I am actually hoping it IS different from last year. I mean, did we win the title last year and someone forgot to tell me?
As I have been saying, we may be able to get out of the east again (maybe), but I don't see us beating the lakers without HCA, which we have already given away.
If this team rallies and makes it to Game 7 against the Lakers in the Finals, I'm very confident that they'll win. KG's improved play alone would be the difference maker.
It's the getting there part that I'm more worried about.
Once again, like everything, it all depends on how strong the O'Neals come back. If we're playing Krstic significant minutes I see us getting out-rebounded twice as badly.
The Lakers, Bulls, and Magic are all teams that if they really try can outrebound us by 20 with relative ease. That'll be our Achilles heel in the playoffs.
If the Oneals aren't back strong, I don't think we are making it anywhere near the finals anyways, so thats a moot point.
I also don't think we would beat the Heat without Shaq playing well, since he is one of the real mismatches we have against them.
The Heat? Bulls, Magic, Hawks we can beat all these guys in a 7 game series. Look how many games we've had to play this year without Shaq. If the Big 4 are playing like they should I wouldn't pick any of those teams as favorites. It depends a lot on what we're getting from Baby. Doc is gonna be playing him at least 30-35 minutes a night. And if Jeff Green is stepping up I can see Doc trying to use him like he used Posey.
Record without Shaq
Hawks: 1-0
Magic: 1-0
Bulls: 1-0
Heat: 1-0
Knicks with Melo: 1-0
(undefeated)
Record with Shaq (averages in about 20mpg)
Hawks: 1-0, (13 and 11)
Magic: 1-1, (7 and 1.5)
Bulls: 1-1 (8.5 and 4.5)
Heat: 2-0 (7 and 7, and only 36%FG)
Also he only gave us 4 and 1 in the Spurs game, and 0pts, 6reb in the LA game.
Shaq hasn't been a huge factor (and probably less than Baby but I don't feel like looking up his games) in any of the big games so far. He's obviously been a "playoffs guy" in the past but last year in Cleveland he was worse in PPG, RPG, APG, FG%, TO, and PF in the post season.