I'll try to be realistic *and* bring some stats into the discussion.
Based on history, Amare has essentially no shot. In the modern era only one MVP has come from a team with fewer than 54 wins (not counting the lockout year), and that was Kareem in 1976. The Lakers were 40-42 that year.
As a point of comparison, that year Kareem averaged 27.7 pts, 16.9 reb, 5.0 ast, 1.5 stl and 4.1 blk per game. He led the league in rebounds and blocks, was second in points, and led the league in both offensive and defensive win shares.