McLemore is rated highly based on what he should be. He should be an unguardable offensive player with athleticism to spare and a silky jumpshot. Instead he's an inconsistent player prone to disappearances against good teams with solid talent.
I'm not high on him.
I'm not following the draft too closely, but how many players taken in the top five come out fully formed?
In other words, isn't drafting always influenced by who a player should be?
Definitely, but my worry with McLemore is that we aren't dealing with skillset issues. It's the headspace and the motor that I question with him, and those rarely improve.
In the last several drafts, you've had guys like Durant, who could do one bench press rep at the combine. Blake Griffin couldn't make anything that wasn't a dunk. Derrick Rose and John Wall couldn't shoot. Irving spent his college career injured. These guys all had their flaws, but the thing that tied them all together and a primary reason they're all succeeding is that they're all tireless workers and fierce competitors who take pride in destroying anybody who tries to check them.
I don't see that level of intensity and killer instinct in McLemore.
Is Kenyon Martin a good comparison?
They have some similarities as PF/C's with questionable offensive skills and great defensive impact.
Serge Ibaka is actually the player that I'd point to as a comparison, though I'm not sure Noel will ever develop Ibaka's underrated jumpshooting ability. Also, frighteningly enough, Noel may be quicker and more athletic (I can't find reliable draft measurements on Ibaka anywhere). He should eventually be an absolute nightmare as a weakside defensive presence, and he finishes well enough that he won't be a liability on offense despite his rough edges and lack of ability to create offense for himself.
From a physical standpoint, my worry with Noel on defense is that he doesn't look to have the frame to put on a lot of weight. He lacks strength and guys will have success bullying him, especially early on.