him. Rival coaches, scouts and former teammates curiously ask: "Why don't they give Kevin the ball on the elbow like they used to in Minnesota?" or "Why don't they run twice as many pick-and-pops for him so he can get more of his shots?" or "Why do they just let Kevin stand in the corner?"

Offline ssspence

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6375
  • Tommy Points: 403
In terms of payroll:

Love to BOS
Lee to PHX
PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris to CLE

That works. CLE could conceivably absorb Kieff into the Haywood TE. Or not.

Obviously, BOS would need to send out some draft considerations to make things work out. But I think nonlottery 1sts to PHX and CLE ought to offer fair value for all.
After what Cleveland paid to get him, and with how many teams were interested in signing him to a max offer as a free agent I think they would want more than Morris, Tucker and a first for Love,

Alex Len would have to be included. Len, Markieff and Tucker. That would be a nice package. Markieff their new starting PF. Len their center of the future. Tucker a high quality backup SF. Give Cleveland a more well rounded team.

Or maybe a trade based around Brandon Knight + Markieff for K-Love. A Kyrie - B.Knight - LeBron perimeter trio would be nice. Throw in Shumpert there with LeBron moving to PF or even smaller again with Markieff at C too. Great small ball options.

CLE needs to make moves that give them a chance against the Warriors and / or Spurs. Len doesn't really help. Knight and Irving don't fit together.
Mike

(My name is not Mike)

Online Roy H.

  • Forums Manager
  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 62979
  • Tommy Points: -25466
  • Bo Knows: Joe Don't Know Diddley
Wow, he really said that? Nice try, princess.
What a backstabbing, little female dog.

People really wanted that guy on the Celtics? smh

Why? Because he has the junk to call out the leader of the team. A team that should be dominating the East like GWS and the spurs are dominating the West. It does start at the top.

Kevin Love:

December: 12.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, 37.3% FG%, .474 TS%

January:  11.8 points, 10.8 rebounds, 34.7% FG%, .486 TS%

Lebron James:

December:  25.7 points, 7.2 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 47.4% FG%, .541 TS%

January:  24.1 points, 7.2 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 55.0% FG%, .635 TS%

Who is the one who should be looking in the mirror?

Love is basically giving LeBron the same scoring Bosh did, with a better 3 percentage and more rebounding.  He's the one who is being asked to sacrifice his stats and be the third wheel while LeBron and Kyrie essentially get whatever they want.

I can't blame Love for not being a beta-male who is just happy being LeBron's sidekick, but I can't spare him too much sympathy since he should have known that is the way it would be before he signed that big deal to stay in Cleveland.

Mike

I might buy into this more if Love was averaging more than 12 points on 35% shooting the past two months.  In Bosh's least productive year with Lebron he averaged 16.2 points on 51.6% shooting, with excellent pick-and-roll defense.

You're having trouble adapting?  Buck up, buttercup.  It's the NBA.  A random guy taken out of the D-League can probably having a better December / January than Love.  When you're performing like a scrub on both offense and defense, looking in the mirror has to start with you.

Being one of only 9 people in the league to average double figures in points and rebounds is a bit more than a scrub.  And do you want to lay any money down on Bosh having two months as bad or worse than Love when he was playing with LeBron?

Mike

I don't find it impressive if an NBA player scores in double digits if he's shooting 35 percent while doing so.

And sure, I will bet whatever you'd like that Bosh never had two consecutive months where he scored 12.7 ppg or fewer, with a sub-37.3% FG% and less than .474 TS%, and played bad P&R defense. Name your bet.

EDIT: Bosh never had even one month with Lebron where he scored below 13 ppg, and in no month did he shoot below 43.5% or post less than a .494 TS%.

Judging from the way you carefully framed those stats, there were months when Bosh was almost as terrible offensively as Love while rebounding less and being a better defender.  So Bosh was just slightly better than a scrub with LeBron in Miami?

Mike

Huh?  Your conclusion is nonsensical.  Look up your own stats, but Chris Bosh has never been nearly as bad in any one month as Kevin Love has been for the past two months.


I'M THE SILVERBACK GORILLA IN THIS MOTHER... AND DON'T NONE OF YA'LL EVER FORGET IT!

KP / Giannis / Turkuglu / Jrue / Curry
Sabonis / Brand / A. Thompson / Oladipo / Brunson
Jordan / Bowen

Redshirt:  Cooper Flagg

Offline crimson_stallion

  • Rajon Rondo
  • *****
  • Posts: 5964
  • Tommy Points: 875
He's a net positive defender.
The Wolves and Cavs both post better defensive ratings with him on the floor- but their offensive ratings go way up

His DPRM is fine this year too.
Defensive issues are way overblown.

Kevin Love is an alpha scorer with a wing man mentality when playing with Lebron.
He's completely misused by the Cavs. I mean completely and utterly misused.


Let me ask people this.
If Kelly Olynyk can look good on the Celtics, what would Kevin Love look like shooting twice as many shots?'
His last 3 years in Minny he was averaging 18 shots a game and 8.2 free throw attempts per game. His numbers this year are 12.8 field goal attempts and 3.7 free throws per game.

Kevin Love's problem in Cleveland is that he doesn't get to play inside next to Mozgov and Lebron and thus doesn't take any free throws.
He's Lebron's towel boy shooting threes when Lebron bails on a drive to the basket.

If he simply took 17-19 shots a game (like he did in Minny), he'd be averaging something like:
25 points, 12 rebounds and we'd be praising him as the Celtic's next chosen one.

This quote I posted was more to create a bit of buzz and fun as we come up to trade season- it's the media blowing something up which was probably not intended to be a 'I hate Cleveland get me out of here' comment. More of a 'we need to man up, everyone, even the boss' kinda comment.
But for me, as a fan of Kevin Love, the thought of getting him at a buy low price when Lebron wants him gone is something to get excited about over the next 6 months.

Anyway, IMO Kevin Love would THRIVE under the Brad Stevens offense, and our defensive cohesion would help cover any of his minor issues on help. With Jae Crower, Smart, Amir and Avery Bradley out there with him we wouldn't be discussing his D.
-Although I will admit that to get any Love deal done, at least two of the above mentioned defensive pit bulls would have to go back to Cleveland in return.

A line up of:

IT
Smart
Crowder
Love
Amir

Brooklyn pick
Rozier
Mickey
Hunter

would be a great starting point for the next 5 years.
Kevin Love is 27 years old and only just turned 27.

If he becomes available, Danny Ainge will give up pretty much anything except that Brooklyn pick (unless it's not top 3 when the time comes).

The Lebron/Cleveland effect on Love's inside game is overrated IMHO.  Not saying it isn't affecting his game, but I don't think it's affecting it nearly as much as people seem to believe.   If you take a look at his career stats you will see that his "outside happy" trend started before he got to Cleveland. 

Love started his career in Minnesota, where:

* In 2008-09 Love took 52.8% of his shots inside three feet and 2.8% from three
* In 2009-10 Love took 42.7% of his shots inside three feet and 16.4% from three
* In 2010-11 Love took 35.2% of his shots inside three feet and 20.6% from three
* In 2011-12 Love took 33.5% of his shots inside three feet and 26.6% from three
* In 2012-13 Love took 32.2% of his shots inside three feet and 30.9% from three
* In 2013-14 Love took 25.3% of his shots inside three feet and 35.5% from three


After the 2013-13 season Love was traded to Clevleand, where:

* In 2014-15 Love took 21.3%% of his shots inside three feet and 41.2% from three
* In 2015-16 Love took 22.2% of his shots inside three feet and 43.4% from three

I think there is a very obvious trend here - pretty much every season he's been in the league, Love has been shying further and further away from playing in the post, and depending more and more on his outside shot. 

Not only have his attempts around the basket reduced, but his Offensive Rebound Percentage has similarly reduced as well (from 15.1% his rookie year, to 8.5% in his last season with the Wolves) which is a clear indication that he's been choosing to spend less time around the basket, and hang around the perimeter more.

The only statistical drop-off that correlates with his move to Cleveland is his drop-off in free throw rate.  It was above 43% his entire career but dropped significantly in 2014-15 (33.7%) and 2015-16 (29.2%).  These are, however, still pretty solid numbers which indicate he's still getting to the line at a decent (if no longer elite) rate.

Regardless, Kevin Love's scoring has dropped from 25.9 Points Per 36 in with the Wolves in 2013/14, to 17.5 Points Per 36 since he's been with the Cavs.  That's a dramatic drop of about 8.5 Points Per 36, and yet his Free Throws Made 'Per 36' has only dropped by about 3 (6.7 in 2013-14 versus 3.7 in 2014-15 and 3.3 in 2015-16).

That suggests that you can realistically justify a drop of about 3.2 Points Per 36 if that) as a direct result of his reduced Free Throw Rate in Cleveland, meaning if he was taking free throws at the same rate as in Minny his scoring would be up around 20.7 Points Per 36.

That is still a far cry from the 26 Points Per 36 he averaged in 2013/14 and the 24 points Per 36 he averaged in 2011/12 (his two best seasons).

Look deeper however, and you might find why.  Kevin Love's "superstar" status was set by his two huge seasons in 11/12 and 13/14 where he averaged upwards of 24 Points Per 36 (about on par with what Isaiah Thomas has averaged since he's been with the Celtics). 

If you disregard those two seasons, then over the other 6 seasons of Love's career he has actually only averaged 17.97 Points Per 36 - which is actually extremely close to what he has averaged in his pas two seasons with the Cavs.

So it's worth noting that the Kevin Love people like to think of (the 26/12 version) is actually the exception, rather than the rule.  Maybe he was just extra fired up those years.  Maybe he just had the right guys around him.  Maybe he just simply took a TRUCKLOAD of shots. 

The fact of the matter is that the true Kevin Love is much closer to the 17.5 Point Per 36 guy we are seeing right now, then he is to the 26/12 guy most of us remember him as.  If we got him to come to Boston, you would be dreaming if you expect him to go back to being that guy.  That Kevin Love was a fluke.

My suggestion is that if you want to know who the real Kevin Love is, look at his career numbers.  He's played enough years to provide a nice sample size, and is still in the prime of his career.  Loves career averages are 18.5 PPG, 11.7 RPG and 2.4 APG (20 / 13 / 2.7 Per 36) on 44.6% / 36.3% / 81.3% shooting. 

If we were to trade for Love, that is basically the best case scenario of what you should expect to get out of him. 

Whether you would still trade major assets for him is your call - I probably wouldn't given he has a significant injury history and is on a contract that pays him $20M/year until he's 32 years old.  But for those who would, that's fair enough.  Even 18/11 is a pretty impressive stat line in this league. 

My biggest concerns with Love are:
1) His health history (has missed about 1/3 of his career games due to injury)
2) His locker room impact (he seems to have a history of not getting along well with teammates)
3) His lack of leadership (doesn't seem like a guy who can lead a team in the locker room or on the court)

All of the above makes me feel that have a Kevin Love can't be your #1 guy if you want to get anywhere far - he needs to be your #2 or #3 guy.  Are you willing to commit $100M to a #2 / #3 guy?
« Last Edit: January 20, 2016, 08:28:25 PM by crimson_stallion »

Offline Ogaju

  • Bill Sharman
  • *******************
  • Posts: 19479
  • Tommy Points: 1871
nope...The Cs dodged a bullet with Kevin Love. He is a Laker, let him go to the Lakers with is no - defense self.

Offline LooseCannon

  • NCE
  • Ed Macauley
  • ***********
  • Posts: 11833
  • Tommy Points: 950
The percentage of Love's three point shots that have been assisted have gone from 85% to almost 100%.  The percentage of his threes that have come from the corner has skyrocketed.

Cleveland is probably a horrible situation for Love and his numbers would look better almost everywhere else.
"The worst thing that ever happened in sports was sports radio, and the internet is sports radio on steroids with lower IQs.” -- Brian Burke, former Toronto Maple Leafs senior adviser, at the 2013 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference

Offline CelticSince83

  • Jaylen Brown
  • Posts: 542
  • Tommy Points: 42
I think people are reading way too much into an off-the-cuff comment made in a locker room after a game.  I read it as: Everyone can play better.  LeBron is going to work hard to fix what he did wrong, and we're all going to follow the example he sets.

Seriously, this is drama created for drama's sake.

I agree - it's just a minor variation on the classic "everybody needs to do better than they're doing" post-loss comments.  It's just the indirect reference to LeBron that gets everyone all lathered up.

That said I'm glad to see some dysfunction over in Cleveland.  Never really cared for Love and my opinion of LeBron is at an all-time high at "mild dislike".
Losing like they did would make anyone ansy. Lebron has not won his title yet. The first one was Wade and the second was Ray. He needs this one to say he is who he thinks he is. I for one hope he stays at two. Love is right the Leader must lead. Show me how. Nothing wrong for the third best to say. As long as he does follow.

Ray Allen won the 2013 NBA Finals?  Are you kidding me?  Were some of MJ's titles really Steve Kerr's too?  This is just idiotic. 

Offline crimson_stallion

  • Rajon Rondo
  • *****
  • Posts: 5964
  • Tommy Points: 875
The percentage of Love's three point shots that have been assisted have gone from 85% to almost 100%.  The percentage of his threes that have come from the corner has skyrocketed.

That is a little misleading. Probably not intentionally, but misleading none the less.

85.8% of Love's three point shots were assisted in 2013/14 as a member of the Timberwolves, this is true. 

That number jumped to 98.6% in 2014/15 as a member of the Cavs, this is also true.

However, what percentage of his threes were assisted over the duration of his career?

2008/09: 50.0%
2009/10: 91.4%
2010/11: 98.9%
2011/12: 92.4%
2012/13: 85.0%
2013/14: 85.8%
2014/15: 98.6%
2015/16: 100%

No real trend there at all, the number has been jumping up and down between 85% and 99% pretty much his entire career. 

Certainly not enough information to conclude that the change in assisted shot percentage these past two years has come as a result of him being in Cleveland.


Cleveland is probably a horrible situation for Love and his numbers would look better almost everywhere else.

I'm not so sure, to be honest.

Kevin Love, for the past three years, has been first and foremost a jump shooter.  That was true even before he came to Cleveland.

If anything playing with guys like Lebron and Kyrie (who excel at dribble penetration) should collapse the defense and lead to more open looks for Love.  I totally expect his outright scoring numbers to drop off thanks to him sharing the ball with two excellent scorers, however I also expect to see his percentages improve significantly since he should no longer have nearly as much defensive attention focused on him.

The simple fact of the matter is that Love simply isn't taking as many field goal attempts, and he's not shooting as well.  In 2011/12 and 2013/14 (Love's two best seasons) he was taking around 18 FGA Per 36 Minutes, and making them at around 46%.   

Since being in Cleveland, Love is taking around 14 FGA Per 36 Minutes and is making them at around 42% on average.

A difference of 4 field goal attempts per 36 Minutes translates to something like 8 Points Per 36 Minutes.

Coincidentally, Kevin Love averaged 25.6 Points Per 36 in Minnesota in 2013/14, and around 17.5 Points Per 36 in Cleveland in 2014/15.  A difference of exactly 8.1 Points Per 36.

Want to know why Love isn't putting up as many points?  Because he's not taking as many shots.  simple!

Put Love on any basketball team and give him the green light to chuck up 18 shots a night, and he's probably going to average 24 PPG again. 

Then again, if Isaiah Thomas was taking 18 shots a night he'd probably be averaging 24 PPG too.

:)

« Last Edit: January 21, 2016, 12:10:25 AM by crimson_stallion »

Offline Snakehead

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6846
  • Tommy Points: 448
I am so out on Love now.  He would be way better on our team and he could be like the third best guy on a great team if the construction was just right (mainly enough defense and effort, high character guys to hide him all around but especially in your other two top players, a problem Cleveland has with Kyrie) but the guy is soft and selfish and his defense is beyond a joke.  He doesn't have the fire necessary to be truly great and make sacrifices how you have to.
"I really don't want people to understand me." - Jordan Crawford