Thanks, Guava.
All of us here have our own theories.
I watch just like you do. Primarily I watch the C's. About the only other team I watch semi-consistently is the Lakers because while I root against Kobe, I think he's simply the best player and the hardest competitor in the game. The officiating makes watching other stars in the NBA virtually unwatchable to me.
My examples of big name players who are at the end of their careers used as examples in general: Ironically both Celtics. Last year Sheed. This year Shaq. Both were fined heavily (I could care less how much they make. 30000+ is a lot of freaking money) Disregard for a moment that both Sheed and Shaq was exactly correct in what they said. In the same game the officials were literally begging Howard, who was mocking the officials, to knock it off to keep him in the game. They gave Pierce a trip and a half down the court making messiahesque protests and gestures before T'ing him up. Speaking of the messiah, how have those no histrionic rules affected him? Meanwhile, Sheed gets fined $30000 for stating that (lol) Turkododo obviously flops. How Stern handled the Jeff VanGundy (small market, smaller name coach) situation and how he handles Phil Jackson are 180 degrees different. How he handles Mark Cuban (small market) and how he handled the far more scandalous stuff going on during the Isiah Thomas days in New York, (which, IMHO, did far more damage to the image of the NBA) are 180 degrees different.
I don't know that there's a dispute that as essentially the CEO of the NBA, Stern's job is to grow the product. While I see Stern as a complete sleazeball, I think he's a brilliant CEO. The product continues to grow. I think he ignores the obvious (tampering, the Donaghy situation) because it doesn't appear to hurt the product.
I think he'll use the Shaq/Sheed/VanGundy example if he ever sees tampering as an issue. He'll try to make the biggest possible splash while doing the least amount of damage to the product. His history is to protect stars and bigger markets.
When I questioned your theory, Guava, that tampering is so hard to prove....My theory goes back to the Donaghy situation and how quickly the major NBA and sports channels (particularly ESPN) moved to demonize Donaghy and shield the NBA. Not to mention how quickly such a huge scandal was swept under the rug by ESPN and TNT...Other than to keep us posted on Donaghy's exclusive guilt. If you don't think, after that, that with the kind of influence, (again, IMHO) the NBA appears to have over these outlets that these outlets are incapable of helping the commissioner uncover the source of a leak...Well, we'll have to agree to disagree.
That's why I believe stars like Anthony will be able to manipulate their own deals overtly. Particularly if that overtness ultimately lands him in the biggest market in the world.
That's my theory.