Author Topic: 8 games left. I think we finish 5th worst with 29.2% chance of a top 3 pick.  (Read 59607 times)

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Offline Kane3387

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Draftexpress has a history of the draft lottery...complete with what every teams odds were and where they landed.  Pretty intersting.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-draft-lottery-history/

thank you, having the worst record doesn't guarantee you a top pick. I hope the ping pong balls fall our way though!
Seems like the fifth slot gets into the top three an awful lot.

Cool. Makes me feel better about our chances to get in the top three.


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Offline PhoSita

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Draftexpress has a history of the draft lottery...complete with what every teams odds were and where they landed.  Pretty intersting.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-draft-lottery-history/

thank you, having the worst record doesn't guarantee you a top pick. I hope the ping pong balls fall our way though!
Seems like the fifth slot gets into the top three an awful lot.

Cool. Makes me feel better about our chances to get in the top three.


You know this isn't how randomness works, right?
You’ll have to excuse my lengthiness—the reason I dread writing letters is because I am so apt to get to slinging wisdom & forget to let up. Thus much precious time is lost.
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Offline nickagneta

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Draftexpress has a history of the draft lottery...complete with what every teams odds were and where they landed.  Pretty intersting.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-draft-lottery-history/

thank you, having the worst record doesn't guarantee you a top pick. I hope the ping pong balls fall our way though!
Seems like the fifth slot gets into the top three an awful lot.

Cool. Makes me feel better about our chances to get in the top three.


You know this isn't how randomness works, right?
I do. Sure history has do bearing on the lottery at hand.

The law of large numbers says that given enough drawings of a lottery, every scenario will eventually come true. But in any data collection of lottery results over a large set of lotteries , clear patterns can sometimes emerge. Those patterns can at times give heart to gamblers that the pattern will or could continue and there's been a lot of people that of made millions following such patterns in the gambling world.

Yup, each and every lottery drawing starts the odds all over again but the coincidences of number pattern emergence can not be disputed within the histories/data collections of those lotteries.

If anything, it gives us heart and hope. Nothing wrong with that.

Offline j804

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If we lose today and the Lakers win where would we stand tonight 4th?
"7ft PG. Rondo leaves and GUESS WHAT? We got a BIGGER point guard!"-Tommy on Olynyk


Offline D.o.s.

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If we lose today and the Lakers win where would we stand tonight 4th?

If we LOSE tonight we are either tied for 4th with LA, and Utah, (IF Utah wins) or in sole possession of 5th (IF LA wins)
At least a goldfish with a Lincoln Log on its back goin' across your floor to your sock drawer has a miraculous connotation to it.

Offline Fafnir

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If we lose today and the Lakers win where would we stand tonight 4th?
5th we'd have one more win than Utah still.

If the Jazz win and we lose we'll have a three-way tie for 4th.

Offline D.o.s.

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You're slipping, man, that was 9 whole seconds.
At least a goldfish with a Lincoln Log on its back goin' across your floor to your sock drawer has a miraculous connotation to it.

Offline PhoSita

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Yup, each and every lottery drawing starts the odds all over again but the coincidences of number pattern emergence can not be disputed within the histories/data collections of those lotteries.

If anything, it gives us heart and hope. Nothing wrong with that.

Yeah, I get that.  I find that it's easy to justify whatever you want to believe either way.

"This number hasn't come up recently, but it's got to show up eventually.  It's totally due!"
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Offline j804

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So a Utah win would serve us better

BeatLA? Lol
"7ft PG. Rondo leaves and GUESS WHAT? We got a BIGGER point guard!"-Tommy on Olynyk


Offline Fafnir

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You're slipping, man, that was 9 whole seconds.

Offline Fafnir

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So a Utah win would serve us better

BeatLA? Lol
Yeah pretty much. Though if we lost both coin flips it'd slot us down a ways.

Offline D.o.s.

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At least a goldfish with a Lincoln Log on its back goin' across your floor to your sock drawer has a miraculous connotation to it.

Offline j804

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Draftexpress has a history of the draft lottery...complete with what every teams odds were and where they landed.  Pretty intersting.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-draft-lottery-history/
Wow the 4th and 5th spot have actually got a top 3 pick quite a bit, can we all get along now? :P

Thanks for the link Scott
"7ft PG. Rondo leaves and GUESS WHAT? We got a BIGGER point guard!"-Tommy on Olynyk


Offline Neurotic Guy

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I won't cry myself to sleep if we win tonight, but a win coupled with a Utah win plants us in the 6th postion.  In addition, that scenario secures the 4/5 worst record for the Lakers -- ahead of us, unless the ping-pong balls fall correctly. 

Of course, the 6th slot gives us a great chance to be leapfrogged by at least one of the 7-15 teams, bringing us to 7th or worse.  The scenario that will bother me most is LA ending up with a top 4 pick with us in 6th when we had a 2-game advantage heading into the final 4 games.

I can't imagine that we will lose tonight, so I am gearing myself up to deal with the fruition of the only possible way that the Lakers can beat us this season.    Actually, I may cry myself to sleep tonight.


Offline Smokeeye123

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I won't cry myself to sleep if we win tonight, but a win coupled with a Utah win plants us in the 6th postion.  In addition, that scenario secures the 4/5 worst record for the Lakers -- ahead of us, unless the ping-pong balls fall correctly. 

Of course, the 6th slot gives us a great chance to be leapfrogged by at least one of the 7-15 teams, bringing us to 7th or worse.  The scenario that will bother me most is LA ending up with a top 4 pick with us in 6th when we had a 2-game advantage heading into the final 4 games.

I can't imagine that we will lose tonight, so I am gearing myself up to deal with the fruition of the only possible way that the Lakers can beat us this season.    Actually, I may cry myself to sleep tonight.

Well just hope the Lakers win. No matter if we win or lose tonight if they win at worst we are tied with them.