We all pretty much know that Ray has to wait to really make a proper decision. Yes he could walk, we could re-sign, or even sign & trade. Does Pierce's 15 mil per year set the bar for what Ray wants? Will Ray really take 5-7 million less than Paul? We all have our own thoughts, but I don't think Ray feels he's a lesser player than Paul, or at least not a lesser one that deserves 10 mil to be ceiling for his annual salary. How much does he ask? 12-15m, 11-13m, or does it depend on the scenario? And how many years will someone give him (we know it will be 3 or 4)?
Ray's ultimate contract will be based on whatever figure he can negotiate with Miami, New York, Cleveland, whoever's got the wherewithall to sign him.
DANNY, I think, has a top-line figure in mind, and that's clearly a number that's less than Pierce's $15M. We can argue about who might be a better player by the end of their contracts (Pierce's game could well regress more than Ray's, who could Reggie Miller it for a long time). But, he'll never be worth the same in terms of value to the franchise.
Lose Ray Allen, we all start thinking about how to replace him - trade for Barbosa, sign Mike Miller, whatever.
Lose Paul Pierce, the whole face of the franchise is gone.
So, if New York were to offer Ray a 3/$45M contract, I think Danny lets him walk, because if Pierce is worth $15M then Ray Allen *must* be worth some figure less than that to him.