8 games left. I think we finish 5th worst with 29.2% chance of a top 3 pick.

[Quetzalcoatl]

I can't tell really how I feel about this, but I bet you feel stupid now thinking we could beat the 6ers! 

[nickagneta]

I won't cry myself to sleep if we win tonight, but a win coupled with a Utah win plants us in the 6th postion.  In addition, that scenario secures the 4/5 worst record for the Lakers -- ahead of us, unless the ping-pong balls fall correctly. 

Think of things this way, if the scenario comes true but the Celtics win the lottery while LA is selecting 6th or 7th, imagine all the fun you could have trolling Laker blog sites rubbing it in that the Lakers could have won the #1 slot and not been picking 6th or 7th if they simply tried to win a couple more games.

[Boston Garden Leprechaun]

Draftexpress has a history of the draft lottery...complete with what every teams odds were and where they landed.  Pretty intersting.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-draft-lottery-history/

thank you, having the worst record doesn't guarantee you a top pick. I hope the ping pong balls fall our way though!

Seems like the fifth slot gets into the top three an awful lot.

Cool. Makes me feel better about our chances to get in the top three.

You know this isn't how randomness works, right?

I do. Sure history has do bearing on the lottery at hand.

The law of large numbers says that given enough drawings of a lottery, every scenario will eventually come true. But in any data collection of lottery results over a large set of lotteries , clear patterns can sometimes emerge. Those patterns can at times give heart to gamblers that the pattern will or could continue and there's been a lot of people that of made millions following such patterns in the gambling world.

Yup, each and every lottery drawing starts the odds all over again but the coincidences of number pattern emergence can not be disputed within the histories/data collections of those lotteries.

If anything, it gives us heart and hope. Nothing wrong with that.

agreed

[hpantazo]

well, with the Wizards in a must win on wednesday, and the lakers making a run right now vs the Jazz, we may have a legit shot at the 4th spot.

[footey]

If Jazz lose tonight they will remain one loss worse than us going into final game.  Here's hoping the Jazz beat the Wolves their last game, and we lose to the Wiz.   Then win the coin flip and get the 4th slot.  The odds of all that happening are pretty remote.

[Smokeeye123]

If Jazz lose tonight they will remain one loss worse than us going into final game.  Here's hoping the Jazz beat the Wolves their last game, and we lose to the Wiz.   Then win the coin flip and get the 4th slot.  The odds of all that happening are pretty remote.

So you're saying there's a chance.

[Boston Garden Leprechaun]

If Jazz lose tonight they will remain one loss worse than us going into final game.  Here's hoping the Jazz beat the Wolves their last game, and we lose to the Wiz.   Then win the coin flip and get the 4th slot.  The odds of all that happening are pretty remote.

So you're saying there's a chance.

lol

[Smokeeye123]

If the Celtics lose to the Wizards and keep the fifth pick I'm giving the OP like 10 tommy points.

Also after the game I think i'll change my picture to a rabbits foot/horseshoe/4leaf clover.

Maybe ill make a collage of anything lucky I can think of.

[Smokeeye123]

double post-delete

[footey]

If Jazz lose tonight they will remain one loss worse than us going into final game.  Here's hoping the Jazz beat the Wolves their last game, and we lose to the Wiz.   Then win the coin flip and get the 4th slot.  The odds of all that happening are pretty remote.

TP

So you're saying there's a chance.

[LarBrd33]

Remember at the beginning of the season a lot of people had Julius Randle above Wiggins and Parker?   Now he's the consensus #5?  Crazy. 

Does anyone else think Exum has a shot at slipping, btw?  Couldn't 1 or 2 teams pass on him, because of his unknown body of work?... 

[BigAlTheFuture]

Remember at the beginning of the season a lot of people had Julius Randle above Wiggins and Parker?   Now he's the consensus #5?  Crazy. 

Does anyone else think Exum has a shot at slipping, btw?

Scouts were saying how he would've been the consensus number one pick in a "non-Wiggins draft." Crazy indeed.

And I think Exum has a better chance of jumping into the top 3 than he does at slipping.

[Kane3387]

Remember at the beginning of the season a lot of people had Julius Randle above Wiggins and Parker?   Now he's the consensus #5?  Crazy. 

Does anyone else think Exum has a shot at slipping, btw?

Scouts were saying how he would've been the consensus number one pick in a "non-Wiggins draft." Crazy indeed.

And I think Exum has a better chance of jumping into the top 3 than he does at slipping.

After individual workouts, interviews, health inspections etc. I expect the list to change. Think randle will rise.

Think the consensus top five will be:

1. Embiid assuming back is not an issue
2. Wiggins
3. Randle
4. Exum
5. Parker

That's my gut. Think in workouts randle will tear the other bigs up and show he's more skilled and a better shooter then what he displayed in college. I think Parker's lack of athleticism will make him drop bc it will make evaluators believe his ceiling is lower then the others.

[D.o.s.]

Remember at the beginning of the season a lot of people had Julius Randle above Wiggins and Parker?   Now he's the consensus #5?  Crazy. 

Does anyone else think Exum has a shot at slipping, btw?  Couldn't 1 or 2 teams pass on him, because of his unknown body of work?...

No one really had Randle over Wiggins and Parker, though. That was just knee-jerk reactions to the first three or four games.

[Lucky17]

Remember at the beginning of the season a lot of people had Julius Randle above Wiggins and Parker?   Now he's the consensus #5?  Crazy. 

Does anyone else think Exum has a shot at slipping, btw?

Scouts were saying how he would've been the consensus number one pick in a "non-Wiggins draft." Crazy indeed.

And I think Exum has a better chance of jumping into the top 3 than he does at slipping.

Yeah. If Parker stays at Duke, I think Exum doesn't last past Orlando's pick (assuming they're not picking #1 or #2).