My gut, FWIW, says that there are several very, very good reasons why the owners are standing tough in the CBA fiasco, and all of them will come together to keep DH in Disney.
Too many owners were burned at once by "franchise" players bolting in FA. I think I read somewhere that the value of the Cavs franchise was estimated to drop by $100M when Lebron left. Expect it to be harder for "franchise" players to leave either by a real financial penalty for leaving (no S&T to maintain Bird rights, with the higher raises and longer contract that come with staying), or an outright franchise tag.
I do expect owners and players to agree on a general amnesty clause that has players getting paid their guaranteed contract, but not counting on the cap/tax system. In this case, either owners that can afford it will just let the dead weight walk (Later, Agent Zero). So it could be easier for Orlando to retool on the fly, making those franchise stars less "stuck" on bad teams (like KG in Minny), since teams would have more roster flexibility to build (and rebuild) supporting casts for their superstars