C's 31W - 35L Pace

[ManchesterCelticsFan]

30 of 66 games is complete; nearly 1/2 the truncated season. 30 games is a decent sample size in statistics. Here we go:

4W - 7L on the Road extrapolates to a 12W - 21L Road Record

11W - 8L at Home extrapolates to a 19W - 14L Home Record

That adds to 31W - 35L for the shortened season that has yet to play the back-to-back-to-back, long torturous 8-game road trip and has plenty of back-to-backs remaining.

Now that's putting even realistic (pessimistic from some fans perspective) C's fans season predictions to shame. 

[esel1000]

I'd venture to say its going to be even worse... this was the easier part of the schedule and the C's managed 500...

*sigh* rebuilding time here we come

[Roy H.]

I might be over-thinking this, but doesn't a .500 record extrapolate to 33-33? 

[Marcus13]

Pretty close to what most anticipated.

The rough part is though that the post All-Star break schedule is much more difficult for the C's than it has been so far

[Q_FBE]

No it sounds about right.... It will probably deteriorate further and we could fall out of the playoff race a month from now. I am thinking it could get as bad as 24 and 42 once all is said and done. Or they could be as good as 35 and 31 and we have a first round elimination to look forward to.

[Inside-Out]

Wow.  Thanks for bringing this up.

IMO, if any team is going to struggle to make .500, the GM should be working the phones until something happens or the phones themselves simply melt down.

I'm not sure why Ray, KG, or JO would want to hang around (millions of dollars aside, of course).

[kozlodoev]

I might be over-thinking this, but doesn't a .500 record extrapolate to 33-33? 

He's adjusting for home court, so the transformation isn't as straightforward. Doing worse in road games and having more road than home games left, I don't think it's a leap to conclude our record can get worse over the remainder of the season.

[kgiessler]

I might be over-thinking this, but doesn't a .500 record extrapolate to 33-33? 

It does if you make the assumption the team is as successful on the road as they are at home.  Unfortunately, that has historically been an incorrect assumption: http://www.nba.com/celtics/history/Stats_YearlyWinLoss.html

However, last year was an exception, so maybe its the start of a new trend!

[kgiessler]

I might be over-thinking this, but doesn't a .500 record extrapolate to 33-33? 

It does if you make the assumption the team is as successful on the road as they are at home.  Unfortunately, that has historically been an incorrect assumption: http://www.nba.com/celtics/history/Stats_YearlyWinLoss.html

However, last year was an exception, so maybe its the start of a new trend!

And let me add, what an exception it was.  It had only happened once before that the team lost more at home than on the road (74-75), so twice in history.  There was a season where the records were tied (06-07).