I think Milwaukee is going to be a big disappointment this year. They overachieved last season, but I think some of the success is going to go to their heads. Plus, they have a coach who is notorious for wearing out his welcome with teams, and a lot of very even talent that will be fighting for minutes, rather than fighting for wins. And finally, their best player (Bogut) has said that he did not expect to be 100% this season, and their second best player (Jennings) is an excellent candidate for a sophomore slump.
Detroit on the other hand could overachieve. They have an interesting mix of veterans who understand how to win, and talented young guys. If they can get better health from guys like Gordon and Prince, and some of the young guys step up, this could be a playoff team.