Author Topic: Why the Celtics miss Rondo  (Read 655 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Why the Celtics miss Rondo
« on: April 24, 2013, 12:37:25 AM »

Offline bobbyv

  • Jaylen Brown
  • Posts: 522
  • Tommy Points: 32
If this series has proved anything so far, it's that Rondo is not overrated, but underrated.

Yes, he absolutely does take games off in the regular season, and yes his defense was atrocious. But there's no doubt our Playoff success these past 4-5 years can be attributed in large part to Rondo.

First, let's look at his playoff stats.
Code: [Select]
                                                                                                           
                                                                                                       
Season    Age  Tm  Lg Pos  G GS   MP  FG  FGA  FG%  3P 3PA  3P%  FT FTA  FT% ORB DRB TRB  AST STL BLK TOV  PF  PTS
2007-08    21 BOS NBA  PG 26 26 32.0 4.1 10.1 .407 0.2 0.8 .250 1.8 2.6 .691 1.5 2.6 4.1  6.6 1.7 0.3 1.8 2.8 10.2
2008-09    22 BOS NBA  PG 14 14 41.2 6.6 15.9 .417 0.4 1.7 .250 3.1 4.8 .657 2.3 7.4 9.7  9.8 2.5 0.2 2.7 3.4 16.9
2009-10    23 BOS NBA  PG 24 24 40.6 6.3 13.6 .463 0.4 1.0 .375 2.8 4.8 .596 1.6 4.0 5.6  9.3 1.9 0.1 3.0 2.4 15.8
2010-11    24 BOS NBA  PG  9  9 38.3 5.7 11.9 .477 0.0 0.3 .000 2.7 4.2 .632 1.2 4.2 5.4  9.6 1.1 0.0 3.7 1.8 14.0
2011-12    25 BOS NBA  PG 19 19 42.6 7.4 15.8 .468 0.4 1.6 .267 2.1 2.9 .696 1.8 4.9 6.7 11.9 2.4 0.1 3.8 2.1 17.3
Career            NBA     92 92 38.5 5.9 13.3 .445 0.3 1.1 .277 2.4 3.7 .647 1.7 4.3 6.0  9.2 2.0 0.2 2.8 2.5 14.5


Rondo has been a consistent playoff performer. That should come as no surprise. Here's the surprise for all off you who thinks Rondo stops the offense.

2012 Playoffs                                                                                                                                                           
Code: [Select]
                     Team                                           Oppo                                           Diff                                           
Split        Tm  MP  eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV%  ORtg  eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV%  ORtg  eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB%  AST% STL%  BLK%  TOV% ORtg
On Court    BOS 811  .476 20.5 75.6 48.6 59.0  9.2  7.1 14.2 102.2  .476 24.4 79.5 51.4 55.7  7.5  7.3 15.4 101.1  .000 -3.9 -3.9 -2.7 +58.4 +9.2  +7.0 +14.0 +1.1
Off Court   BOS 164  .428 18.0 73.1 48.2 55.9  9.2 13.2 16.8  92.3  .408 26.9 82.0 51.8 46.5  6.7  6.6 15.2  92.6 +.020 -9.0 -9.0 -3.5 +55.4 +9.2 +13.1 +16.7 -0.3
On  Off     BOS 83% +.048 +2.5 +2.5 +0.4 +3.1 +0.0 -6.1 -2.6  +9.9 +.068 -2.5 -2.5 -0.4 +9.2 +0.8 +0.7 +0.2  +8.5 -.020 +5.1 +5.1 +0.8  +3.0 +0.0  -6.1  -2.7 +1.4


Check out the Assist Percentage, eFG, and Offensive Rating. We were almost 10+ ORTG with him on the court than without him. We also assisted at a higher rate with him on the court. Those a reason we succeeded as much as we did last year in the playoffs. Rondo ran our offense, and ran it efficiently. He broke down defenses like no other PG in the league.

Now check out how Ray Allen and PP did during the playoffs. First regular stats, and then advanced.

Code: [Select]
                                                                                                         
Rk        Player Age  G GS   MP  FG  FGA  FG%  3P 3PA  3P%  FT FTA  FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV  PF  PTS
2    Paul Pierce  34 20 20 38.9 6.0 15.6 .386 1.4 4.4 .310 5.5 6.2 .894 0.7 5.4 6.1 3.1 1.5 0.9 2.8 3.4 18.9
5      Ray Allen  36 18 10 34.2 3.7  9.3 .395 1.6 5.1 .304 1.8 2.5 .711 0.4 3.7 4.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.9 2.3 10.7


Code: [Select]
                                                                                                             
Rk        Player Age  G  MP  PER  TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS  WS WS/48
4    Paul Pierce  34 20 778 16.1 .516 .429  2.2 15.8  9.2 14.8  2.1  1.9 13.3 26.5   98   98 0.3 1.3 1.7  .102
5      Ray Allen  36 18 616 10.0 .514 .479  1.6 12.3  7.1  5.0  1.5  0.3  8.3 16.2   99  102 0.2 0.8 1.0  .077

It's especially shocking to see how we got so far with Ray and PP's shooting percentage. Rondo has a higher ORTG than both of them. Also keep in mind our offense during the regular season was even WORSE than this regular season.

I could dig a lot deeper into these stats, but I think you get my point. For all the criticism Rondo gets during the regular season (and he does deserve some of it), he is the one who runs our offense, and does a good job of it in the playoffs. We're struggling to score because we're missing Rondo. Pierce can't get his sweet spots, and KG can't get enough wide open pick-and-pops.

When the playoffs come, it's a different game. It slows down, and execution is key. And right now, we can't execute. Unfortunately we're in for a very rough series without him.

For some extended analysis (although I don't agree with all of it) along with video evidence, check out this link http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1615429-the-rajon-rondo-effect-how-star-point-guards-absence-is-killing-boston-celtics
« Last Edit: April 24, 2013, 12:44:49 AM by bobbyv »