So I think the Cavs would never do a deal that makes them worse now, so it would need to be a 3 team deal. It makes a lot more sense for them to deal him in the offseason.
Here is a deal I think makes sense
To Cleveland: Gallinari, Avery Bradley, 2nd from Boston
To Denver: Jared Sullinger, David Lee, at least one first
to Boston: Kevin Love.
The Cavs would be replacing Love with a guy who could play Love's role in Cleveland's offense plus they would add a player who probably defends Steph Curry better than anyone in the league.
Overpayment. Love is going to be very hard to move:
- He's been an average to poor offensive player this year
- He continues to be a marginal defender
- His health is an ongoing question -- bad knees may cause early decline
- He's locked in at $20-25MM per season until 2019-20, a year when he has a player option for Twenty Six Million Dollars. Ouch.
Now factor how many teams actually have a use for the guy.
- He needs to be prominently featured in an offense to be effective
- He needs to play on a team with very strong team defense
- What's more, he probably needs to play with a 4 or 5 who is an excellent weak side defender (who can make up for Love's horrible pick-n-roll D)
- He likely needs to go to a playoff team -- not many lottery teams want to sign up to be the 2010-13 TWolves, or worse.
So who would trade for him? And considering these factors, what GM would bid high, knowing the suitors will be a pretty lean bunch?
Sadly, I suspect Ainge would one who might take him, if he felt he was getting 'value', i.e. buying low. That said, I do doubt that Ainge would give up meaningful picks for Love.
Example: If they decide they need to move Love, and the Celtics offered them Sullinger, Johnson, and Turner for Love and Cunningham, I suspect the Cavs would not hang up nearly as fast as some may think. Both Sullinger and Johnson fit their system nicely, and are basically in the perfect contractual place respectively for the cap strapped Cavaliers.
I don't agree with the overpayment idea. I believe that his offense has taken a hit because the system and the talent around him dictates that he takes a back seat. Completely agree with the marginal defender comment.
Athleticism isn't a huge part of his game and he is in great shape so, although injuries are a concern I think it's worth the gamble, since he's clearly working to get in the shape that helps deter injuries.
As to his contract, if he hit the market this summer he would be making the same max money so I don't think his contract is an issue.
He is absolutely best when he is featured on offense, and that is exactly what the Celtics need so it would be a good fit. We already have that strong defense you mentioned he needed.
A good shot blocking 4 or 5 would be nice next to him and I think Amir is a good fit in that respect. That being said, I think you would see him playing a lot of 5 in some really fun small ball.
I don't think the Cavs need to deal him so I'm not sure we could leverage Sully, Johnson and Turner for him. I think they will take offers for him over the summer but if they don't get what they want they can just keep him.