I think that Doc will play Melo a lot more than expected this year. To be clear: my expectations are that he will spend most of the season either in Maine or racking up DNPs with the Celtics. Exceeding those expectations could entail no more than getting some meaningful minutes here and there, against inferior opponents. The reason that I think he might get some burn is that it is in our best interest to develop him sooner rather than later. I think that Danny and Doc know this, and will adjust the rotation accordingly.
This team will be very competitive for the next several years. Even if Melo never plays a single minute we'll be fine, but imagine what could happen if he develops into a player quickly. Pairing him with KG could create a historically great defensive frontcourt if Melo can get there quick enough. The way I see it, if we want that to happen- Melo and KG on the court together- we need to develop Melo ASAP. Obviously we are in "win now" mode so our primary focus is not developing our youth, but 5 mpg is not a lot- it would also ease the burden on KG, Wilcox, and Collins. It might cost us a game or two, but the idea is to prepare Melo for an increased role next year. The idea that rebuilding and competing are mutually exclusive is ridiculous- the Spurs have been quietly doing it for a decade.
If Melo gets a few minutes a game to butt heads with NBA bigs, it could do him a lot of good. Learning the rotations/ the basics of NBA defense will be easier if he gets to do so in real game action. I know that Doc hates giving minutes to guys who aren't ready for them (and I don't think Melo is ready for NBA minutes), but this might be a case where he can see that it is in the team's best interest to speed up Melo's development.
Danny has spoken about Sully and Melo being on the "fast track." The very fact that Danny talks about those two in the same sentence shows that Danny thinks more highly of Melo than most of us (myself included). So I am hoping (and simultaneously dreading) that Melo will get 5 minutes a game- they will probably be 5 frustratingly inconsistent minutes, but I think the end results will justify the frustrations and lost games. Maybe we won't see the results until 2014, but that doesn't matter to me. When we drafted Fab Melo, we were drafting a project, and projects don't turn into players by riding the pine.