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Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #90 on: March 16, 2010, 03:21:33 PM »

Offline slamtheking

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Well the LaFrentz deal brought Ratliff, whose expiring contract enabled the Garnett Deal. Also, pick #7 was Randy Foye, not Brandon Roy.  The pick swap had nothing to do with the Celtics. It was just a bad move by the Wolves.

Right.

McHale gets a lot of flack for that deal, though the two were projected to be very similar players on draft day.  I think constantly trying to play Foye as a PG, instead of his natural SG position, hurt his performance and development in way that Roy never had to deal with.  Roy is clearly the better player, though.

Personally, I didn't like the deal.  It was a money deal, not a basketball deal.  Those suck.  The deal didn't help us in the short term, and the long term impact is questionable, even in spite of the KG trade*.  Perhaps the best long-term outcome is the C's (at times) stubborn refusal to take on anything that may become a bad contract, perhaps so they never have to make money deals again.

I expect Danny to work diligently to reload the cupboard this offseason, regardless of what happens in the playoffs.  Trading away draft picks just doesn't make sense.

*Nothing wrong with Rondo/Roy/Pierce/Al Jeff/Perk, right?  And we still would've had the assets MN wanted for KG plus Delonte and whatever the 2007 pick would've been, except Ratliff, so it is still possible it could've gotten done, IMHO.

Yeah nothing except no chance for a championship.
Not necessarily.  The parts are still there for the Ray trade which would have been the encouragement for KG to come here.  The difference is that we'd have to convince Minny to take Raef instead of Ratliff.  Since Raef had one more year than Ratliff, we may have had to sweeten the pot more OR maybe Big Al, the rookie of the year Roy and either Gomes/GG/C's future #1/Minnie's own future #1 would have gotten that deal done instead.  We may have been able to move a little less in the KG deal if we hadn't made the Portland trade by having Roy as extra tradebait. 

On the flip side of that, Rondo/Roy/PP/Al/Perk is a very good starting 5.  The Ray deal is still possible since we'd still have Wally, Delonte and our first round pick if we wanted to do that but I wouldn't.  Roy was ROY and I'd be reluctant to move him for an aging Ray coming off surgery.  We'd have TA (who wouldn't have been in the situation of getting injured on that stupid play because the game scenario would have changed with Roy on the team --> alternate reality concept so just go with me on that) playing like a budding star and Delonte as the bench guards.  Gomes as the backup 3/4 and Powe as the backup 4.  The 1st rounder that year could have gone for Oden/Durant/Horford/Noah .(again, alternate reality-->with Roy, the team would have a different record and probably finished higher than 1 other team and possibly more.  If they jump 1 team, they have the 6th pick and can still get Noah which would solidify that team's weakspot of center.  If they jump 2-4 teams, based on the lottery results of the 4th through 6th worst teams getting the top 3 picks, they wind up with one of Oden, Durant or Horford).  for that matter, throw in the early second rounder that year and based on the team's roster, maybe Danny still selects either Pruitt or BBD or maybe selects one of the several players taken after them that other posters here have suggested Danny missed such as Marc Gasol.  If any of that came to pass, we'd be over-the-top optimistic about this team's future regardless of not having a title in 2008 and set to be a contender for years.  (potential line-up rondo/roy/durant/Al/Perk  bench: delonte/ good-TA/ PP/ Gomes/ Powe/ Marc Gasol.  No bad contracts on the roster either since Raef's contract expired.  Tell me you don't think that roster would be a contender

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #91 on: March 16, 2010, 03:25:49 PM »

Offline BballTim

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*Nothing wrong with Rondo/Roy/Pierce/Al Jeff/Perk, right?  And we still would've had the assets MN wanted for KG plus Delonte and whatever the 2007 pick would've been, except Ratliff, so it is still possible it could've gotten done, IMHO.

  Minny wanted a large expiring deal for KG. Where were we going to get one of those?

  And saying that, in spite of the KG deal, the trade didn't help us in the short term is ridiculous, unless you think we were going to win a title without KG.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #92 on: March 16, 2010, 03:31:21 PM »

Offline BballTim

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Well the LaFrentz deal brought Ratliff, whose expiring contract enabled the Garnett Deal. Also, pick #7 was Randy Foye, not Brandon Roy.  The pick swap had nothing to do with the Celtics. It was just a bad move by the Wolves.

Right.

McHale gets a lot of flack for that deal, though the two were projected to be very similar players on draft day.  I think constantly trying to play Foye as a PG, instead of his natural SG position, hurt his performance and development in way that Roy never had to deal with.  Roy is clearly the better player, though.

Personally, I didn't like the deal.  It was a money deal, not a basketball deal.  Those suck.  The deal didn't help us in the short term, and the long term impact is questionable, even in spite of the KG trade*.  Perhaps the best long-term outcome is the C's (at times) stubborn refusal to take on anything that may become a bad contract, perhaps so they never have to make money deals again.

I expect Danny to work diligently to reload the cupboard this offseason, regardless of what happens in the playoffs.  Trading away draft picks just doesn't make sense.

*Nothing wrong with Rondo/Roy/Pierce/Al Jeff/Perk, right?  And we still would've had the assets MN wanted for KG plus Delonte and whatever the 2007 pick would've been, except Ratliff, so it is still possible it could've gotten done, IMHO.

Yeah nothing except no chance for a championship.
Not necessarily.  The parts are still there for the Ray trade which would have been the encouragement for KG to come here.  The difference is that we'd have to convince Minny to take Raef instead of Ratliff.  Since Raef had one more year than Ratliff, we may have had to sweeten the pot more OR maybe Big Al, the rookie of the year Roy and either Gomes/GG/C's future #1/Minnie's own future #1 would have gotten that deal done instead.  We may have been able to move a little less in the KG deal if we hadn't made the Portland trade by having Roy as extra tradebait. 


  Best case scenario seems to be we end up exactly where we were and possibly keep Ryan Gomes, who wouldn't have seen any minutes behind Posey in the playoffs that year. More likely, Minny wouldn't have traded for Raef's contract and we'd be a good but not great team with no title.

  I don't know if people remember this, but teams that were trying to trade for KG were trying to trade with us to get Al and Theo.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #93 on: March 16, 2010, 04:34:51 PM »

Offline the_Bird

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If you're assuming we don't trade for Ray or KG, you also need to remove Pierce from the equation.  I think he's made it clear that if they didn't get some veterans around him, he was going to ask for a trade, and I'm pretty sure Danny's said that they would have likely looked to trade Pierce as well.  They weren't going to ask Pierce to stick around for another three years of rebuilding, and Pierce was running out of patience.

And, we likely would have been getting fifty cents on the dollar for PP under those circumstances.  Pierce would have been a a frustrated player who would be pining for a trade but had never shown a lot of leadership or won much of anything in his career.   

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #94 on: March 16, 2010, 07:31:58 PM »

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Well the LaFrentz deal brought Ratliff, whose expiring contract enabled the Garnett Deal. Also, pick #7 was Randy Foye, not Brandon Roy.  The pick swap had nothing to do with the Celtics. It was just a bad move by the Wolves.

Right.

McHale gets a lot of flack for that deal, though the two were projected to be very similar players on draft day.  I think constantly trying to play Foye as a PG, instead of his natural SG position, hurt his performance and development in way that Roy never had to deal with.  Roy is clearly the better player, though.

Personally, I didn't like the deal.  It was a money deal, not a basketball deal.  Those suck.  The deal didn't help us in the short term, and the long term impact is questionable, even in spite of the KG trade*.  Perhaps the best long-term outcome is the C's (at times) stubborn refusal to take on anything that may become a bad contract, perhaps so they never have to make money deals again.

I expect Danny to work diligently to reload the cupboard this offseason, regardless of what happens in the playoffs.  Trading away draft picks just doesn't make sense.

*Nothing wrong with Rondo/Roy/Pierce/Al Jeff/Perk, right?  And we still would've had the assets MN wanted for KG plus Delonte and whatever the 2007 pick would've been, except Ratliff, so it is still possible it could've gotten done, IMHO.

Yeah nothing except no chance for a championship.
Not necessarily.  The parts are still there for the Ray trade which would have been the encouragement for KG to come here.  The difference is that we'd have to convince Minny to take Raef instead of Ratliff.  Since Raef had one more year than Ratliff, we may have had to sweeten the pot more OR maybe Big Al, the rookie of the year Roy and either Gomes/GG/C's future #1/Minnie's own future #1 would have gotten that deal done instead.  We may have been able to move a little less in the KG deal if we hadn't made the Portland trade by having Roy as extra tradebait. 

On the flip side of that, Rondo/Roy/PP/Al/Perk is a very good starting 5.  The Ray deal is still possible since we'd still have Wally, Delonte and our first round pick if we wanted to do that but I wouldn't.  Roy was ROY and I'd be reluctant to move him for an aging Ray coming off surgery.  We'd have TA (who wouldn't have been in the situation of getting injured on that stupid play because the game scenario would have changed with Roy on the team --> alternate reality concept so just go with me on that) playing like a budding star and Delonte as the bench guards.  Gomes as the backup 3/4 and Powe as the backup 4.  The 1st rounder that year could have gone for Oden/Durant/Horford/Noah .(again, alternate reality-->with Roy, the team would have a different record and probably finished higher than 1 other team and possibly more.  If they jump 1 team, they have the 6th pick and can still get Noah which would solidify that team's weakspot of center.  If they jump 2-4 teams, based on the lottery results of the 4th through 6th worst teams getting the top 3 picks, they wind up with one of Oden, Durant or Horford).  for that matter, throw in the early second rounder that year and based on the team's roster, maybe Danny still selects either Pruitt or BBD or maybe selects one of the several players taken after them that other posters here have suggested Danny missed such as Marc Gasol.  If any of that came to pass, we'd be over-the-top optimistic about this team's future regardless of not having a title in 2008 and set to be a contender for years.  (potential line-up rondo/roy/durant/Al/Perk  bench: delonte/ good-TA/ PP/ Gomes/ Powe/ Marc Gasol.  No bad contracts on the roster either since Raef's contract expired.  Tell me you don't think that roster would be a contender

Thanks for visiting the alternate reality, and enjoy the TP as a door prize!

It's important to learn from prior moves as we set out to reload/rebuild in the fairly near future, so I think it could be valuable to look at the picks that were traded for those veterans.  We gave up even more than you tallied:

Having Roy would've made trading for Ray unnecessary, so we'd have kept the pick that became Jeff Green, too(of course, it may not have been the #5 and JG, etc.).

Without KG either, then, we have the Rondo/Roy/PP/Al J/Perk starting 5, which looks pretty good, below KG-2008 level but moving in the right direction.  We may also have Jeff Green (or another stud) catching oops from Rondo, Roy, and PP.  AND we also would still have had Minny's 1st rounder (#6) that they used on Jonny Flynn, but we could've used o almost anyone (Curry?  Maynor?  Collison?  Taj Gibson?) and our own pick that Minny used on Wayne Ellington.

So with a Rondo/Roy/PP/Al/Perk starting 5, we'd still have tons of talent in Curry, Jeff Green, and Ellington coming off the bench, along with Gomes, TA, and some other pieces.

We would be different, and 2008 may not have been a title, but we'd be looking forward with excited anticipation to the next decade, rather than wondering how Danny will pull off the near-miracle it would take to make us contenders over that span, with neither high picks nor young talent to work with. 

If we learn anything from both the Ray and KG trades, it's that young talent is needed one way or another, to develop or to bait a trade.  Also, smart teams trade for talent, not contracts.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #95 on: March 16, 2010, 08:05:32 PM »

Offline Who

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Who, you seem to favor making next year (or this?) Pierce's last (depending on how things go)...but, like most, you assume he'll get another few years with the Celtics and retire here......my question to Who and everyone else is:  Aside from evaluating Pierce on his own (in other words regardless of your opinion of Pierce's game and predicted game over the next couple of years), do you think going forward with both Rondo and Pierce on the same team is a mistake....via clash of playing styles.....Or, if Pierce stays will his influence fade, possibly coming off the bench, such that Rondo's playing style and general control of the team will be absolute....
My only issue with resigning Paul Pierce is cap flexibility. I think he'll be a drag on the cap and hurt the C's ability to add further talent.

Playing style wise, it's not great but it's not a problem either. Rondo will need a guy like Pierce alongside him in the future anyway ... he's not prolific enough as a scorer to live without another top go-to scorer on the perimeter. So, at some point, they'll be replacing Pierce.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #96 on: March 16, 2010, 09:14:41 PM »

Offline buzz

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Yeah, we definitely could have had Roy, and he likely would not have hurt our lottery odds much as a rookie for the following season.

Which brings up an interesting thought. Imagine had we kept the pick used on Roy and then landed a Top 2 spot in the 2007 draft the following year (didn't happen, but certainly not an implausible alternate reality given how bad we were). We could have ended up with:

Rondo/Delonte
Roy/TA/Green
Pierce/Gomes
Durant/Powe/Baby
Jefferson/Perkins

Yikes!

Anyhow... the KG trade was justified the moment we made the Finals, IMO.

Still interesting to consider.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #97 on: March 16, 2010, 10:10:07 PM »

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Hopefully the Oaf Perkins will celebrate his next birthday on another team's roster.

I like Perk. Hard-nosed guy, appropriately paid.

But he doesn't have great trade value unless we resign him, which I wouldn't do going into the lockout.

I would do my best to trade Perkins on draft night.
If the Knicks pick drops down far enough. Say #8-#11. The Utah Jazz may considering trading the pick for a defensive minded center like Perk.

A player they haven't really had since Greg Ostertag retired and something they sorely want to improve their team's defense.

I think Utah would be willing to give up a valuable chip to land a player like Perkins. That is something to watch out for.

Is the 8-11 pick good enough value for Perk?  Consider Cole Aldrich, projected to go in about that range, who would probably be labeled a success if he reached Perkins' current level.
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Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #98 on: March 16, 2010, 10:53:51 PM »

Offline Who

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Hopefully the Oaf Perkins will celebrate his next birthday on another team's roster.

I like Perk. Hard-nosed guy, appropriately paid.

But he doesn't have great trade value unless we resign him, which I wouldn't do going into the lockout.

I would do my best to trade Perkins on draft night.
If the Knicks pick drops down far enough. Say #8-#11. The Utah Jazz may considering trading the pick for a defensive minded center like Perk.

A player they haven't really had since Greg Ostertag retired and something they sorely want to improve their team's defense.

I think Utah would be willing to give up a valuable chip to land a player like Perkins. That is something to watch out for.

Is the 8-11 pick good enough value for Perk?  Consider Cole Aldrich, projected to go in about that range, who would probably be labeled a success if he reached Perkins' current level.

It depends on how highly you rate a specific player who will be available in that bracket.

For example, Rudy Gay went #8 several years ago and if the Celtics could get a prospect like Gay by trading Perk for a pick ... then yes, I think that is good value.

It all depends on whether there is one specific player that one rates highly enough. Only needs to be one player.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #99 on: March 16, 2010, 11:03:26 PM »

Offline PosImpos

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2015.  Look at OK City

So our only hope to be a decent team (competitive with championship potential) 5 years from now is to pray to God that we get a high lottery pick and draft the next great MVP-caliber player?

It's far more likely we end up like the other team you mentioned - Memphis.  A young core that's good enough to peak as a 4th or 5th seed, but never get any better than that.  Kind of like the Hawks.

Boy, it sure sucks to be a GM in the NBA.
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Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #100 on: March 17, 2010, 08:29:18 AM »

Offline slamtheking

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Well the LaFrentz deal brought Ratliff, whose expiring contract enabled the Garnett Deal. Also, pick #7 was Randy Foye, not Brandon Roy.  The pick swap had nothing to do with the Celtics. It was just a bad move by the Wolves.

Right.

McHale gets a lot of flack for that deal, though the two were projected to be very similar players on draft day.  I think constantly trying to play Foye as a PG, instead of his natural SG position, hurt his performance and development in way that Roy never had to deal with.  Roy is clearly the better player, though.

Personally, I didn't like the deal.  It was a money deal, not a basketball deal.  Those suck.  The deal didn't help us in the short term, and the long term impact is questionable, even in spite of the KG trade*.  Perhaps the best long-term outcome is the C's (at times) stubborn refusal to take on anything that may become a bad contract, perhaps so they never have to make money deals again.

I expect Danny to work diligently to reload the cupboard this offseason, regardless of what happens in the playoffs.  Trading away draft picks just doesn't make sense.

*Nothing wrong with Rondo/Roy/Pierce/Al Jeff/Perk, right?  And we still would've had the assets MN wanted for KG plus Delonte and whatever the 2007 pick would've been, except Ratliff, so it is still possible it could've gotten done, IMHO.

Yeah nothing except no chance for a championship.
Not necessarily.  The parts are still there for the Ray trade which would have been the encouragement for KG to come here.  The difference is that we'd have to convince Minny to take Raef instead of Ratliff.  Since Raef had one more year than Ratliff, we may have had to sweeten the pot more OR maybe Big Al, the rookie of the year Roy and either Gomes/GG/C's future #1/Minnie's own future #1 would have gotten that deal done instead.  We may have been able to move a little less in the KG deal if we hadn't made the Portland trade by having Roy as extra tradebait. 

On the flip side of that, Rondo/Roy/PP/Al/Perk is a very good starting 5.  The Ray deal is still possible since we'd still have Wally, Delonte and our first round pick if we wanted to do that but I wouldn't.  Roy was ROY and I'd be reluctant to move him for an aging Ray coming off surgery.  We'd have TA (who wouldn't have been in the situation of getting injured on that stupid play because the game scenario would have changed with Roy on the team --> alternate reality concept so just go with me on that) playing like a budding star and Delonte as the bench guards.  Gomes as the backup 3/4 and Powe as the backup 4.  The 1st rounder that year could have gone for Oden/Durant/Horford/Noah .(again, alternate reality-->with Roy, the team would have a different record and probably finished higher than 1 other team and possibly more.  If they jump 1 team, they have the 6th pick and can still get Noah which would solidify that team's weakspot of center.  If they jump 2-4 teams, based on the lottery results of the 4th through 6th worst teams getting the top 3 picks, they wind up with one of Oden, Durant or Horford).  for that matter, throw in the early second rounder that year and based on the team's roster, maybe Danny still selects either Pruitt or BBD or maybe selects one of the several players taken after them that other posters here have suggested Danny missed such as Marc Gasol.  If any of that came to pass, we'd be over-the-top optimistic about this team's future regardless of not having a title in 2008 and set to be a contender for years.  (potential line-up rondo/roy/durant/Al/Perk  bench: delonte/ good-TA/ PP/ Gomes/ Powe/ Marc Gasol.  No bad contracts on the roster either since Raef's contract expired.  Tell me you don't think that roster would be a contender

Thanks for visiting the alternate reality, and enjoy the TP as a door prize!

It's important to learn from prior moves as we set out to reload/rebuild in the fairly near future, so I think it could be valuable to look at the picks that were traded for those veterans.  We gave up even more than you tallied:

Having Roy would've made trading for Ray unnecessary, so we'd have kept the pick that became Jeff Green, too(of course, it may not have been the #5 and JG, etc.).

Without KG either, then, we have the Rondo/Roy/PP/Al J/Perk starting 5, which looks pretty good, below KG-2008 level but moving in the right direction.  We may also have Jeff Green (or another stud) catching oops from Rondo, Roy, and PP.  AND we also would still have had Minny's 1st rounder (#6) that they used on Jonny Flynn, but we could've used o almost anyone (Curry?  Maynor?  Collison?  Taj Gibson?) and our own pick that Minny used on Wayne Ellington.

So with a Rondo/Roy/PP/Al/Perk starting 5, we'd still have tons of talent in Curry, Jeff Green, and Ellington coming off the bench, along with Gomes, TA, and some other pieces.

We would be different, and 2008 may not have been a title, but we'd be looking forward with excited anticipation to the next decade, rather than wondering how Danny will pull off the near-miracle it would take to make us contenders over that span, with neither high picks nor young talent to work with. 

If we learn anything from both the Ray and KG trades, it's that young talent is needed one way or another, to develop or to bait a trade.  Also, smart teams trade for talent, not contracts.
Thanks for catching the extras that I missed.  I wrote a novel so I knew I'd miss something.  I agree that had the Portland trade not happened and the C's used their picks for the next 2 years, the future would be looking very good right now.  we probably wouldn't have a title in 2008 but a very good chance for several in the next decade. 
I'm not sure PP gets traded as someone else stipulated.  having added Roy to help with the scoring burden and being able to draft another young stud the following year may have changed his mind--particularly if it was Durant.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #101 on: March 17, 2010, 09:46:55 AM »

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would coulda shoulda

What's done is done.  The question is, what now?  Do you try to remain a 40-45 win team for a few years, or do you blow it up as quickly as possible?  That's really the issue. The presumed lockout makes matters worse, because the big three will be getting older without bringing in any revenue.

Once again, I'm guessing that R.C. Buford in San Antonio will figure it out.  I'm not so sure about the Celtics.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #102 on: March 17, 2010, 12:41:54 PM »

Offline slamtheking

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would coulda shoulda

What's done is done.  The question is, what now?  Do you try to remain a 40-45 win team for a few years, or do you blow it up as quickly as possible?  That's really the issue. The presumed lockout makes matters worse, because the big three will be getting older without bringing in any revenue.

Once again, I'm guessing that R.C. Buford in San Antonio will figure it out.  I'm not so sure about the Celtics.
Sorry, went off on a tangent.

I personally prefer the rip off the bandaid approach you originally proposed as long as there's a plan to get the C's house back in order for contention within a few years.  Dumping players/contracts just hoping for a good bounce in the lottery is not a plan in my opinion.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #103 on: March 17, 2010, 01:07:23 PM »

Offline buzz

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would coulda shoulda

What's done is done.  The question is, what now?  Do you try to remain a 40-45 win team for a few years, or do you blow it up as quickly as possible?  That's really the issue. The presumed lockout makes matters worse, because the big three will be getting older without bringing in any revenue.

Once again, I'm guessing that R.C. Buford in San Antonio will figure it out.  I'm not so sure about the Celtics.

We don't have to pay them during the lockout. Assuming it goes for a full year, they wouldn't even be on the books.

Re: rebuilding trade
« Reply #104 on: March 17, 2010, 01:28:29 PM »

Offline wiley

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I added a 2011 first rounder going to Minny as I agree with those thinking it was imbalanced towards the Celtics, althouth one poster felt the opposite....

Rondo, Garnett, Perkins, 2010 first, 2011 first to Minny.

Jefferson, Hollins, Sessions, Brewer, Gomes, Rubio and Evan Turner to Celtics

(the entire deal is evan turner dependant...if he can't be had the trade is off)

It's a 3 for 5 swap in players, since Rubio and Turner aren't around yet...

Celtics resign Nate, Quis and Finley
Minny signs Ray Allen to cement their transition to winning instead of losing....

any takers?:  It's a rebuilding trade because the Celts record will be p--- poor for a few years, probably netting us 2 good draft picks in 2012 and 2013.

It's based on a backcourt of Rubio and Evans, with a nice small forward in Brewer.  And Al J.
The new big 3 would be Rubio, Evans and Al J.  We'll be a smart, talented team and should have no trouble enticing free agents to come here.....