Author Topic: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread  (Read 8226 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #45 on: January 13, 2016, 05:07:09 PM »

Offline celticsclay

  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16188
  • Tommy Points: 1407
I think in general people get too personally invested in agreeing or disagree with one another on here, like it's a competition or something and there's a scoreboard somewhere.

Disagreement is not a personal attack.  Agreement is not an expression of approval of everything a person has ever said.

We can all do a better job of adding to the conversation, in a way that invites and challenges others to do so too.

Phosita  there is kind of a difference between posters disagreeing with each other and what is happening here. We both post a lot, and we have some pretty different views on things, but overwhelmingly I would say we have a fairly productive dialogue. At least a decent amount of our debate concludes with "that is a pretty good point." (ie our discussion on the playoff thread) I feel like it is that way with just about everyone on these forums. However, time and time again you see one posters getting in battles with multiple posters, creating a thread with their username in the title and sidetracking conversations into the same debates over and over again. This is different behavior and creates controversy and anger for a lot of people. While I think it is a fair counter point to say that people (myself included) could do a better job of not taking the bait, I also think it is a fair question to ask why one person is repeatedly trying to stir the pot and bait other posters.

I tend to agree with you on a lot of what you said here, which is why in my first response to this thread I said that my biggest problem with LarBrd is not his "pessimism" but that discussions involving him tend to become about him -- whether that's his fault or not -- as opposed to the Celtics or NBA basketball in general.

I was going to title this "General Optimism thread"... I dont' think I have a major history of creating threads with my name in it.  As I said in the previous page, I mostly just wanted one place where people following me from thread to thread baiting me into arguments would see that I have some broad optimism about this team as well.   I think it did it's job, judging by the amount of my detractors who have crawled out of the flooring to comment in this thread.   

Hopefully this puts to rest the daily occurrences of people derailing threads to comment about how LarBrd33's "underrating of our players and overrrating of other team's players is out of control" or suggesting that I'm obscenely biased against the Celtics.   It's silly.   There's a few things that I'm very pleased with about this team... I listed them in this thread.   Hopefully that helps cut down on the riffraff being perpetuated by a small clique of instigators.

Larbrd you seem to obviously be rankled by these posters (perhaps this includes me) that are regularly disagreeing with you and saying you don't really like the celtics etc or overvalue other teams players (it at least bothered you enough to create this post). I am pretty confident that creating a thread with your name in it, is not going to do anything to stop that from happening. In fact it may even make it worse. If you really want to improve the discourse of the threads you are in, there are other legitimate ways to do it and I think everyone on here can benefit from doing these things.

1) if you happen to be wrong about something, don't be afraid to say you are wrong in the present moment. Saying hey I am wrong all the time, I was wrong about this in 2011 doesn't have the same effect as being humble in the moment. Even the best sports betters in the business that spend their life devoted to it are correct about 57 or 58% of the time in predicting events. I think it really rubs people the wrong way when someone is extremely adamant about one point and then when it doesn't work out they move the goalposts or avoid the conversation to explain why their original guess was actually ok or accurate.I personally think a lot more of and enjoy conversing more with posters where we both can originally say "wow that is a really good point, guess I was a bit off on that)

2) don't harp on specific issues to the point that it dominates multiple threads. There are lots of posters on here that post every day. With the exception of a few posters on here that are extremely pro philadelphia, I couldn't really name a single other poster's view on a topic, player or team off hand. If a large group of posters knows your feelings on specific players, team or event you are probably repeating yourself a lot and driving the point home to the point of abuse.

3)  Don't make threads particularly with the goal of irritating other posters. If the celtics fall out of the playoffs by a half game 40 games into the season making a draft pick thread and trying to bump it the moment they fall a half game out of post-season position moments after a tough loss is going to be interpreted a lot differently than a doing a general thread discussing the standings and how other teams are doing.

You can take or leave those suggestions, but i think they would definitely have the potential to reduce the tension on the board, if you, myself and other posters kept them in mind.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #46 on: January 13, 2016, 05:26:05 PM »

Offline Evantime34

  • NCE
  • Ed Macauley
  • ***********
  • Posts: 11942
  • Tommy Points: 764
  • Eagerly Awaiting the Next Fantasy Draft
Tp for the thread. Having been on this board as long as you have I know that you tend to be pessimistic here because that is simply who you are.

As someone who in general is optimistic but has grown pessimistic about this teams immediate future (I think this losing streak will continue until a trade alleviating the roster crunch happens), I really appreciate you making an effort to be optimistic.

For those of you focusing on his comment about the nets you are missing the point. His comment about the nets was his natural pessimism shining through while the overall point is him making an effort to be optimistic.
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #47 on: January 13, 2016, 07:11:20 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

  • Robert Parish
  • *********************
  • Posts: 21238
  • Tommy Points: 2016
I think in general people get too personally invested in agreeing or disagree with one another on here, like it's a competition or something and there's a scoreboard somewhere.

Disagreement is not a personal attack.  Agreement is not an expression of approval of everything a person has ever said.

We can all do a better job of adding to the conversation, in a way that invites and challenges others to do so too.

Phosita  there is kind of a difference between posters disagreeing with each other and what is happening here. We both post a lot, and we have some pretty different views on things, but overwhelmingly I would say we have a fairly productive dialogue. At least a decent amount of our debate concludes with "that is a pretty good point." (ie our discussion on the playoff thread) I feel like it is that way with just about everyone on these forums. However, time and time again you see one posters getting in battles with multiple posters, creating a thread with their username in the title and sidetracking conversations into the same debates over and over again. This is different behavior and creates controversy and anger for a lot of people. While I think it is a fair counter point to say that people (myself included) could do a better job of not taking the bait, I also think it is a fair question to ask why one person is repeatedly trying to stir the pot and bait other posters.

I tend to agree with you on a lot of what you said here, which is why in my first response to this thread I said that my biggest problem with LarBrd is not his "pessimism" but that discussions involving him tend to become about him -- whether that's his fault or not -- as opposed to the Celtics or NBA basketball in general.

I was going to title this "General Optimism thread"... I dont' think I have a major history of creating threads with my name in it.  As I said in the previous page, I mostly just wanted one place where people following me from thread to thread baiting me into arguments would see that I have some broad optimism about this team as well.   I think it did it's job, judging by the amount of my detractors who have crawled out of the flooring to comment in this thread.   

Hopefully this puts to rest the daily occurrences of people derailing threads to comment about how LarBrd33's "underrating of our players and overrrating of other team's players is out of control" or suggesting that I'm obscenely biased against the Celtics.   It's silly.   There's a few things that I'm very pleased with about this team... I listed them in this thread.   Hopefully that helps cut down on the riffraff being perpetuated by a small clique of instigators.

 if you happen to be wrong about something, don't be afraid to say you are wrong in the present moment.
I have no trouble admitting when I am wrong.  For instance, I spent the summer reading all the news coming out about Joel Embiid.   The consensus was he felt fine, was walking around without a boot, dunking in practice... his former coach said Joel was fine.  His friends said he was fine.  Personal anecdotes from podcasters who spent time with him suggested he was fine.   The team officially hadn't come out to say anything was wrong with him and actually denied reports that he had re-injured anything... their public stance was that they just wanted to get Embiid as healthy as possible to have a long-term career.  They merely said that his level of healing wasn't where they wanted it to be   All signs pointed to his injury slowly healing, but probably not in time for him to make the scheduled appearance in Summer league.   Insight from medical professionals following the story speculated that while his bone was healing, the tissue around the bone hadn't yet filled in... and while Embiid likely could play without pain, there was still a risk of re-injury and the team was likely just being cautious with their potential franchise player... likely trying to avoid a Greg Oden situation, and delaying his return until the regular season (months away) instead of letting him suit up for Summer league with the foot at 80%.  There was also a growing sentiment from some fans that Philly was deliberately keeping Embiid's situation under wraps, because the draft was approaching and the team strongly preferred to land D'Angelo Russell with the #3 pick... the belief was that the team was nervous that the Lakers would take Russell ahead of them and then force Philly to give up extra assets to trade up even though most signs pointed to Okafor being the Lakers real target.  The assumption was that Philly would never take Okafor 3rd with both healthy Embiid and Noel returning... so it benefited Philly to suggest Embiid might not return.   It was a semi-ridiculous concept, but one that had been gaining momentum.   Based on all of this, I believed Embiid was probably going to be fine and would likely suit up for the team opening day.  It was based on my research of the situation with the little tangible information available.   I shared what I knew... made an educated guess, but I was quick to point out that NOBODY outside of Philly really knew what the hell was going on.

On the flip side, there were a bunch of juvenile members of this board who had an opinion on Embiid that can be summed up more or less as, "lol next Greg Oden... some rando on twitter says he re-broke his foot and Philly is refusing to admit it... lolz @ PHilly".   Either way, it was still a conspiracy theory... that the team was intentionally lying about Embiid's situation when there was no real reason to do so... and arbitrarily delaying his surgery for no apparent reason?... made no sense.   There was nothing tangible to back up this stance other than "Greg Oden". 


So then it comes out that Embiid would be having a bone graft.  Still to this day, many months later, it has yet to be confirmed if Embiid did indeed re-break anything.  There was an unconfirmed report some months ago that he rebroke a bone in his foot, but officially the word from Philly was:

Quote
It is unclear why the procedure was delayed, but the team announced Tuesday that Embiid “underwent a bone graft procedure of the navicular bone” in order “to maximize his opportunity for a long and successful NBA career.”

Later, reports came out that Embiid was deliberately disobeying the wishes of the team, not following proper diet restrictions, walking without a boot, dunking, etc.   While a confirmation of the player's lack of maturity it essentially confirmed all the information I was passing along MONTHS before these reports came out... that Embiid was telling people he was fine and walking without a boot. 

Even now, we don't know the full story on Embiid.   What we do know is that the bone graft procedure is the same one that Brook Lopez underwent in Jan 2014 and he's been fine since.  It's also the same bone graft surgery that Kevin Durant underwent in April 2015... and he's playing fine.   And it's being done by the same doctor. 

Assuming in-fact that he didn't re-break his foot (as unsubstantiated reports have suggested without any confirmation from Embiid, the team or doctors surrounding him), We can attempt to connect the dots and speculate a little one what actually happened.  As I relayed back during these "debates", while Embiid felt fine and was running, jumping and dunking without pain... the images of the injury showed that it wasn't yet at a level the team felt comfortable with.  The team likely wanted him to get a bone graft put in to maximize his potential for a long-term career.  Embiid, being an immature young kid who was understandably tired of spending all the time rehabbing, probably wasn't too keen on having another season-ending surgery when he felt well enough to run, jump and dunk without pain...   Ultimately, they convinced him this was the best course of action and he finally agreed to do it months later.. hence the delay.   Again, this is my speculation.  If you want to read about what happened from the perspective of his Surgeon, here's an article on it: http://www.phillymag.com/news/2015/08/19/surgeon-sixer-joel-embiid-foot/

Quote
On July 11th the Sixers announced that Joel Embiid would require a second surgery to repair the navicular bone in his right foot, an injury that was first discovered mere days before the 2014 draft, and one which caused Embiid to miss his entire rookie season.

The surgery, which included replacing the two existing screws in Embiid’s foot along with a bone grafting procedure intended to help strengthen the area and promote healing, was performed Tuesday at the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York City.

"Visual inspection suggested good vascularity of the bone," said Dr. Martin J. O'Malley, the surgeon who headed up the operation. "We were able to identify that bone's integrity was even better than expected and has been put in a great position to support full recovery."

O'Malley is a renowned foot and ankle specialist who has performed several surgeries on high-profile NBA players. His recent clients include Nets' center Brook Lopez, who had surgery in January 2014 to repair a fractured fifth metatarsal in his right foot, and Kevin Durant, who underwent a bone graft for the fifth metatarsal in his right foot this past April.
...
When the team sent out its press release on July 11th announcing the need for surgery, they anticipated the operation would occur within the next 7-10 days. The wait instead dragged on for over a month without an update, causing some to wonder whether Embiid was in agreement.

The delay, instead, came down to selecting who would perform the surgery.

"From that point Joel had some additional diligence that he wanted to do, like talk to players," Hinkie said about the delay. "He had talked to a number of the players that had first hand experience, as a patient, with the various surgeons that we were looking at. I thought it was a really reasonable approach and a good way to think about it if you're a patient."
...
Hinkie reiterated that Embiid did not suffer another fracture. Instead, a CT scan in early June revealed less healing than expected.

Hinkie also addressed why a bone graft was not done during the initial surgery last year. While he was quick to point out that the Sixers weren't involved with the first surgery, he stuck up for the decision.

"It's not something people always start with," Hinkie said about the bone graft. "[It's] increasingly popular, but you're often seeing it happen on the second time through."

Read more at http://www.phillymag.com/news/2015/08/19/surgeon-sixer-joel-embiid-foot/#SEeUGTeHE1vm07hT.99

All that said, when it was first announced that Embiid would miss this season, I immediately jumped onto this forum, changed my thumbnail to a guy eating crow, admitted that I was wrong about him playing this season, and took my licks like a man... despite the fact that if you go back and read literally any of those threads, the only one that had any clue what he was talking about... remains me.  Per usual, you have a small selection of fans who want to rub my face in the dirt and squeel "admit you're wrong!, admit you're wrong!" when they themselves have no clear grasp of my stance.   

When I'm wrong, I'll let you know.  But I'm not going to come out and say "whoops, the Nets didn't win 35-40 games... my bad" when we're less than half through the season and I prefaced that comment by saying "if they stay healthy".   I assure you, nobody wants me to be wrong more than myself.  But it'd be a little stupid for me to say "I'm wrong" when I'm not yet wrong.  That goes likewise for my thread asking if the team would be better off trading the #16 pick for Nik Stuaskas.  If Rozier ends up having a better career than Nik Stauskas, remind me and I'll admit to my dumb idea.   But as of today, there's no tangible evidence to suggest that was a bad idea considering my entire premise was built around Nik Stauskas likely having more POTENTIAL than the guy we'd end up taking 16th.   

What I have no interest in dealing with, is some folks (perhaps you are one of them... I can't place your name) turning several threads into a "bash LarBrd33 for his dumb ideas" conversation before my ideas have even been proven to be dumb.  That's lame and derails way too many of these threads that I'm actually trying to make a genuine effort in providing my (admitted often warped) perspective on. 

« Last Edit: January 13, 2016, 07:26:34 PM by LarBrd33 »

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #48 on: January 13, 2016, 07:11:34 PM »

Offline Al91

  • Anfernee Simons
  • Posts: 347
  • Tommy Points: 18
My thoughts are similar to your own, OP.

I don't know these days. The Cs appear to be the same old team from the past two years, despite the difference in record.

I'm sure at this point in the season they have a better record against Western Conference teams than those in the East, not as good a thing as one may think with the West's mediocre start this year compared to all the teams vying for the playoffs here in the East that the Cs lose to.

I feel as if expectations are high each off season, and of course they should be in recent years. We've rebounded well from trading away Paul and KG, yet perhaps we fool ourselves into thinking we're a year away from contending when we're actually about 3-4 years from doing so. I hate to say it, but from what this team has shown me this year, I'm starting to think it's better to hold off until LeBron sharply declines before making the move for a superstar. The caveat there is that what it will take to land a superstar is likely to be a handful of our own players that we've been crafting in Brad's system for years, only to bring someone in unfamiliar with Brad's coaching.

Someone make me an optimist again, please. I'm all over the place with this team currently.
Long-form is far from dead, but please refrain from paragraph-laden posts! Who wants to read that?!

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #49 on: January 13, 2016, 07:20:21 PM »

Offline moiso

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7699
  • Tommy Points: 449
One observation to the OP that may or may not have been mentioned in this thread... You repeat yourself a lot.  Over and over and over.  I just skimmed over that last post and saw the same stuff about Embiid that you've already said a million other times.  You type the same stuff so much that we already know what you are going to say without even reading it.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #50 on: January 13, 2016, 07:27:41 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

  • Robert Parish
  • *********************
  • Posts: 21238
  • Tommy Points: 2016
One observation to the OP that may or may not have been mentioned in this thread... You repeat yourself a lot.  Over and over and over.  I just skimmed over that last post and saw the same stuff about Embiid that you've already said a million other times.
Yes... I repeat myself all the time... and yet my stance still gets taken out of context and twisted.  Go figure.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #51 on: January 13, 2016, 07:27:52 PM »

Offline Ilikesports17

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8780
  • Tommy Points: 856
I think in general people get too personally invested in agreeing or disagree with one another on here, like it's a competition or something and there's a scoreboard somewhere.

Disagreement is not a personal attack.  Agreement is not an expression of approval of everything a person has ever said.

We can all do a better job of adding to the conversation, in a way that invites and challenges others to do so too.

Phosita  there is kind of a difference between posters disagreeing with each other and what is happening here. We both post a lot, and we have some pretty different views on things, but overwhelmingly I would say we have a fairly productive dialogue. At least a decent amount of our debate concludes with "that is a pretty good point." (ie our discussion on the playoff thread) I feel like it is that way with just about everyone on these forums. However, time and time again you see one posters getting in battles with multiple posters, creating a thread with their username in the title and sidetracking conversations into the same debates over and over again. This is different behavior and creates controversy and anger for a lot of people. While I think it is a fair counter point to say that people (myself included) could do a better job of not taking the bait, I also think it is a fair question to ask why one person is repeatedly trying to stir the pot and bait other posters.

I tend to agree with you on a lot of what you said here, which is why in my first response to this thread I said that my biggest problem with LarBrd is not his "pessimism" but that discussions involving him tend to become about him -- whether that's his fault or not -- as opposed to the Celtics or NBA basketball in general.

I was going to title this "General Optimism thread"... I dont' think I have a major history of creating threads with my name in it.  As I said in the previous page, I mostly just wanted one place where people following me from thread to thread baiting me into arguments would see that I have some broad optimism about this team as well.   I think it did it's job, judging by the amount of my detractors who have crawled out of the flooring to comment in this thread.   

Hopefully this puts to rest the daily occurrences of people derailing threads to comment about how LarBrd33's "underrating of our players and overrrating of other team's players is out of control" or suggesting that I'm obscenely biased against the Celtics.   It's silly.   There's a few things that I'm very pleased with about this team... I listed them in this thread.   Hopefully that helps cut down on the riffraff being perpetuated by a small clique of instigators.

 if you happen to be wrong about something, don't be afraid to say you are wrong in the present moment.
I have no trouble admitting when I am wrong.  For instance, I spent the summer reading all the news coming out about Joel Embiid.   The consensus was he felt fine, was walking around without a boot, dunking in practice... his former coach said Joel was fine.  His friends said he was fine.  Personal anecdotes from podcasters who spent time with him suggested he was fine.   The team officially hadn't come out to say anything was wrong with him and actually denied reports that he had re-injured anything... their public stance was that they just wanted to get Embiid as healthy as possible to have a long-term career.  They merely said that his level of healing wasn't where they wanted it to be   All signs pointed to his injury slowly healing, but probably not in time for him to make the scheduled appearance in Summer league.   Insight from medical professionals following the story speculated that while his bone was healing, the tissue around the bone hadn't yet filled in... and while Embiid likely could play without pain, there was still a risk of re-injury and the team was likely just being cautious with their potential franchise player... likely trying to avoid a Greg Oden situation, and delaying his return until the regular season (months away) instead of letting him suit up for Summer league with the foot at 80%.  There was also a growing sentiment from some fans that Philly was deliberately keeping Embiid's situation under wraps, because the draft was approaching and the team strongly preferred to land D'Angelo Russell with the #3 pick... the belief was that the team was nervous that the Lakers would take Russell ahead of them and then force Philly to give up extra assets to trade up even though most signs pointed to Okafor being the Lakers real target.  The assumption was that Philly would never take Okafor 3rd with both healthy Embiid and Noel returning... so it benefited Philly to suggest Embiid might not return.   It was a semi-ridiculous concept, but one that had been gaining momentum.   Based on all of this, I believed Embiid was probably going to be fine and would likely suit up for the team opening day.  It was based on my research of the situation with the little tangible information available.   I shared what I knew... made an educated guess, but I was quick to point out that NOBODY outside of Philly really knew what the hell was going on.

On the flip side, there were a bunch of juvenile members of this board who had an opinion on Embiid that can be summed up more or less as, "lol next Greg Oden... some rando on twitter says he re-broke his foot and Philly is refusing to admit it... lolz @ PHilly".   Either way, it was still a conspiracy theory... that the team was intentionally lying about Embiid's situation when there was no real reason to do so... and arbitrarily delaying his surgery for no apparent reason?... made no sense.   There was nothing tangible to back up this stance other than "Greg Oden". 


So then it comes out that Embiid would be having a bone graft.  Still to this day, many months later, it has yet to be confirmed if Embiid did indeed re-break anything.  There was an unconfirmed report some months ago that he rebroke a bone in his foot, but officially the word from Philly was:

Quote
It is unclear why the procedure was delayed, but the team announced Tuesday that Embiid “underwent a bone graft procedure of the navicular bone” in order “to maximize his opportunity for a long and successful NBA career.”

Later, reports came out that Embiid was deliberately disobeying the wishes of the team, not following proper diet restrictions, walking without a boot, dunking, etc.   While a confirmation of the player's lack of maturity it essentially confirmed all the information I was passing along MONTHS before these reports came out... that Embiid was telling people he was fine and walking without a boot. 

Even now, we don't know the full story on Embiid.   What we do know is that the bone graft procedure is the same one that Brook Lopez underwent in Jan 2014 and he's been fine since.  It's also the same bone graft surgery that Kevin Durant underwent in April 2015... and he's playing fine.   And it's being done by the same doctor. 

Assuming in-fact that he didn't re-break his foot (as unsubstantiated reports have suggested without any confirmation from Embiid, the team or doctors surrounding him), We can attempt to connect the dots and speculate a little one what actually happened.  As I relayed back during these "debates", while Embiid felt fine and was running, jumping and dunking without pain... the images of the injury showed that it wasn't yet at a level the team felt comfortable with.  The team likely wanted him to get a bone graft put in to maximize his potential for a long-term career.  Embiid, being an immature young kid who was understandably tired of spending all the time rehabbing, probably wasn't too keen on having another season-ending surgery when he felt well enough to run, jump and dunk without pain...   Ultimately, they convinced him this was the best course of action and he finally agreed to do it months later.. hence the delay.   Again, this is my speculation.  If you want to read about what happened from the perspective of his Surgeon, here's an article on it: http://www.phillymag.com/news/2015/08/19/surgeon-sixer-joel-embiid-foot/

All that said, when it was first announced that Embiid would miss this season, I immediately jumped onto this forum, changed my thumbnail to a guy eating crow, admitted that I was wrong about him playing this season, and took my licks like a man.   

When I'm wrong, I'll let you know.  But I'm not going to come out and say "whoops, the Nets didn't win 35-40 games... my bad" when we're less than half through the season and I prefaced that comment by saying "if they stay healthy".   I assure you, nobody wants me to be wrong more than myself.  But it'd be a little stupid for me to say "I'm wrong" when I'm not yet wrong.  That goes likewise for my thread asking if the team would be better off trading the #16 pick for Nik Stuaskas.  If Rozier ends up having a better career than Nik Stauskas, remind me and I'll admit to my dumb idea.   But as of today, there's no tangible evidence to suggest that was a bad idea considering my entire premise was built around Nik Stauskas likely having more POTENTIAL than the guy we'd end up taking 16th.   

What I have no interest in dealing with, is some folks (perhaps you are one of them... I can't place your name) turning this thread into a "bash LarBrd33 for his dumb ideas" thread before my ideas have even been proven to be dumb.  That's lame and derails way too many of these threads that I'm actually trying to make a genuine effort in providing my (admitted often warped) perspective on.
On the Nets prediction, I think thats unfair. No team is ever going to be 100% healthy and at no point this seasons have the Nets looked like a 35 win team. They started by playing horrific basketball and then put themselves in a hole that would have required them to play above 500 for a long time to reach 35 games.

Also their biggest weakness is depth, which is overated as you have mentioned in the context of 1 game or a playoff series. But over an 82 game season when you are relying on almost exclusively old and injury prone players depth is really important. If you predicted them to win 35-40 based on the expectation that the whole squad remains healthy, then you had a huge flaw in the process you used to evaluate the team.

I expected them to give us a pick in the 7-12 range. I was wrong. I though Johnson still had something in the tank, I thought Jarret Jack was underrated by this forum and I thought theyd just be an OK team. I was wrong. Id be shocked to see that pick slide out of the top 7 now.



Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #52 on: January 13, 2016, 07:31:53 PM »

Offline celticsclay

  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16188
  • Tommy Points: 1407
I think in general people get too personally invested in agreeing or disagree with one another on here, like it's a competition or something and there's a scoreboard somewhere.

Disagreement is not a personal attack.  Agreement is not an expression of approval of everything a person has ever said.

We can all do a better job of adding to the conversation, in a way that invites and challenges others to do so too.

Phosita  there is kind of a difference between posters disagreeing with each other and what is happening here. We both post a lot, and we have some pretty different views on things, but overwhelmingly I would say we have a fairly productive dialogue. At least a decent amount of our debate concludes with "that is a pretty good point." (ie our discussion on the playoff thread) I feel like it is that way with just about everyone on these forums. However, time and time again you see one posters getting in battles with multiple posters, creating a thread with their username in the title and sidetracking conversations into the same debates over and over again. This is different behavior and creates controversy and anger for a lot of people. While I think it is a fair counter point to say that people (myself included) could do a better job of not taking the bait, I also think it is a fair question to ask why one person is repeatedly trying to stir the pot and bait other posters.

I tend to agree with you on a lot of what you said here, which is why in my first response to this thread I said that my biggest problem with LarBrd is not his "pessimism" but that discussions involving him tend to become about him -- whether that's his fault or not -- as opposed to the Celtics or NBA basketball in general.

I was going to title this "General Optimism thread"... I dont' think I have a major history of creating threads with my name in it.  As I said in the previous page, I mostly just wanted one place where people following me from thread to thread baiting me into arguments would see that I have some broad optimism about this team as well.   I think it did it's job, judging by the amount of my detractors who have crawled out of the flooring to comment in this thread.   

Hopefully this puts to rest the daily occurrences of people derailing threads to comment about how LarBrd33's "underrating of our players and overrrating of other team's players is out of control" or suggesting that I'm obscenely biased against the Celtics.   It's silly.   There's a few things that I'm very pleased with about this team... I listed them in this thread.   Hopefully that helps cut down on the riffraff being perpetuated by a small clique of instigators.

 if you happen to be wrong about something, don't be afraid to say you are wrong in the present moment.
I have no trouble admitting when I am wrong.  For instance, I spent the summer reading all the news coming out about Joel Embiid.   The consensus was he felt fine, was walking around without a boot, dunking in practice... his former coach said Joel was fine.  His friends said he was fine.  Personal anecdotes from podcasters who spent time with him suggested he was fine.   The team officially hadn't come out to say anything was wrong with him and actually denied reports that he had re-injured anything... their public stance was that they just wanted to get Embiid as healthy as possible to have a long-term career.  They merely said that his level of healing wasn't where they wanted it to be   All signs pointed to his injury slowly healing, but probably not in time for him to make the scheduled appearance in Summer league.   Insight from medical professionals following the story speculated that while his bone was healing, the tissue around the bone hadn't yet filled in... and while Embiid likely could play without pain, there was still a risk of re-injury and the team was likely just being cautious with their potential franchise player... likely trying to avoid a Greg Oden situation, and delaying his return until the regular season (months away) instead of letting him suit up for Summer league with the foot at 80%.  There was also a growing sentiment from some fans that Philly was deliberately keeping Embiid's situation under wraps, because the draft was approaching and the team strongly preferred to land D'Angelo Russell with the #3 pick... the belief was that the team was nervous that the Lakers would take Russell ahead of them and then force Philly to give up extra assets to trade up even though most signs pointed to Okafor being the Lakers real target.  The assumption was that Philly would never take Okafor 3rd with both healthy Embiid and Noel returning... so it benefited Philly to suggest Embiid might not return.   It was a semi-ridiculous concept, but one that had been gaining momentum.   Based on all of this, I believed Embiid was probably going to be fine and would likely suit up for the team opening day.  It was based on my research of the situation with the little tangible information available.   I shared what I knew... made an educated guess, but I was quick to point out that NOBODY outside of Philly really knew what the hell was going on.

On the flip side, there were a bunch of juvenile members of this board who had an opinion on Embiid that can be summed up more or less as, "lol next Greg Oden... some rando on twitter says he re-broke his foot and Philly is refusing to admit it... lolz @ PHilly".   Either way, it was still a conspiracy theory... that the team was intentionally lying about Embiid's situation when there was no real reason to do so... and arbitrarily delaying his surgery for no apparent reason?... made no sense.   There was nothing tangible to back up this stance other than "Greg Oden". 


So then it comes out that Embiid would be having a bone graft.  Still to this day, many months later, it has yet to be confirmed if Embiid did indeed re-break anything.  There was an unconfirmed report some months ago that he rebroke a bone in his foot, but officially the word from Philly was:

Quote
It is unclear why the procedure was delayed, but the team announced Tuesday that Embiid “underwent a bone graft procedure of the navicular bone” in order “to maximize his opportunity for a long and successful NBA career.”

Later, reports came out that Embiid was deliberately disobeying the wishes of the team, not following proper diet restrictions, walking without a boot, dunking, etc.   While a confirmation of the player's lack of maturity it essentially confirmed all the information I was passing along MONTHS before these reports came out... that Embiid was telling people he was fine and walking without a boot. 

Even now, we don't know the full story on Embiid.   What we do know is that the bone graft procedure is the same one that Brook Lopez underwent in Jan 2014 and he's been fine since.  It's also the same bone graft surgery that Kevin Durant underwent in April 2015... and he's playing fine.   And it's being done by the same doctor. 

Assuming in-fact that he didn't re-break his foot (as unsubstantiated reports have suggested without any confirmation from Embiid, the team or doctors surrounding him), We can attempt to connect the dots and speculate a little one what actually happened.  As I relayed back during these "debates", while Embiid felt fine and was running, jumping and dunking without pain... the images of the injury showed that it wasn't yet at a level the team felt comfortable with.  The team likely wanted him to get a bone graft put in to maximize his potential for a long-term career.  Embiid, being an immature young kid who was understandably tired of spending all the time rehabbing, probably wasn't too keen on having another season-ending surgery when he felt well enough to run, jump and dunk without pain...   Ultimately, they convinced him this was the best course of action and he finally agreed to do it months later.. hence the delay.   Again, this is my speculation.  If you want to read about what happened from the perspective of his Surgeon, here's an article on it: http://www.phillymag.com/news/2015/08/19/surgeon-sixer-joel-embiid-foot/

All that said, when it was first announced that Embiid would miss this season, I immediately jumped onto this forum, changed my thumbnail to a guy eating crow, admitted that I was wrong about him playing this season, and took my licks like a man.   

When I'm wrong, I'll let you know.  But I'm not going to come out and say "whoops, the Nets didn't win 35-40 games... my bad" when we're less than half through the season and I prefaced that comment by saying "if they stay healthy".   I assure you, nobody wants me to be wrong more than myself.  But it'd be a little stupid for me to say "I'm wrong" when I'm not yet wrong.  That goes likewise for my thread asking if the team would be better off trading the #16 pick for Nik Stuaskas.  If Rozier ends up having a better career than Nik Stauskas, remind me and I'll admit to my dumb idea.   But as of today, there's no tangible evidence to suggest that was a bad idea considering my entire premise was built around Nik Stauskas likely having more POTENTIAL than the guy we'd end up taking 16th.   

What I have no interest in dealing with, is some folks (perhaps you are one of them... I can't place your name) turning this thread into a "bash LarBrd33 for his dumb ideas" thread before my ideas have even been proven to be dumb.  That's lame and derails way too many of these threads that I'm actually trying to make a genuine effort in providing my (admitted often warped) perspective on.
On the Nets prediction, I think thats unfair. No team is ever going to be 100% healthy and at no point this seasons have the Nets looked like a 35 win team. They started by playing horrific basketball and then put themselves in a hole that would have required them to play above 500 for a long time to reach 35 games.

Also their biggest weakness is depth, which is overated as you have mentioned in the context of 1 game or a playoff series. But over an 82 game season when you are relying on almost exclusively old and injury prone players depth is really important. If you predicted them to win 35-40 based on the expectation that the whole squad remains healthy, then you had a huge flaw in the process you used to evaluate the team.

I expected them to give us a pick in the 7-12 range. I was wrong. I though Johnson still had something in the tank, I thought Jarret Jack was underrated by this forum and I thought theyd just be an OK team. I was wrong. Id be shocked to see that pick slide out of the top 7 now.

TP for being honest about it. This is one of the few things I have been right on recently. Have been way off on my expections and predictions for celtics and their players this year.


Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #53 on: January 13, 2016, 07:38:15 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

  • Robert Parish
  • *********************
  • Posts: 21238
  • Tommy Points: 2016
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #54 on: January 13, 2016, 07:46:13 PM »

Offline Ilikesports17

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8780
  • Tommy Points: 856
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.
Quote
That's all well and good, but they could win 50 games next year and I wouldn't be surprised.   Just depends on what happens with Lopez and Thadeus.   With both those guys healthy, they should be a playoff team again next year.
this was pre Deron Williams, and I dont mean it in the "LarBrd is a stupid idiot hahahaha" vein but I do have to remind you you posted it.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #55 on: January 13, 2016, 07:46:13 PM »

Offline celticsclay

  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16188
  • Tommy Points: 1407
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.

An important note there were multiple teams (including the celtics) that made the playoffs last season at under .500? The 6th seeded Bucks were only .500. Today halfway through the season the celtics are stuck in 10th place with a .500 record. I always maintain anything can happen, but they look like a bad team, they have looked and played bad all season with the exception of a few stretches of games. 40 some games in you have a good idea that a team is bad if they have won 10 games.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #56 on: January 13, 2016, 07:49:01 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

  • Robert Parish
  • *********************
  • Posts: 21238
  • Tommy Points: 2016
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.
Quote
That's all well and good, but they could win 50 games next year and I wouldn't be surprised.   Just depends on what happens with Lopez and Thadeus.   With both those guys healthy, they should be a playoff team again next year.
this was pre Deron Williams, and I dont mean it in the "LarBrd is a stupid idiot hahahaha" vein but I do have to remind you you posted it.
Sure... had they won 50 games this year, I wouldn't have been surprised.   Things stopped surprising me Junior year of high school when dad came out of the closet.  You wouldn't have guessed... dude was a womanizing slob. 

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #57 on: January 13, 2016, 07:51:09 PM »

Offline Ilikesports17

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8780
  • Tommy Points: 856
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.
Quote
That's all well and good, but they could win 50 games next year and I wouldn't be surprised.   Just depends on what happens with Lopez and Thadeus.   With both those guys healthy, they should be a playoff team again next year.
this was pre Deron Williams, and I dont mean it in the "LarBrd is a stupid idiot hahahaha" vein but I do have to remind you you posted it.
Sure... had they won 50 games this year, I wouldn't have been surprised.   Things stopped surprising me Junior year of high school when dad came out of the closet.  You wouldn't have guessed... dude was a womanizing slob.
Well things took an unexpected turn here.

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #58 on: January 13, 2016, 07:51:50 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

  • Robert Parish
  • *********************
  • Posts: 21238
  • Tommy Points: 2016
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.

An important note there were multiple teams (including the celtics) that made the playoffs last season at under .500? The 6th seeded Bucks were only .500. Today halfway through the season the celtics are stuck in 10th place with a .500 record. I always maintain anything can happen, but they look like a bad team, they have looked and played bad all season with the exception of a few stretches of games. 40 some games in you have a good idea that a team is bad if they have won 10 games.
Yeah... so it's fair to point out that I also expected Boston to win about 45 games this season... 

So seeing as this thread was intended to focus on some optimism... how about that growing possibility that Boston ends up with two lotto picks... one of which ends up top 5.   It's worthy of excitement. 

Re: LarBrd33's Optimism Thread
« Reply #59 on: January 13, 2016, 07:52:55 PM »

Offline celticsclay

  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16188
  • Tommy Points: 1407
Clay, Ilikesports17... just want to point out that just last year, Boston flipped their entire roster mid season and ended up digging themselves out from 17 games under .500 to make the playoffs and pick 16th...

While the Brooklyn pick is by far the most exciting part of this season... and they have started the season extremely slow... it's still too early for me to call this a top 5 pick.  People hyper-focus on my comment saying "they should win around 35-40 if they stay healthy" and miss the overall sentiment... that there's talent on that team and you can't totally rule out talent over the long-haul of a season... and that I was expecting the pick to land somewhere in the 12-17 range. 

If I end up being wrong on that... we'll celebrate together as Celtic fans.  But I sure as heck aint taking Ilikesports17's jinx approach of calling this pick a victory with 44 games left in the season.  I'll remain stubborn on this as long as it takes.  I don't want that blood on my hand if Brooklyn turns it around.
Quote
That's all well and good, but they could win 50 games next year and I wouldn't be surprised.   Just depends on what happens with Lopez and Thadeus.   With both those guys healthy, they should be a playoff team again next year.
this was pre Deron Williams, and I dont mean it in the "LarBrd is a stupid idiot hahahaha" vein but I do have to remind you you posted it.
Sure... had they won 50 games this year, I wouldn't have been surprised.   Things stopped surprising me Junior year of high school when dad came out of the closet.  You wouldn't have guessed... dude was a womanizing slob.
Well things took an unexpected turn here.
Yea... well lets hope the celtics win tonight!