Saltlover: sorry I can't seem to find the quote button on my phone.
I was under the impression that saric is definitely coming over.
If not were in rebuild mode anyway so a year or two overseas will only improve his game/ value
There's been some agent-speak, but actions speak louder than words. It's clear he withdrew from the draft last year. He also took a long time to put his name into the draft. It's also clear that his father gets to make the decisions currently. The gist I've gotten is that he'll come over when he feels he's ready. In one sense, that's good because if he took a few years to continue to develop his game, we'd get a player who's ready to step in Day 1. On the other hand, "ready" could be when his father is ready to have him several thousand miles away, or when he feels "ready" to make his own decisions about his future, and that could be significantly longer than 1-2 years.
As for quoting on the phone -- press your finger on the comment you want to quote, and the quote button should appear. It took me awhile to figure that out recently, too.
This is a accurate summation I think, but to clarify, here's the actual quote from the agent.
DraftExpress: What will need to happen for Saric to join a NBA team immediately next season?
Misko Raznatovic: It's very difficult to predict now. Dario's ultimate dream is to be a NBA All-Star and he absolutely does not accept anything less than that. At this moment he believes that is better to stay in Europe for a season or two, to get a taste of the Euroleague, and then to enter the NBA when he has more experience. He believes that it will be a shortcut for making his dream. But he did not make a final decision about that, and I will not absolutely exclude that option as well. He just wants to make a proper step and be in a place where he will be able to develop and play.
DraftExpress: How can a NBA team be confident that we aren't talking about another Fran Vazquez situation, where the player gets picked in the lottery and decides not to ever sign a NBA contract, which makes the team that drafted him look incredibly foolish and maybe costs a GM his job?
Misko Raznatovic: I really believe that after talking for five minutes with Dario, that doubt will be gone. He cannot wait to become a NBA player, and this is his ultimate goal. He will be in the league no later than 2016, and with good chances to start earlier.
DraftExpress: Why is Dario's father so anti-NBA?
Misko Raznatovic: He is absolutely not anti-NBA. He is just against him coming to the league this summer, because he believes it's too early for him. He was teammates with Drazen Petrovic, along with other Croatian former NBA players from that period, and he strongly believes that they (Kukoc, Radja, Petrovic) had success in the NBA due to coming later in their career (after a couple of serious seasons in the Euroleague).
From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com#ixzz32YfCD4bc
http://www.draftexpress.com
Thanks for finding that. This was the "agent-speak" I was referring to. TP.
I should clarify, I do think it more likely than not that he'll be in the NBA in 2-3 years, but 1) it is not guaranteed, 2) you do have to wait, and 3) when he does come over, there will still be an adjustment period. To me that means he has substantially more risk than some of the other players at #6, and I'm not sure any more potential value to make the risk worth taking. Higher risk should mean higher reward. To me, the reward is probably equal to Vonleh, Gordon, or Smart, so I wouldn't take Saric until those three were off the board (presumably around #9.)
This isn't to say the other players don't have their risks -- they all do, in terms of development. But Saric has to both develop and come to the US, which is where the extra risk comes from.