Hard to imagine them getting bounced in the first round. I would think a second round exit is more likely. Either way Ainge will make some changes. I would
1- Let Doc go. Docs a great guy but he has not got the job done this year. I would like to see them bring in JVG if possible.
2-Get rid of Rasheed any way possible. Rasheed+beloved Celtics= epic fail see any of the many Rasheed threads in the forum.
3- Trade Rondo for a legit power forward.(Bosh,Boozer,Amare in a package with Rasheed or Baby either trade or sign and trade) Rondo is the team best trade assest unfortunetly his defense is poor and it puts alot of pressure on the back line to cover for him and they simply cannont do it. Its understandable that Rondo cant defend bigger stronger guards like Billups and D Will but if he cant stop guys like Brooks and Collison then who can he defend?
4- Resign Ray. Ray is not the problem its Docs emphasis on playing team ball even when the team is not performing. If Ray got the touches other premier shooting guards get(Kobe,Wade)he would be putting up huge numbers. Look what happened when they went away from Ray in the Easter Day game. The offense should be running thru Ray every game.
5- Resign Perkins. Who plays Dwight Howard better than Perkins?
So you want to trade Rondo, who might make the all-defense team again, because his defense is so bad, but you also want to re-sign Ray? Wow.
He is killing the back line defense with all the gambles. If he makes the all defensive team it will only be for his steals total.
Watch the press conference after he breaks the single season record.
KG doesnt sound too impressed.
Rondo didn't sound too impressed either. And when the opposing pgs get inot the lane it's much more likely to be from a pick than Rondo gambling.
They have production by opponents per 48 minutes for all the players on 82games.com. I checked a week or so ago and out of all the starting pgs Rondo was top 8-10 in fewest fg attempts and points allowed, was 5th or so in rebounding differential, allowed the fewest assists and forced the most turnovers. His assist/turnover ratio frequently approaches double what he allows and he scores over 50% more from the inside than his opponents do.
I never said Rondo wasnt a good player I just think his gambeling combined with decreased lateral movement from the bigs is a huge problem. He just isnt the right player for the group of veterans we have.
Now his value is high its a great time to trade him for a legit Power Forward. If we could get a Bosh or Boozer sign and trade then all you really need is a point guard who can defend and doesnt turn the ball over. You resign Ray and run the offense thru Pierce,Ray,
KG, Bosh whoever. Without a LEGIT upgrade on the frontline we are toast next year going forward.
Bosh? OK, it is worth considering (although I don't think trading Rondo in a sign and trade is good value), but Boozer for Rondo and filler makes no sense. Rondo just has way too much value, and Boozer has very questionable value, and is destined to be overpaid. Not to mention Boozer has just as many holes in his game as Rondo does, plus he can't stay on the court.
Now, a trade of Ray and Perkins for Boozer and a draft pick makes a lot more sense from both teams.
While I don't think Rondo should be completely off the table (I was a proponent of trading him last summer), you only do it if you can get an elite, young player. And Boozer is neither elite, nor that young. And more likely, you would be looking for 2 young assets for a guy like Rondo, whose value is incredibly high right now, despite the fact that he would be a tough contract to match.
Now how in the world can we trade Perkins and ever expect to win the Eastern Conference in the next 10-12 years. You saw what Howard did to the Cavs in last years playoffs right? There are 2 centers in the league that can contain Dwight and lucky for us we have Perk.
You cannont trade Perk.
Rondo is the only high value assest we have that could bring a legit big man back. Lets say you could get Bosh+Calderon(sign and trade) for Rondo and Baby. Would we not contend next year with Calderon/Ray/Pierce/Bosh/Perkins and Garnett?
Perkins does well against Howard. Yes, I agree. He also gets killed by Andrew Bogut. So by this reasoning, we need to always hope to play Orlando, but never play Milwaukee.
Role playing Centers do not win championships, talent wins championships. If you can upgrade your talent, then you have a better chance of winning a championship, than overpaying to keep an average overall player, just because he excels at defending one other player.
BTW, Rasheed Wallace is possibly as good as Perk at defending Howard, and Glen Davis is very good at it as well. If we were able to upgrade the team in other areas by trading Perkins, we can find a way to handle Howard.
As for the Rondo for Bosh+Calderon deal, of course I would do it. Bosh is a very young superstar. If they could get a deal like that, I would jump at it. But it is one of the very few that I think do make sense for trading Rondo.
Of course, I still think this team would have to consider trading either Perk or KG after a deal like that, but that is another issue.