So realistically without any injuries or trades, they could be as bad as 6-24 or as good as 12-18. But let's assume they're closer to the bad side and start the new year between 5 and 8 wins. Remember, December through February is when trades start picking up in advance of the trade deadline.
What is their best move at that point? Since they'd pretty much already be out of the playoff race at that point, should they: a) blow it all up and try and bring in picks and younger pieces, or b) still keep it together since they have no incentive to blow it up or be bad?
What is our best move at that point? With the Nets picked firmly entrenched in a race for a bottom three seed, do we act proactively and try and utilize that pick to trade for a disgruntled star, or do we keep it until this summer when we know exactly when the pick will be?
(Rock) Brooklyn (Hard Place)
Blow it up:
Upside: Blow it up for draft picks and you'll get to start your rebuild earlier, knowing that it's going to be a few years.
Downside: You'll lose out on 2016 top free agents. Also, how many "bubble" teams are there who will have attractive draft picks
and where Lopez is enough of an upgrade to make a difference? Since neither we nor Philly want him, and those two teams seem to control about 80% of the picks for this draft, that rules out a lot of options. There's probably a three-way trade to be made here, but I'm not creative enough to figure it out.
Stay intact:
Upside: You have no chance of getting a top free agent if Lopez is gone. Maybe you get lucky and pick up a couple of good free agents, which gives you a shot in the East.
Downside: I don't even know where to begin. First, didn't they try this a few years ago? I seem to remember that this thread is possible because of a similar move. They can't trade their future because it's already gone. Likewise, who is left in free agency that, paired with Lopez, could make this a title team? Mike Conley isn't going anywhere. Durant isn't in your future. And finally, you've delayed the rebuild another three years. If you're Brooklyn, you've gotta be realistic about your chances of landing a top guy.
Bottom Line:
It ain't pretty, but ya gotta blow it up. Brooklyn doesn't
want to give us a top draft pick, but ya know what? That doesn't matter anymore. They might as well ask for ponies. The pick is gone. Poof. Disappeared. Swallow your pride, admit that you're hosed for the next few years and start over again. A team who needs Lopez now probably doesn't give you a great 2016 draft pick, but who knows what that same team looks like down the line? Maybe their 2018 pick is good.
Mike