Author Topic: ppg averages for next year?  (Read 6254 times)

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ppg averages for next year?
« on: July 25, 2012, 05:30:05 PM »

Offline cman88

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what do you guys think will be the averages next year for PPG from our players?

obviously looking at the roster Rondo, lee, pierce, Bass, KG, Green, Terry, Bradley(double digits the 2nd half) all are guys who can average double digits in scoring..

but a more balanced team with more depth, some guys PPG stats are going to drop...i'm expecting lower numbers from Pierce, KG next year but probably greater efficiency(from pierce) and fewer minutes




Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2012, 05:44:21 PM »

Offline celticmania

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Rajon:  10.9
Avery:  10.2
Paul:   14.8
Kevin:  13.9

Jet:    11.1
Lee:    8.8
Jeff:   12.5
Jared:  7.8
Wilcox: 6.7

I think as a team we are going to average more than we have in the past, mostly because now we have guys who like to run and a roster full of guys who can get the ball in the rim. Now, when we go to a bench, we won't lose any scoring. In fact, the bench might actually outscore the starters on some nights.

Team: 98.2

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2012, 05:56:35 PM »

Offline syfy9

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I'm thinking Rondo's PPG is going up this season because of his playoff performance. Maybe 12-15 PPG?

I like Marcus Smart

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2012, 06:17:07 PM »

Offline ainge

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Player           PPG       Apg       RPG    Mpg

rondo            13.0      11.5      5.0     34
Bradley          11.0      2.50      2.0     26
pierce           17.0      3.00      4.5     28
Bass             12.0      0.00      7.0     26
Garnett          14.5      2.50      8.5     27

Terry            11.0      2.50      1.0     25
Lee               8.5      2.00      2.0     23
Green            12.0      1.80      5.8     27
Sullinger         6.0      1.00      4.5     16
Wilcox            6.5      0.50      5.0     20


If you add up the total minutes, its higher than the 240 total that are available each game, however this is to take into account innevitable injuries which will allow some players to log extra minutes during certian points in the season.

The total points adds up to 111.5 team ppg, which is obviously way too high.  However,  this can also be accounted for by potential injuries.  When players are out, others will step up their scoring in, while the team offense as a whole may take a hit.  However, with the younger legs, solid shooters off the bench, and more post play, I see this team being able to put up 94-98 ppg.  I think it will definitely be a higher scoring team than last season (91.8 ppg).

Because of the effect that injuries will have on every ones stats, and on team stats during that time, it is pointless to add up the columns.  However, I think that it is fair to assume that this is how the players stat lines will read at the end of the season.

One big thing is the rebounding averages.  Last year, we had KG at 8.5 rpg, but then it dropped off to bas at 6 rpg, pierce and rondo at 5rpg.  

People forget that bass is only 26 or 27, and seemed to make huge improvements through out the course of the year.  He is also very athletic, and I could see him upping his RPG average to around 7, which would be a huge bonus to the starting lineup.  

If jeff green, wilcox, and sullinger can each provide around 4.5-5.5 rpg, while rondo continues to pull down 5 rpg, we could actually be a decent rebounding team this season.  

Anyways, this is just an interesting way to look at our depth.  When all is said and done, I think its very possible that we could have 7 guys averaging double figures in points (although not all at the same time due to the role of injuries). Meanwhile, I think its fair to assume that the next 3 guys off the bench (7-10) can provide 5-8 points each.  Really excited for the season, this will be an interesting team to watch    

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2012, 12:26:26 AM »

Offline AB_Celtic

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Player           PPG       Apg       RPG    Mpg

Bradley          11.0      2.50      2.0     26
Terry            11.0      2.50      1.0     25


Somehow I don't think Terry and Bradley will be that similar. Bradley's numbers will be lower, with his strengths on the defensive end.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2012, 01:35:46 AM »

Offline ianboyextreme

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Rondo- 15 ppg, 13 apg
Avery- 14 ppg
Paul- 17 ppg
KG- 14.5 ppg, 8 rpg
Bass- 11 ppg, 6.5 rpg
Jeff green- 12 ppg, 5.5 rpg
Sullinger- 7 ppg, 7 rpg
Terry- 9 ppg
Lee- 8 ppg
Wilcox- 5 ppg

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2012, 02:05:24 AM »

Offline crimson_stallion

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Player           PPG       Apg       RPG    Mpg

Bradley          11.0      2.50      2.0     26
Terry            11.0      2.50      1.0     25


Somehow I don't think Terry and Bradley will be that similar. Bradley's numbers will be lower, with his strengths on the defensive end.

Agreed.

Terry has been a consistent 15 PPG+ scorer every season his entire career, he's one of only two players on the bench who can create their own shot (Green being the other) and given that he'll be playing some point he's going to have the ball in his hands a lot.

I'd be extremely surprised if he doesn't average at least 12PPG - 13PPG this season and have little doubt he will be Boston's leading scorer off the bench. 

Also the assist numbers - Terry is a far superior assist guy then Bradley is, and I'd expect him to average at least twice as many assists. 

Personally, I think Bradley's minutes will probably be reduced down around the 28 MPG mark due to the depth on this team.  With that said, don't be surprised if Terry gets as many minutes off the bench as Bradley does as a starter.  If that's the case, you can expect Terry will produce significantly more on offence then Bradley, but obviously Bradley will be far superior on defense.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2012, 03:20:19 AM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Tough to predict, because I'm really not sure if Bradley, Terry, Lee or Jeff Green will be starting (Green would start at SF and Pierce at SG in that hypothetical)...

Wild guess:

PG - Rondo 13
SG - Lee - 13
SF - Pierce - 19
PF - Bass - 11
C - KG - 15
6th man - Jeff Green - 10
7th man - Jason Terry - 11
8th man - Avery Bradley - 6
9th man - Wilcox? - 5


Tough to predict really.  Most people here think Bradley will start.  Personally I think the roster doesn't make much sense.  Three shooting guards is a head-scratcher.  We oughta trade for a more capable starting big man.  If we aren't going with Pierce at SG and Green at his natural SF, Lee just makes the most sense to me in the starting lineup.  He's a better fit for what Boston has already been doing... good shooter who spreads the floor and will probably give you solid defense.  I wouldn't be shocked to see Lee average career highs starting next to Rondo.  Bradley and Terry seem a little redundant to me... both tiny tweener guards best served off the bench.
« Last Edit: July 26, 2012, 03:25:25 AM by LarBrd33 »

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2012, 03:29:52 AM »

Offline bfrombleacher

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he's one of only two players on the bench who can create their own shot (Green being the other)

Nope...not really...

Edit: I mean Green can't create.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2012, 07:24:51 AM »

Offline RockinRyA

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actually green can, he has a good post game.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2012, 07:38:08 AM »

Offline MrCeltics25

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rondo - 11
lee - 9
pierce - 18
KG -14
Bass - 9

Terry - 15
Green 12
Wilcox - 6
Dooling - 2
Bradley 8
sullinger 9

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2012, 08:37:28 AM »

Offline crimson_stallion

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Tough to predict, because I'm really not sure if Bradley, Terry, Lee or Jeff Green will be starting (Green would start at SF and Pierce at SG in that hypothetical)...


Just to make this clear - Pierce will NOT start at SG!!!

Boston have a 3 guard rotation of guys who are all getting paid $5M+ per year in Rondo, Terry and Lee - and that's BEFORE Bradley returns from injury.  They are not going to start Pierce at SG so that one of those guys gets zero minutes, and then start Jeff Green at SF with no backup.

Not only is it obvious due to the Roster makeup, but how often have you seen Pierce play SG in the last few years?  Pierce has never really had the athleticism or ball handling skills to play the guard position effectively, and at is current age they aren't attributes he's suddenly picking up.

There are two possiblilties as far as Jeff Green is concerned - he'll either back up Pierce and Bass off the bench, or he'll start at PF and Bass will come off the bench. I think Bass is  more effective at PF right now, so my assumption is option 1.

Don't think that Green will start just because he's being paid $9M a year.  That contract isn't large because of his role this year, it's large because of his projected role in future years.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2012, 08:59:42 AM »

Offline Jon

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Very tough to say right now before seeing rotations and minutes. 

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2012, 09:09:04 AM »

Offline bfrombleacher

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Very tough to say right now before seeing rotations and minutes. 

True.

CLee has never had anyone like Rondo before.

Can AB sustain his level of production? He was playing injured last season though.

Sully is fighting for minutes.

The center job is wide open.

We have yet to see JG play SF extensively so he might surprise.

Fab Melo and KJ43 can both surprise.

God knows injury.


Apart from the injury part, I like all those question marks.

Re: ppg averages for next year?
« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2012, 09:12:25 AM »

Offline Fafnir

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I think Lee's TS% should be around his rookie year, that offensive system created a ton of open 3s for him. I think Rondo's creation ability will give him similar opportunities.