As I said in another thread, Cleveland did scare me, and I thought we would lose to them, but after what I've seen and considering that Cleveland was supposed to be the toughest matchup for us in this year's playoffs, I am very confident that neither Orlando nor Phoenix can win against us. Different story with the Lakers though. They could take us to 7.
I agree with everything you said. Luckily for the Cs this year not having home court doesn't matter. They actually seem better when the pressure is off, such as being in L.A. for a closing game.
The Lakers size is what concerns me most. KG will not "eat up" Gasol. If anything I'm afraid Gasol might be better than KG now. He's very efficient in the post, as is Bynum. Jackson is smart and tends to know the right matchups most of the time. If Bynum is healthy and playing with passion I can't see anyone beating the Lakers. The good thing is Bynum has been up and down with both.
Orlando will also be a tough out, but if we took them to 7 last year without KG I think we should be good this year. Don't talk about Nelson or Carter either. Last year Alston was hitting all his threes and playing well and Turkoglu was the leader of the team. Last year's Magic might have been better than this year, and we still almost beat them with the Ticket Stub.
Phoenix will be toast and will need a miracle to beat L.A. Nash will need to dominate and Richardson will need to play Kobe even in order to have a chance against L.A.