8 days till trade deadline & 28 games remaining this season..how many do we win?

[chambers]

So there are 28 games remaining and about 132 days till the NBA draft. For the sake of this topic I'll assume that we don't make the playoffs.
We are potentially looking at a 3-4 month period which could dramatically alter the destiny of the Celtics for the next 5-7 years. If we can't make a trade for a star, or attract a star via free agency- then we will have to go to the draft and hope we make the right pick. Exciting but terrifyingly brutal at the same time. Remember our name getting called for the 5th pick? Devastating.

Putting that aside and focusing on the rest of this season, I think Danny is basically looking to move salary and lose games as a consequence. He wants cap space in 2015 when Rondo hits free agency and he wants a high draft pick to help us by drafting a star or trading for one.
I think Bass and Green are both gone. Bradley possibly too.
If two of those three mentioned are gone then I see us struggling to win more than 6 or 7 games. If nothing happens at the trade deadline (which is almost impossible in my opinion) then we might get 10 wins and hit 29/30 wins if we win some close ones.

I predict/speculate we'll win 7 games of the remaining 28.
We'll finish with 26 wins and the 5th worst record

For fun, add what draft pick you think we'll get and who we'll draft with it.

I think we'll get some Auerbach luck and get the 3rd pick.
We'll pick Jabari Parker.

What are you schedule predictions and who will be our lottery pick?

[cb8883]

I votes for the first option. Team already has 19 wins with the remaining schedule 11 wins is probably going to happen. Plus if the only guys they want to move are Bass and Wallace, maybe Green well good luck with that. Treadmill city here. I love how fans here are cool with that too. Ainge won't make another trade until the draft sadly.

[Celtics18]

16 and 12, for a total of 35 wins.

[rondohondo]

16 and 12, for a total of 35 wins.

Now wouldn't that just be wonderful? We screw our whole future, but celtics18's prediction would be right......yay!

We end up with 28 or 29 wins

[slamtheking]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

[PAOBoston]

Even if Ainge doesn't make any moves at the deadline (I think he'll make at least one), I still don't think this team wins 10 games the rest of the season. Has anyone looked at their schedule in March? They are not gonna be playing Philly/Milwaukee. They are going up against much better competition. I foresee another January-esque swoon for this team.

[LilRip]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

this is a shoryuken of reality. i know it's realistic (and quite likely) but i think i'll still be quite bummed about it.

[Fafnir]

I eyeballed the schedule and it looks like in 20 of the 28 games we'll be playing teams that are "better" (by point differential/record) than us overall this season.

So imagine we'll get around 8 wins then.

[Celtics18]

16 and 12, for a total of 35 wins.

Now wouldn't that just be wonderful? We screw our whole future, but celtics18's prediction would be right......yay!

We end up with 28 or 29 wins

I don't believe that finishing the season on a run where the team wins more than it loses would screw the future.  Everybody says that as if it's some kind of fact.  That's obviously not a given. 

[slamtheking]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

this is a shoryuken of reality. i know it's realistic (and quite likely) but i think i'll still be quite bummed about it.

I agree, it's nothing I'd be excited about but I think this is close to what will come to pass.  I think the real excitement will come in the following summer.  a lot of the crappy teams this year will be better than us, we'll get a better pick in another deep draft, one projected to have very good big men) and Danny is able to get another solid player in the draft, make a very nice FA signing and hopefully unload Wallace as an expiring deal for a disgruntled good player.

[fandrew]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

this is a shoryuken of reality. i know it's realistic (and quite likely) but i think i'll still be quite bummed about it.

I agree, it's nothing I'd be excited about but I think this is close to what will come to pass.  I think the real excitement will come in the following summer.  a lot of the crappy teams this year will be better than us, we'll get a better pick in another deep draft, one projected to have very good big men) and Danny is able to get another solid player in the draft, make a very nice FA signing and hopefully unload Wallace as an expiring deal for a disgruntled good player.

I disagree. I think that this summer Ainge will be busier. This is the summer to get talent through trades. We are going to get a good pick regardless of what it is. Honestly, I would be happy with Aaron Gordon. I would rather have a top 4 pick but who knows how any of their careers will work out. I think Ainge will make a move for a center like Sanders, Monroe, or Asik, and try to sign a SG or SF like Stevenson, Evans, Hayward, or Barnes (trade/S&T rather than free agency). Maybe look at guys that are good multi positional 3 and D as backups.

If he makes these types of moves, I can see next year seeing where the team is, and putting any finishing touches on it either by trading Wallace's contract next summer or at the deadline, or maybe a free agent signing if someone is still available. Next summer has a bunch of restricted free agents, so who really knows who will still be available by next summer.

[aporel#18]

Danny trades some vets, then, after a couple weeks, rotation is set and the team plays .500 ball until the end of the season.

32 wins good for a bottom 10 record and a top 5 pick (lottery yay!)

Go Celtics!

[hwangjini_1]

if the team continues to win at a .352 clip (our winning percentage so far), the celtics would win 10 more games.

that option is not provided, so i cant vote.

[hwangjini_1]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

... He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

just to provide an update on the impending iverson-era of the boston celtics.

CI is currently in turkey where he plays 21 minutes a game. he scores about 9 points a game and has 6 rebounds/game as well. oh, and he average 2.8 fouls.

[Kane3387]

I eyeballed the schedule and it looks like in 20 of the 28 games we'll be playing teams that are "better" (by point differential/record) than us overall this season.

So imagine we'll get around 8 wins then.

Props for actually looking at the schedule.

After looking at the schedule too I have to agree.