Bear with me. I'm kind of formulating this thesis as I go. And forewarning: this post will read like a philosophical treatise, so proceed with caution. The aim is to elaborate a justifiable concept of tanking by extrapolating the Catholic principle of double effect to basketball.
To begin, I must note that the term "tanking" will be used differently than it is commonly employed today. It's commonly employed in a negative rather than neutral fashion, making all attempts at tanking unjustified. It's similar to the killing/murder distinction: killing can sometimes be justified whereas murder (by definition) can never be justified. In my argument, tanking will be more similar to the concept of killing than the concept of unjustifiable killing known as murder.
Thus, there are two types of tanking: one justified and one unjustified. A very basic, general definition of tanking is "the process of making one's team worse in the short-term in favor of a greater chance of success long-term." It's not a perfect definition for my usage, but it will suffice.
In Catholic moral theology, many theologians use a normative concept known as the principle of double effect to determine the rightness or wrongness of actions that have both positive and negative effects. This principle is employed by sifting the questionable action through four essential conditions that must be passed for the action to be considered justified. These conditions are:
1) The act cannot be morally evil in itself
2) The bad effect cannot cause the good effect (basically another way of stating condition 1)
3) The true intention of the action must be the good effect not the bad effect
4) The good effect must be equal to or greater than the bad effect
For example, this principle is most commonly used in abortion. Social abortions, for economic reasons or as a means of birth control, cannot pass the conditions, because the action of abortion itself (the killing of the fetus) is morally wrong. However, the paragon example of application of the PDE (principle of double effect) is the case of the cancerous womb where a pregnant woman must have her cancerous womb removed to save her life. This "indirect abortion" is passable under the principle of double effect because: 1) removing the womb, even with the fetus inside, is not morally evil in itself, 2) the good effect, removing the cancer, caused the bad effect, killing the fetus, 3) the true intention of the "indirect abortion" is the removal of the cancerous womb, and 4) saving the life of the mother is equal to the loss of life of the fetus.
So I wonder if we can extrapolate this principle to the realm of basketball in order to distinguish between cases of justifiable and unjustifiable tank jobs. Tanking in basketball is a perfect scenario to try and apply this principle to, because it has all of the necessary ingredients for it to work. The questionable action (tanking) produces both good effects (greater chance at long-term success) and bad effects (a bad team in the short-run). And since this is a fan-driven league, the bad effect of having a bad team in the short-run is a real negative consequence to everyone involved (owners, players, coaches, management, etc.) However, since it's not a clear-cut application of the PDE with similar concepts in play, some assumptions will have to be made:
1) purposefully losing games (by sitting players, calling bad plays, messing up on purpose, etc.) is wrong/bad/evil
2) selling off players for way under market value just to make the team worse is wrong/bad/evil
(NOTE: the Rondo trade was NOT an example of this. An example of this would be trading Rondo for merely a protected second round pick just so the team would be worse.)
So under these assumptions, basketball's tanking PDE conditions would be:
1) the tank job is not wrong in itself (assumptions 1 and 2 above)
2) the bad effect (sucking short-term) cannot cause the good effect (greater chance at long-term success)
3) The true intention of tanking must be the good effect not the bad effect
4) The good effect must be equal to or greater than the bad effect
So what we have is a set of fairly common-sense conditions that can make a tank job either justified or unjustified. What I'll do now is compare two apparent tank jobs (Boston and Philly) to distinguish the two separate types of tanking.
Condition 1) the tank job is not wrong in itself
It's pretty clear that Boston's tank job is not wrong in itself. They're not losing on purpose, and they're not selling off players for under market value in order to have their team be worse. In fact, in several deals we might have exceeded market value.
Philly, on the other hand, is a much trickier situation, because one can argue that they were selling off their vets, namely Turner and Hawes, for under market value last year in a blatant attempt to get worse now. However, since it's hard to guage market value for those players, it's hard to truly say whether or not they pass this condition. I'm leaning towards a negative.
Condition 2) the bad effect (sucking short-term) cannot cause the good effect (greater chance at long-term success)
Again, Boston's motives seem to clear this condition, too, because playing time, player development, and gaining assets were the main reasons for Boston's trade. For example, the trades of Rondo, Green, Wright, Nelson, and Rivers all cleared playing time for our young guys or gave us future assets rather than nothing. Thus, it was actually the good effect that caused the bad effect, which is justifiable.
Philly is clearly not passing this condition, because one of their main goals is to be bad for several years to get as high of draft picks as possible. This is most clear by their selections of injured big men, Noel and Embiid, and European stashes, Saric. Thus, Philly clearly doesn't pass this condition of tanking's PDE, because the bad effect (horrible team at present) is causing the good effect (high draft choices).
Condition 3) The true intention of tanking must be the good effect not the bad effect
Both teams obviously pass this condition, because the good effect is the main end goal.
Condition 4) The good effect must be equal to or greater than the bad effect
This condition is hard to determine, because the effects in this application of the PDE are a process rather than a singular event. Therefore, it will take years to actually see which of the two teams' tanking efforts passed this condition, but for now we can consider both teams as passing this condition.
To conclude, I think this method of applying a modified PDE to the action of tanking in basketball is an adequate way of distinguishing between justified and unjustified tank jobs. As for the two teams analyzed, Boston passed the conditions of basketball's PDE as applied to tanking; whereas, Philly failed the first two conditions making their tank job unjustified.
What do you guys think about this method? Did I make any assumption that wasn't warranted, or are there other assumptions that need to be added? Is this an interesting way to distinguish tank jobs, or am I just a crazy philosopher who needs to stick to pondering the useless metaphysics of the universe?
