30 games left -- what's your win total?

[vinnie]

I now think they will win 31 games, which is better than the 25-27 I picked in the beginning of the season. 31-51 and 10th in the east.

[LarBrd33]

Spent most of this season not caring, but it's clear that the best move right now is to tank.  We're 2 games out of the playoffs, but we also only have 2 more wins than the team with the 5th worst record in basketball.    If you had to choose a direction, would you rather us get a top 5 pick or make the playoffs (with a losing record), get owned, and end up picking 16th? 

Playoff reform can't come soon enough. 

[hwangjini_1]

Spent most of this season not caring, but it's clear that the best move right now is to tank.  We're 2 games out of the playoffs, but we also only have 2 more wins than the team with the 5th worst record in basketball.    If you had to choose a direction, would you rather us get a top 5 pick or make the playoffs (with a losing record), get owned, and end up picking 16th? 

Playoff reform can't come soon enough.

interesting question, but not related to the thread at all.

so far the celtics have amassed 20 wins, better than i thought they would through this much of the season.

the rest is really hard to figure out. so many unknowns, such as- when will sully return? will thomas be able to fit in sooner or later? will KO come back from injury or be bothered the rest of the season?

i picked 25 to 30 wins before this all began. i will go with a grand total of 30 by the end of the season, though this team might surprise me.

[Csfan1984]

33

[BornReady]

It's hard to say right now with the new additions
Like how Thomas fits in and we were perhaps a better with prince at SF

But with injuries to KO and sully and know timetable of their return I can only estimate the range
Before the season I had us almost making the playoffs this year but just missing out but with the trades of rondo and green this has changed expectations for me

I'm going to say that we win between 25- 28
I can see us going down to Orlando and Sacramento and Utah but the rest have pretty solidified their tanking spot
So best case we would be in the same spot last year bottom 5 in the league
Worst case we are 10th last

[KeepRondo]

I broke the remaining games into 6 tiers with the first tier being the easiest games and the 6th tier being the toughest.

Tier 1   -   4 games
Lakers
Sixers
Knicks - 2
Tier 2   -   3 games
Utah
Orlando - 2
Tier 3   -   7 games
Charlotte - 2
Indiana - 2
Detroit - 2
Brooklyn
Tier 4   -   6 games
Phoenix
Milwaukee - 2
Miami - 2
New Orleans
Tier 5   -   3 games
Toronto - 2
Clips
Tier 6   -   7 games
Golden state
Cleveland - 3
Memphis
San Antonio
Oklahoma city

Total wins predicted

3-4 from tier 1
2 from tier 2
3-4 from tier 3
2-3 from tier 4
0-1 from tier 5
0-1 from tier 6

10-15 total wins which is 30-35 wins.

[Redz]

I broke the remaining games into 6 tiers with the first tier being the easiest games and the 6th tier being the toughest.

Tier 1   -   4 games
Lakers
Sixers
Knicks - 2
Tier 2   -   3 games
Utah
Orlando - 2
Tier 3   -   7 games
Charlotte - 2
Indiana - 2
Detroit - 2
Brooklyn
Tier 4   -   6 games
Phoenix
Milwaukee - 2
Miami - 2
New Orleans
Tier 5   -   3 games
Toronto - 2
Clips
Tier 6   -   7 games
Golden state
Cleveland - 3
Memphis
San Antonio
Oklahoma city

Total wins predicted

3-4 from tier 1
2 from tier 2
3-4 from tier 3
2-3 from tier 4
0-1 from tier 5
0-1 from tier 6

10-15 total wins which is 30-35 wins.

[tstorey_97]

When I made my prediction it was dark in the room here and right as I clicked the numbers on the keyboard my foot slipped.

38

[SHAQATTACK]

Without Sully ,  not good ....although IT will make some difference , move the needle some anyway .

Sully is an unmovable object


27 wins total for season without Sully  +7.   = tank for pick

32 wins  total for season. With Sully.  +12.   = playoff 8 seed maybe 


If Sanders is not brain dead , and was added soon ....he could push the needle way over.

[Rosco917]

I'm not gonna lie, I chose 35 wins at the beginning of the season. I even bet on it.

You know why...I GOT BIG MOUTH.

[jonaslopes]

36.

[Rakulp]

I think we'll see more games like last night as long as both Sully and Olynyk are out of the line ups.  Close but no cigar (with a nod towards Red )

KO should be back soon, question mark on Sully.  If I'm the Celtics and we lose 6 of the next 10 games, then maybe Sully should be shut down for the year.  At that point, after another 10 games, hopefully we'll have a better idea if this is a playoff team or lottery team.

Final total - 27

Rak

[Boris Badenov]

I broke the remaining games into 6 tiers with the first tier being the easiest games and the 6th tier being the toughest.

Tier 1   -   4 games
Lakers
Sixers
Knicks - 2
Tier 2   -   3 games
Utah
Orlando - 2
Tier 3   -   7 games
Charlotte - 2
Indiana - 2
Detroit - 2
Brooklyn
Tier 4   -   6 games
Phoenix
Milwaukee - 2
Miami - 2
New Orleans
Tier 5   -   3 games
Toronto - 2
Clips
Tier 6   -   7 games
Golden state
Cleveland - 3
Memphis
San Antonio
Oklahoma city

Total wins predicted

3-4 from tier 1
2 from tier 2
3-4 from tier 3
2-3 from tier 4
0-1 from tier 5
0-1 from tier 6

10-15 total wins which is 30-35 wins.

Thanks for putting that list together, TP.

Hollinger's prediction is 34-48 for what that's worth, in a 4-way tie (ugh) for the 8th-11th slots. I suspect we will be spending a lot of time talking about tiebreakers by the end of the season.

Between our injured bigs, the desire to play the kids and integrating IT, I think we'll have a tough time winning more than 12-13 games.

We also close with a tough schedule against a lot of teams who will be competing hard for playoff positions - for example none of those games against NYK, LAL, PHL, UTA and ORL are in our last 10 of the season - so we won't end up with any of those abominations where we are playing the 76ers in the second to last game of the season, and they suit up 12 guys who look like the cast of Time Bandits.

[spikelovetheCelts]

35. Sully will be back.

[BornReady]

I broke the remaining games into 6 tiers with the first tier being the easiest games and the 6th tier being the toughest.

Tier 1   -   4 games
Lakers
Sixers
Knicks - 2
Tier 2   -   3 games
Utah
Orlando - 2
Tier 3   -   7 games
Charlotte - 2
Indiana - 2
Detroit - 2
Brooklyn
Tier 4   -   6 games
Phoenix
Milwaukee - 2
Miami - 2
New Orleans
Tier 5   -   3 games
Toronto - 2
Clips
Tier 6   -   7 games
Golden state
Cleveland - 3
Memphis
San Antonio
Oklahoma city

Total wins predicted

3-4 from tier 1
2 from tier 2
3-4 from tier 3
2-3 from tier 4
0-1 from tier 5
0-1 from tier 6

10-15 total wins which is 30-35 wins.

Ok judging by your schedule maybe 27-33
I think it depends on how we work as a team with our new additions, plus the sully and Ko injury return

Also it will depend on how well other teams play with their changes
A lot of teams made major moves that can make or break their team chemistry
Buck replacing knight with MCW
Miami adding dragic
Phoenix adding knight and removing dragic and Thomas
OKC adding kanter, Novak, singler
Detroit adding prince and Jackson
Brooklyn adding thad young
Orlando coaching changes

These changes can change how we see team even if they r classified in tiers e.g. Thad young fitting well with the nets and being more productive than garnet would sway a win in their favour
Likewise if MCW didn't fit in with the Bucks it would sway a win in our favour despite being in a higher tier