I first saw Exum slipping to four in a mock recently on SI.com.
And here it is:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/nba/news/20140604/nba-mock-draft-joel-embiid-andrew-wiggins-dante-exum/It's possible that Orlando would take Smart over Exum, as they need a PG (Oladipo's future is at the 2) and Smart may be closer to that description than Exum. Also, Exum is still kind of an unknown, at least Smart has a track record.
I also can't see Exum slipping past Utah, in which case losing the coin flip would really hurt. Still, it's not impossible that they simply think Vonleh is the real deal since reports are he's been impressing in workouts. For example, from Chad Ford's "notes" (Insider content):
Indiana's Noah Vonleh continues to make the case that he's the best power forward prospect in the class. He held a workout for NBA execs in Long Island last weekend and wowed many of the people there.
"Vonleh was good," an NBA exec texted me. "Didn't shoot it well, but everything else was very good to ridiculously good."
Another exec was even more complimentary: "Vonleh's got elite physical tools and is very skilled. He should be in the same group with Wiggins, Embiid, Parker and [Dante] Exum."
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/draft2014/story/_/id/11026913/nba-draft-three-weeks-2014-nba-draft-look-latest-notes-top-prospects/refresh/trueOf course, the question then who is hyping Vonleh and why? Could it just be a smokescreen? The fact that he quotes multiple "execs" would suggest it's not just one team spreading misinformation, but you never know. GMs could have picked Vonleh as the guy they're going hype up before the draft in the hope that the guy they really prefer slips. If any exec really loved Vonleh, you have to believe they'd keep their mouth shut over the guy, unless they're guaranteed to be in a position to draft him (that list starts at 4 with Orlando).
Let's say the Celts really do love Aaron Gordon. That quote about Vonleh being just as good as the other top four guys could just be an attempt to dissuade Utah from taking Gordon, or increase the odds Exum might slip to 6.
Isn't draft time so much fun?