Author Topic: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)  (Read 2106 times)

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Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« on: July 26, 2013, 10:03:34 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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Here's how I see how an average night might play out on offense this season. Love to know your thoughts.

PLAYER
MINUTESPOINTS
rondo
3615
bradley
29
10
lee
21
6
brooks
10
4
(crawford)
0
0
green
36
18
wallace
21
8
sullinger
25
10
bass
25
10
humphries
25
8
ombre
6
2
olynyk
6
2

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2013, 10:07:43 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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Actually, if you'd like to reply and suggest new numbers, I will put together a community projection

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2013, 10:11:26 AM »

Offline guava_wrench

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The other team.

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2013, 10:15:33 AM »

Offline CelticG1

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Rondo is going to score a lot more.

Im guessing closer to 18ppg.

He'll need to and there won't be as many guys to pass the ball to.

He averaged almost 14 last year so I don't think its too crazy to expect the best player on the team to have a jump in points.

He'll get criticism either way. Hell be a 20 point scorer and you'll hear that ots cause he's on a crappy team. If his assists go down its because he doesn't have hall of famers. If his assists go up than he is just after the stats cause he knows they are going to lose anyway.

Plenty of ways people are going to bring him down

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2013, 10:15:57 AM »

Offline Evantime34

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Here's how I see how an average night might play out on offense this season. Love to know your thoughts.

PLAYER
MINUTESPOINTS
rondo
3615
bradley
29
10
lee
21
6
brooks
10
4
(crawford)
0
0
green
36
18
wallace
21
8
sullinger
25
10
bass
25
10
humphries
25
8
ombre
6
2
olynyk
6
2
I think Rondo will score 18 and Olynyk will get 12 (potentially Jeff Green increased to 20) but other than that I agree with everything.
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2013, 10:17:22 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2013, 10:17:54 AM »

Offline bfrombleacher

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93 point total, right?

Good for the lowest in the 2012-13 season.

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2013, 10:18:51 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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I think Rondo will score 18 and Olynyk will get 12 (potentially Jeff Green increased to 20) but other than that I agree with everything.

Thanks, Evantime34, but who do you think Olynyk takes his minutes from?

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2013, 10:20:04 AM »

Offline clover

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Here's how I see how an average night might play out on offense this season. Love to know your thoughts.

PLAYER
MINUTESPOINTS
rondo
3615
bradley
29
10
lee
21
6
brooks
10
4
(crawford)
0
0
green
36
18
wallace
21
8
sullinger
25
10
bass
25
10
humphries
25
8
ombre
6
2
olynyk
6
2

Six minutes for Olynyk?  Zero for Pressey?  Fire Stevens!

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2013, 10:20:57 AM »

Offline Evantime34

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I think Rondo will score 18 and Olynyk will get 12 (potentially Jeff Green increased to 20) but other than that I agree with everything.

Thanks, Evantime34, but who do you think Olynyk takes his minutes from?
Five from Bass, Five from Humphries and 5 from Sullinger (his minutes will end up being limited early which will lower his mpg numbers on the year)
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2013, 10:22:25 AM »

Offline bobbyv

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Rondo is going to score a lot more.

Im guessing closer to 18ppg.

He'll need to and there won't be as many guys to pass the ball to.

He averaged almost 14 last year so I don't think its too crazy to expect the best player on the team to have a jump in points.

He'll get criticism either way. Hell be a 20 point scorer and you'll hear that ots cause he's on a crappy team. If his assists go down its because he doesn't have hall of famers. If his assists go up than he is just after the stats cause he knows they are going to lose anyway.

Plenty of ways people are going to bring him down
This.

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2013, 10:23:45 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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93 point total, right?

Good for the lowest in the 2012-13 season.

This is mostly a mash-up of scoring rates from recent years with a made-up allocation of minutes. I'm thinking we can probably dial Rondo, Green, and Sullinger up a tick because they'll have more scoring responsibility. Someone will have to break out

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2013, 10:26:44 AM »

Offline Evantime34

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Rondo is going to score a lot more.

Im guessing closer to 18ppg.

He'll need to and there won't be as many guys to pass the ball to.

He averaged almost 14 last year so I don't think its too crazy to expect the best player on the team to have a jump in points.

He'll get criticism either way. Hell be a 20 point scorer and you'll hear that ots cause he's on a crappy team. If his assists go down its because he doesn't have hall of famers. If his assists go up than he is just after the stats cause he knows they are going to lose anyway.

Plenty of ways people are going to bring him down
This.
There is only one way to silence critics resoundingly, just win baby. No one will care how he leads the Celtics to victory as long as he does. I agree though I expect his best season yet at 18/11/6. To me the rebounds are the biggest indicator of how he is playing. When he is aggressive on the glass he usually is aggressive on offense.
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2013, 10:29:17 AM »

Offline sofutomygaha

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Quote
Six minutes for Olynyk?  Zero for Pressey?  Fire Stevens!

Once Rondo is at full strength, how many minutes do you envision for Pressey (assuming it isn't a blowout... which may not always be a great assumption...)

Re: Who scores- a typical night (once all are healthy)
« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2013, 10:35:49 AM »

Offline PhoSita

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So we're going to score 93 points a game?  Yikes.  I can't say I disagree with that sort of total. 

The most glaring issue I see with your breakdown is that Olynyk plays 6 minutes a game and scores 2 points a game.  I just don't see it working out that way.

Name . . .MPG . . . PPG
Rondo - 32 - 13 pts
Bradley - 30 - 10 pts
Green - 36 - 18 pts
Bass - 24 - 8 pts
Sullinger - 28 -  11 pts
Olynyk - 24 - 10 pts
Humphries - 12 - 4 pts
Wallace - 20 - 7 pts
Lee - 18 - 7 pts
Pressey - 10 - 3 pts
Brooks - 6 - 2 pts

That's the same total of 93, with a somewhat different rotation and points breakdown.  It's based largely on per-36 numbers for the players, with the exception of Olynyk and Pressey, who I guessed on.  I guessed that Olynyk would score 16 points per-36, and that Pressey would score 10 points per-36.
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