One question I have is how would a second year Avery Bradley compare to Tony Allen in 2004?
Allen was the Big 12 player of the year, and was an athletic freak who was an accomplished two-way player. He fell to the 25th pick in what was probably a comparable draft.
Bradley can shoot FTs and hit a mid range shot and seems to be, at least in interviews I have heard, worlds smarter than Tony.
We never get to see or hear the interviews these players put on, which I am guessing is a huge factor in some cases. Find out the guy is a moron and he drops. Find out the guy is smart and coachable, and he rises.
If Bradley is smart, is coachable, which it seems he is, and given he has an outside shot and ability to hit FTs, I think that significantly raises his stock over Tony's in a similar draft at a similar age.
I really do think a player's background, intelligence, ability to be coached, and general personality have a gigantic input into drafting, especially for Ainge. Some of the risks he has taken(Giddens, Walker, Rondo, Davis, Green) have come with guys that had personality or intelligence or coachability issues. One paid off huge, Rondo. Another worked out well, Davis. Others, like Green, Walker and Giddens, were abject failures.