I think the whole Indiana team is too immature and not talented enough to take the Heat. The Heat have a mental edge and a talent edge as well.
That said, the Heat have an edge when it comes to 50/50 calls with the refs in many cases. I'm not even watching this series, and it's mainly because I don't have hope for Indiana. If they had a little bit more mental toughness and a bit better scoring ability, they'd be a major threat. It's a shame they did all that work for the #1 seed and aren't going to come close to winning this series. I could see a blowout game 5 on their home floor to end the series.
West is running out of gas, Scola is inconsistent. Hibbert has serious issues. Hill and George don't have enough offense. Stephenson and Turner are nice additions, but not good enough to exploit holes in the Heat defense.