We will be really lucky if the Nets finish in the bottom 5.
And yes, teams that have kept their draft pick and have no chance of entering the playoffs will tank...
I don't think luck has anything to do with it. Brooklyn has been the 3rd worst team for half the season, and I see no reason to believe they will all of a sudden start playing better. They've been getting worse, actually.
I realize people expect Brooklyn to keep fighting for wins, and they probably will. But I don't think it matters, they are what their record says they are, a really bad basketball team. I don't think they are capable of winning at any greater percentage than they have been.
Just looking at scoring differential, maybe Phoenix could sink below them, but I don't see anyone else being bad enough. That leaves Brooklyn at #4. Minnesota doesn't seem like they are interested in tanking, per se. They already have a solid core in place, it's better for them to keep developing the young guys exactly as they have been. I could actually see them picking up the pace towards the end of the season as other teams around them rest players more. So I don't think Minnesota falls below Brooklyn.
I'd imagine 4th is the highest Brooklyn rises, and 3rd still looks like the most likely result.