I think with a healthy Shaq we take this, and even without him, we might win...
I usually don't put much stock into facts like this but the Heat REALLY can't close out games.
It could just be an aberration, but there seems to be some sort of actual problem with them finishing games out. If that ends up being a real thing and not just a weird coincidence, then there's no way we're losing to them since all of our games will be close.