i've been following the story a lot. I wish I could tell you what is going to happen in this meeting, but nobody knows.
The problem is, news from the Seattle side and news from the Sacramento side are completely different. I've never seen such a disconnect in how a story is being reported. It's insane. If you follow Seattle reporters, they'll tell you that the Sacramento group offer is incredibly fragile and that there is a "binding" agreement between Hansen and the Maloofs that can't be broken and will be voted on today. Meanwhile, if you follow the Sacramento side they'll tell you that the "binding" agreement is worthless, the Hansens are trying to undermine the league and that the NBA bylaws favor the Kings.
At the moment, it does indeed seem like Sacramento will "win" this (meaning the owners will reject the sale of the team to the Seattle group). But today is a big day. THey officially vote on relocation first, then vote on the sale of the team to Hansen. THen if that is rejected, they then vote on a "backup" offer that the Maloofs made with Hansen to sell him 20% of the team. Then if ALL those scenarios are rejected, the Maloofs might consider selling the team to that Sacramento group... but they don't "have" to sell the team to them. There is no agreement between them and the Sacramento group. So the NBA (supposedly) is hoping to reject relocation, the two signed hansen/maloof deals... and then will try to use leverage to FORCE the Maloofs to sell to the Sacramento group.
The one thing that stands out about this (from my perspective)..
#1 - Seattle has a far better offer. They are willing to pay $625 million for the team. They are willing to pay $100+ million for relocation (as opposed to $30 million). They are willing to be a payee in revenue sharing (which counteracts the Sacramento group giving up their revenue sharing rights... which seems like a disaster, but it's not really relevant) ... ALso, the Maloofs already agreed to sell to the Seattle group. That's the purpose of this meeting... to vote on that sale. The Sacramento reporters make it sound like both groups are in the running... the Sacramento group is only in the running if the NBA rejects that February sale of the team to Seattle group. And at that point, they can't force the Maloofs to sell to the Sacramento group... there's just this expectation that the NBA will use leverage to convince the Maloofs it's their only option.
#2 - Going with the Seattle offer probably increases the value all the franchises in the league and puts money in the other owners pockets.
#3 - The chief reason the NBA apparently wants the Maloofs to sell to the Sacramento group as opposed to the Seattle group appears to be that the Sacramento group has a plan for a publicly financed arena (which FYI, could still completely fall apart. There was a lawsuit filed today against the city for potentially fraudulent activity here with their Arena plan)... meanwhile the Seattle group is agreeing to build a mostly privately financed arena. Apparently, this would set a bad precedent for the rest of the owners... if they agree to let Hansen/Balmer buy the team and build their own arena... that means in the future when they want to build a new state-of-the-art arena in their own cities, they will have trouble forcing the public tax payers to pay for it. They want nothing to do with that.
In other words, the way this is sounding to me (and again, it's incredibly difficult with all the misinformation) ... Steve Balmer and Chris Hansen have billions of dollars. They want to pay a ridiculous amount for the team. They want to pay for their own arena. And the NBA is telling them, "woah woah woah.. that's not how we do things here... we get the public to pay for the arena" to which Hansen/Balmer respond, "But why?... we have billions... we'll pay for it ourselves" and the NBA is trying to prevent that from happening... and the rest of the owners will likely side with the Sacramento group that is trying to force tax payers to build the new arena.
They can spin it however they want... but that's the one clear thing I'm getting from all of this. If Seattle had a plan for a publicly financed arena, this would probably be an easy decision for the league.