I can't believe I'm saying this but I think the C's DO have a chance of winning it this year. not a higher percentage chance but better than slim. The biggest key is that the C's have to play every game like it's the 7th game of a series AND they have to be healthy for the playoffs. Any slacking off or even moderate-level injuries to critical players will doom the playoff run. The other big key is that no more than 1 of the big 4 can have an off night and the bench has to play well every game.
C's should beat the Hawks even without home court. The key is the limiting either JJ or Smith on offense and hoping that Horford doesn't come back looking like he's in prime form or giving the team an emotional boost.
C's could possibly beat the Bulls if Rose is really hobbling and the C's can pressure him the entire game. The other critical piece is that the C's need to gang rebound their defensive boards. If Chicago owns them on the boards, particularly late in a close game, the C's are toast.
C's could get by the Heat if they can limit turnovers and keep Miami in a halfcourt game. Also need to drive to the hoop more to try to put defensive pressure on Wade and Bron and force the refs to actually call falls. Wade and Bron are still the league's darlings and will get all the preferential treatment they can handle but if the C's can shut down the rest of the team, they can pull out the series.
C's could win the title against OKC, SA or Lakers (won't rule them out until they're knocked out) if they play way over their heads in the finals.
KG is the key against OKC. He has to dominate Perk and Ibaka. Rondo, Bradley and Pietrus will be key to slowing down Westbrook, Harden and possibly Durant.
PP and the guards would be the key against SA. I really think the C's could hold the advantage there and would really need to take it to SA from those positions.
Against the Lakers, have Bradley cover Kobe to frustrate him into hero ball and gang rebound to keep Pau and Bynum off the offensive glass.
I think that if the C's can even get to the finals, the opportunity for this group to get that treasured second ring will be enough to push them to overcome any obstacle. The trick will be getting that far.