People think we're going to drop into the lottery, pick up an all-star or two along with a franchise player and be contenders again within 5 years. Someone should check with the Clippers, Kings, or maybe the Bulls how that can work out.
it's true that it's not guaranteed. it could take 3 years or it could take 12. there's a lot of luck involved.
but every year you wait to start the rebuilding process, you're keeping your team on a flat or inevitably downward trajectory. being a middle of the road also-ran without young lottery picks just puts you in a self-perpetuating cycle of mediocrity.
at some point, this team will have to hit bottom before it can start going back up towards the top of the league. i can totally understand the desire to get the "rock bottom" part over with sooner rather than later, since yet another second round exit doesn't mean much in the big scheme of things.
we've gotten our banner 17, and it doesn't look like banner 18 is coming with this group, not with the competition they have in the east now (knicks, nets, heat will all be tough from this year on, not to mention the bulls). we could make this year a nice, sentimental farewell tour for the big 3, or we could start compiling assets for the rebuilding process immediately.
still, i don't think the big 3 have much value at this point, and it would not play well with the fan base to totally blow the team up before they've stopped being at all competitive. so i think we'll wait to truly rebuild until next summer when kg, ray, and JO finish their contracts.
i'd love to see a trade that gave us a chance to be more competitive this season and also set us up to enter the rebuilding phase as quickly as possible, though. that's what the cp3 trade would have done, while also giving us a shot at retaining a superstar long term. ive advocated for a rondo + green for nash + gortat trade, or something like it, but i doubt we'll see that happen.
i think this season is more or less the status quo, and then a serious retool next summer. i can't say that i know what danny will do, however. he doesn't seem like the type who's interested in overseeing a bad team for any extended period of time. he had enough of that earlier in his tenure as the GM.