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Fixed or Not Fixed

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33 (42.9%)
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Author Topic: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?  (Read 24535 times)

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Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #75 on: June 03, 2012, 12:20:19 AM »

Offline ManchesterCelticsFan

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Here is an excerpt from Shaq's Uncut book: 'A couple of weeks before the draft lottery I got to meet Mr. David Stern, the commissioner of the NBA. His question to me was, "Where do you want to play?" Now I don't want to create no conspiracy theory, but I told him, "Definitely where it's hot."'

Shaq got his wish! OK it could have been a coincidence as well but you never know ...

Interesting... if ShaQ plays where he's comfortable, he'll perform better, NBA can market him better, make more $$$ easier.

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #76 on: June 03, 2012, 12:21:49 AM »

Offline guava_wrench

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The problem with doing the lottery in public is that there is no suspense. They pick the 1st pick first, then the second, then the third. It is also done with 4 numbers per pick that are compared to a list of assigned numbers. This is not good viewing.

There are representatives from each team watching. I fail to see how they would go along with a fixed lottery and the mechanics of it are not that easy to rig without people noticing. I also don't believe for a second that a prestigious accounting firm like Ernst & Young would put their name on the line for a public scam. The NBA couldn't pay them enough for that. Their revenue is over $22B annually. I don't see them risking that.

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #77 on: June 03, 2012, 12:28:46 AM »

Offline guava_wrench

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I totally trust the league on this.  I find them to be very trustable along with the government, the UN, the Church, the military, politicians, compulsive gamblers and addicts, corporations, groups with agendas, the mafia, those Siri commercials that seem too good to be true, lobbyists, well respected auditing firms, the royal family, Sith Lords, and kids that say "plllleaaasssseee" really charmingly. Oh yeah. How could I have forgotten? NBA refs. How could I have forgotten?
Don't forget human beings in general.

On the serious side, I trust that the league wouldn't fix it because they want to make money and that is a path to losing large sums of money through litigation. Ernst & Young is in the same boat.

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #78 on: June 03, 2012, 01:10:33 AM »

Offline LarBrd33

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None of LarBrd33 arugments have swayed my thoughts that it could be fixed.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bX1kMlG8c7Y

Sure as heck looks like he went right for this one.

http://www.scoresreport.com/2007/04/19/was-the-1985-draft-lottery-really-fixed/

accompanying article.

82% believe it was fixed and 55% are adamant about it.

http://beyondthebets.com/2012/05/31/was-the-nba-draft-lottery-fixed-a-whopping-82-percent-of-fans-think-its-a-possibility/

http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/22748484/29391755

interesting article.

http://www.yardbarker.com/nba/articles/msn/nba_execs_complain_about_rigged_lottery_after_league_owned_hornets_win_top_pick/10909472

Quote
“It’s such a joke that the league made the new owners be at the lottery for the show,” one high-ranking team executive told Yahoo Sports . “The league still owns the Hornets. Ask their front office if new owners can make a trade right now. They can’t. This is a joke.”

Quote
The reaction of several league executives was part disgust, part resignation on Wednesday night. So many had predicted this happening, so many suspected that somehow, someway, the Hornets would walk away with Davis. That's the worst part for the NBA; these aren't the railings from the guy sitting at the corner tavern, but the belief of those working within the machinery that something undue happened here, that they suspect it happens all the time under Stern.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/nba-lottery-rigged-2012-5#ixzz1wZzLYGSn

Some of those representatives do voice displeasure but to go against the league would be suicide and they would lose their team.  How come you did not post these articles LarBrd33?

How about this one?

Quote
TThe prize of the 1985 draft was a once-in-a-lifetime center in Georgetown's Patrick Ewing. The New York Knicks won the lottery with the third-worst record in the NBA and a 14.29 percent chance of landing the top pick in the 1985 NBA draft. Rumors of a rigged lottery swirled after the results of the lottery were announced. People claimed that the league wanted this once-in-a-lifetime player to go to the league's biggest market so that the Knicks would be relevant again.

The Philadelphia 76ers were going through rough times in the early to mid 1990's and needed a player to reignite the fanbase. The Sixers got that player in the 1996 NBA draft. The team had the best odds, 33 percent chance, to land the No. 1 pick, and ended up winning the lottery and selecting Allen Iverson. Although the Sixers did have the best odds, there still is some debate as to if this lottery was legitimate.

Michael Jordan was the president of basketball operations of the Washington Wizards when they had a 15.7 percent chance at winning the NBA lottery. The Wizards won the 2001 lottery, and Michael Jordan decided to select Kwame Brown with the first-overall selection. At the time of the lottery, there were numerous rumors that Jordan was going to come out of retirement to play for the Washington Wizards.

It seems like David Stern knew that Jordan was coming back and wanted to give them the No. 1 selection to add some excitement to the Wizards. However, Brown turned out to be a huge bust and never really turned out to be the player that Jordan once thought that he could be.

In 2003, another once-in-a-lifetime prospect was available out of St. Vincent-St. Mary High School in Akron, Ohio. The Cleveland Cavaliers, whose stadium is about 40 miles from LeBron James' high school, had the best shot at winning the lottery at a 22 percent chance. The Cavs ended up winning the 2003 lottery and selected James, who was able to stay in his hometown. The reason that it could have been rigged in 2003 is that the league wanted to change the landscape of the Cavaliers franchise by giving them a hometown hero in James.

The Chicago Bulls entered the 2008 draft lottery with a 1.8 percent chance of winning the top pick in the draft. The Bulls won the 2008 lottery and selected Derrick Rose a month later.

The fact that a team won the lottery with a 1.8 percent chance of winning is suspicious enough, but the fact that it was a major market team without a superstar made critics even more skeptical of the NBA's lottery. David Stern saw how successful the NBA can be when Chicago is a dominant team and perhaps wanted Chicago to be an elite team once again.

The Wizards had a tumultuous 2009-2010 season, dealing with both the death of their longtime owner, Abe Pollin, and the suspension of Gilbert Arenas due to his storage of guns in the team's locker room. The team obviously needed a boost, and they definitely got one when they landed the top pick in the 2010 draft. The Wizards selected John Wall with the No. 1 overall pick.

Abe's widow, Irene, happened to be in attendance of the draft lottery, which was also quite a coincidence.

The Cleveland Cavaliers had two lottery selections in the 2011 NBA draft due to a trade with the Los Angeles Clippers. What is ironic is, the pick that actually had far less odds of winning the lottery, at a two percent chance, actually ended up being the No. 1 overall selection. The Cavaliers were obviously devastated by the departure of LeBron James and seemed to have no hope. That is, until Kyrie Irving, the No. 1 overall selection, came to town. A possible theory is that the league wanted the Cavaliers to become relevant again after losing LeBron.

The New Orleans Hornets entered the lottery with the fourth-best chance of landing the No. 1 overall selection. The Hornets came away with the first pick and will almost certainly choose Kentucky's Anthony Davis with the first overall pick. Not only does the NBA still technically own the team, as the sale to Tom Benson is currently pending, but Benson, his wife and their granddaughter also just happened to be attending the lottery.

This coincidence is very similar to the one in 2010 one Abe Pollin's widow just happened to be attending the lottery in which her team, the Wizards, came away with the No. 1 pick.


http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1204023-2012-nba-draft-8-examples-of-how-the-nba-lottery-could-be-fixed

Great stories aren't they?  Almost seems like a happy ending and scripted.   I for one do not believe in fairy tales.

So... it has come to this...



I understand that a lot of people have the perception that it's fixed.  Perception doesn't equal reality.  As mentioned earlier... I recently saw a poll on CNN where 53% said they didn't believe in Evolution.  That doesn't make them any less stupid, my friend.

Your post makes it sound like the articles I was showing were some crazed propaganda.  It's from a SI writer who was actually at the lotto drawing. 

http://nba-point-forward.si.com/2012/05/30/nba-draft-lottery/

Follow up: http://nba-point-forward.si.com/2012/05/31/an-nba-draft-lottery-conspiracy-it-didnt-seem-that-way/

Quote
As I wrote Wednesday night, the league conducts the real lottery in a closed-off room an hour before the television broadcast. Every lottery team has one representative in the room — a different person than the one who represents it on television later, so that the televised suspense is legitimate. The league also allows three or four media members to watch the process, and on Wednesday, I was one of them. I described the drawing process in detail in that post: the air-powered machine, the scrambled ping-pong balls, the precisely timed intervals between the sucking up of each ball, the Ernst & Young accountant watching it all, etc. Click on that link if you want the full blow-by-blow of how the real thing works.

For now, let’s say this: If the process is actually rigged, the league does an incredible job of hiding it. Rigging the drawing would involve somehow tinkering with the machine (or the balls) so that it is more likely to suck up a particular four-ball combination out of 1,001 possibilities. I’m honestly not sure how the NBA could do that, or how the official drawing the balls at the prescribed times could actually pull off the trick of picking the right one in each instance.

I’ll also say this: If there were a conspiracy, the people in the room didn’t seem to give much thought to it. They were genuinely nervous. Representatives from teams with conflicting lottery interests were joking with each other about the tension in the air and the uncertainty of the looming outcome. Every representative was frantically scouring his sheet of lottery ball combinations as each one came up, checking to see if his team were still in the running.


Even more revealing: After the drawing ended with the Hornets’ winning, the representatives in the room openly and loudly kidded New Orleans general manager Dell Demps about how the fix had been in. They were joking with him, mocking the ridiculousness of the idea that the league had rigged the machine. Demps asked a league official if he might open up the machine to remove the four winning balls as souvenirs — hardly something Demps would request, or something that the league would allow, if the balls had been doctored. A rival executive even shouted across the room that one of the balls was surely weighted, and that Demps should be careful to conceal it from the rest of the group.

Everyone laughed, and that’s telling. People who believe they are victims of a conspiracy — people whose franchises had just been dealt a significant blow — would not immediately back-slap each other and generally share a good laugh about the whole thing. Or at least I don’t think that they would. I know I wouldn’t. I’d be angry — perhaps not angry enough to publicly criticize the very powerful Stern, but certainly angry enough to sulk in the corner and fire off some furious emails to friends.

That said,  I admit it's a lot more compelling to talk about that 1985 draft when the lotto system was drastically different.  But you really believe that there is some massive conspiracy involving weighted balls and brilliant mathematical equations to assure that the first five drawings would go Hornets - Bobcats - Hornets - Bobcats - Wizards?  Really...?  Fascinating. 

Still say if the NBA fixed the lotto, Boston was the clear-cut team to win a top 2 pick in 2007... we got stuck with #5.  Worst-case scenario for us.  Made no sense.  But then again, maybe you believe that Stern tried to fix it for Boston, but the weighted balls failed him... so he forced Minny to trade KG to us, forced Memphis to trade Pau to the Lakers... fixed the playoffs (like our defeat of LeBron in a 5 point game during game 7), fixed the conference finals so the Lakers and Celtics rivalry would be reborn... and then fixed it so that we could win our first title in over 20 years.  HmmMmmm...
« Last Edit: June 03, 2012, 01:28:51 AM by LarBrd33 »

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #79 on: June 03, 2012, 05:36:21 AM »

Offline Russell1

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more than words

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #80 on: June 03, 2012, 08:13:40 AM »

Offline ACF

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Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #81 on: June 03, 2012, 09:03:28 AM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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This post was about it being fixed.   A lot of percentage of people clearly believe it so.  We have no proof in the end and neither do you.

It's all up to conjecture, what someone believes.   I do not have any faith in the honesty of David Stern.   I do not trust the lotto.   I do not trust the refs.   I have an emotional attachment to the Celtics and follow them despite these misgivings.  It just seems to me that he has shafted us a lot.   In the draft, the Reggie Lewis no contract relief and the refs.  I would not trust the man as far as I could spit.

I think both sides have made valid points.   I think it is possible to fix things and the incentive (money) is there.  That doesn't mean it happens but from what I know of human nature is that if there is smoke there is a fire...


Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #82 on: June 03, 2012, 10:36:29 AM »

Offline celticinorlando

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lets see:

knicks get ewing
cavs get hometown boy james
cavs get the #1 pick a year after they lose james
NOLA gets top pick after being controlled all year by the nba...helps out a new owner

i think it is fixed in certain cases

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #83 on: June 03, 2012, 10:58:10 AM »

Offline tyrone biggums

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lets see:

knicks get ewing
cavs get hometown boy james
cavs get the #1 pick a year after they lose james
NOLA gets top pick after being controlled all year by the nba...helps out a new owner

i think it is fixed in certain cases

All the time? Probably not but for this year I think the two consensus choices to win were

1) Brooklyn - New arena in one of the biggest media markets in the world...which if you believe the reports about the pick it would have went to Orlando for DH12.

or

2) New Orleans- League owned team that had no stars to speak of but yet got Tom Benson who before Katrina wasn't exactly looked at as a tremendous owner in sports (he almost moved the Saints to San Antonio) to pay a pretty penny for the franchise...yeah no agreements were ever in place there.

Ewing and James were absolute rig jobs as well. I don't believe Stern rigged the C's drafts with Oden/Durant or Duncan. That's just my two cents

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #84 on: June 03, 2012, 11:03:26 AM »

Offline soap07

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Quote
This post was about it being fixed.   A lot of percentage of people clearly believe it so.  We have no proof in the end and neither do you.

I mean, what proof do we have of anything going by your standards?  There is no proof that Neil Armstrong landed on the moon. Sure there is video evidence. Neil says so. Buzz says so. Collins says so. But I wasn't there, so how do I know?

There is proof in the end, it's just a question of whether people choose to accept it. There are media members, representative from every team and a prestigious accounting firm that are all witness to the process. Unless everyone is in on it, there is no way that the lottery is fixed.

A high percentage of people believing it so just means those people are ignoring evidence and will think that same thing no matter what kind of evidence is presented.

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #85 on: June 03, 2012, 11:48:52 AM »

Offline Moranis

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None of LarBrd33 arugments have swayed my thoughts that it could be fixed.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bX1kMlG8c7Y

Sure as heck looks like he went right for this one.

http://www.scoresreport.com/2007/04/19/was-the-1985-draft-lottery-really-fixed/

accompanying article.

82% believe it was fixed and 55% are adamant about it.

http://beyondthebets.com/2012/05/31/was-the-nba-draft-lottery-fixed-a-whopping-82-percent-of-fans-think-its-a-possibility/

http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/22748484/29391755

interesting article.

http://www.yardbarker.com/nba/articles/msn/nba_execs_complain_about_rigged_lottery_after_league_owned_hornets_win_top_pick/10909472

Quote
“It’s such a joke that the league made the new owners be at the lottery for the show,” one high-ranking team executive told Yahoo Sports . “The league still owns the Hornets. Ask their front office if new owners can make a trade right now. They can’t. This is a joke.”

Quote
The reaction of several league executives was part disgust, part resignation on Wednesday night. So many had predicted this happening, so many suspected that somehow, someway, the Hornets would walk away with Davis. That's the worst part for the NBA; these aren't the railings from the guy sitting at the corner tavern, but the belief of those working within the machinery that something undue happened here, that they suspect it happens all the time under Stern.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/nba-lottery-rigged-2012-5#ixzz1wZzLYGSn

Some of those representatives do voice displeasure but to go against the league would be suicide and they would lose their team.  How come you did not post these articles LarBrd33?

How about this one?

Quote
TThe prize of the 1985 draft was a once-in-a-lifetime center in Georgetown's Patrick Ewing. The New York Knicks won the lottery with the third-worst record in the NBA and a 14.29 percent chance of landing the top pick in the 1985 NBA draft. Rumors of a rigged lottery swirled after the results of the lottery were announced. People claimed that the league wanted this once-in-a-lifetime player to go to the league's biggest market so that the Knicks would be relevant again.

The Philadelphia 76ers were going through rough times in the early to mid 1990's and needed a player to reignite the fanbase. The Sixers got that player in the 1996 NBA draft. The team had the best odds, 33 percent chance, to land the No. 1 pick, and ended up winning the lottery and selecting Allen Iverson. Although the Sixers did have the best odds, there still is some debate as to if this lottery was legitimate.

Michael Jordan was the president of basketball operations of the Washington Wizards when they had a 15.7 percent chance at winning the NBA lottery. The Wizards won the 2001 lottery, and Michael Jordan decided to select Kwame Brown with the first-overall selection. At the time of the lottery, there were numerous rumors that Jordan was going to come out of retirement to play for the Washington Wizards.

It seems like David Stern knew that Jordan was coming back and wanted to give them the No. 1 selection to add some excitement to the Wizards. However, Brown turned out to be a huge bust and never really turned out to be the player that Jordan once thought that he could be.

In 2003, another once-in-a-lifetime prospect was available out of St. Vincent-St. Mary High School in Akron, Ohio. The Cleveland Cavaliers, whose stadium is about 40 miles from LeBron James' high school, had the best shot at winning the lottery at a 22 percent chance. The Cavs ended up winning the 2003 lottery and selected James, who was able to stay in his hometown. The reason that it could have been rigged in 2003 is that the league wanted to change the landscape of the Cavaliers franchise by giving them a hometown hero in James.

The Chicago Bulls entered the 2008 draft lottery with a 1.8 percent chance of winning the top pick in the draft. The Bulls won the 2008 lottery and selected Derrick Rose a month later.

The fact that a team won the lottery with a 1.8 percent chance of winning is suspicious enough, but the fact that it was a major market team without a superstar made critics even more skeptical of the NBA's lottery. David Stern saw how successful the NBA can be when Chicago is a dominant team and perhaps wanted Chicago to be an elite team once again.

The Wizards had a tumultuous 2009-2010 season, dealing with both the death of their longtime owner, Abe Pollin, and the suspension of Gilbert Arenas due to his storage of guns in the team's locker room. The team obviously needed a boost, and they definitely got one when they landed the top pick in the 2010 draft. The Wizards selected John Wall with the No. 1 overall pick.

Abe's widow, Irene, happened to be in attendance of the draft lottery, which was also quite a coincidence.

The Cleveland Cavaliers had two lottery selections in the 2011 NBA draft due to a trade with the Los Angeles Clippers. What is ironic is, the pick that actually had far less odds of winning the lottery, at a two percent chance, actually ended up being the No. 1 overall selection. The Cavaliers were obviously devastated by the departure of LeBron James and seemed to have no hope. That is, until Kyrie Irving, the No. 1 overall selection, came to town. A possible theory is that the league wanted the Cavaliers to become relevant again after losing LeBron.

The New Orleans Hornets entered the lottery with the fourth-best chance of landing the No. 1 overall selection. The Hornets came away with the first pick and will almost certainly choose Kentucky's Anthony Davis with the first overall pick. Not only does the NBA still technically own the team, as the sale to Tom Benson is currently pending, but Benson, his wife and their granddaughter also just happened to be attending the lottery.

This coincidence is very similar to the one in 2010 one Abe Pollin's widow just happened to be attending the lottery in which her team, the Wizards, came away with the No. 1 pick.


http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1204023-2012-nba-draft-8-examples-of-how-the-nba-lottery-could-be-fixed

Great stories aren't they?  Almost seems like a happy ending and scripted.   I for one do not believe in fairy tales.
and yet Tim Duncan ended up in San Antonio (instead of Boston), Dwight Howard ended up in Orlando (instead of Chicago), Larry Johnson goes to Charlotte (instead of New Jersey), etc. 

The Clippers, Magic, and Cavs have won the lottery 3 times, the Bucks and Spurs 2 times.  These aren't exactly the marquee franchises in the league.  The Bulls and Rockets are the only "marquee" teams to win it more than once and the Knicks and Sixers just once each despite having a number of terrible teams between them.  The league's two most high profile teams (the Celtics and Lakers) have never won the lottery and at least in the Celtics case they had a number of bad teams with pretty good odds of winning it. 

Some times things seemingly work out, some times they don't, but when you only pick and choose a few seasons out of 20 you can make anything seem the way you want it to.   
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Starters - Luka, JB, Lebron, Wemby, Shaq
Rotation - D. Daniels, Mitchell, G. Wallace, Melo, Noah
Deep Bench - Korver, Turner

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #86 on: June 03, 2012, 12:52:13 PM »

Offline Meadowlark_Scal

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doesn't it look more like the WHOLE league is fixed.....remember 7 games makes more money than a 4 sweep.....it used to be a 5 game series for the first round.....and the charlotte thing STINKS to heck.....these magical fixes only happen on tv.....and politics...and now the NBA......pro boxing.....WWWF.....!!!

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #87 on: June 03, 2012, 01:49:50 PM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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Financial gain, do you trust men not to be greedy when presented the opportunity.

I don't expect Stern ever to help us so I was not surprised at Duncan with building the new arena soon after in SA.

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #88 on: June 03, 2012, 06:09:03 PM »

Offline Chelm

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doesn't it look more like the WHOLE league is fixed.....remember 7 games makes more money than a 4 sweep.....it used to be a 5 game series for the first round.....and the charlotte thing STINKS to heck.....these magical fixes only happen on tv.....and politics...and now the NBA......pro boxing.....WWWF.....!!!
I don't believe games are fixed in this circumstance either, but it would be one hell of a lot easier to fix games by altering refereeing than it would be to weight ping pong balls in a complex way with spectators (both partial and impartial) present (which is the topic of this thread).

Re: Do people really think the lottery is fixed?
« Reply #89 on: June 03, 2012, 08:33:09 PM »

Offline RebusRankin

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yeah but Stern hates Boston thats why we never won. ;D