Author Topic: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush  (Read 9515 times)

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Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #15 on: January 17, 2010, 11:48:37 AM »

Offline fanofgreen

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Take it from me.

I live in Indiana, and watch most of the pacers game on the local FSN network. The Pacers aren't going to let Brandon Rush go.

If they got an All-star or borderline all-star  player in return, they'd have to look into it.

But I live in Indiana, and they are not letting him go.

  I don't watch the Pacers much, but couldn't Walker or Giddens put up 8 points and 4 rebounds in 28 minutes a game? He seems to be a decent 3 point shooter but that looks like all he's good at (about 40% inside the arc, and only 42% of his inside shots). I mean he's probably better than JR or maybe Walker (who's 2 years younger) but who would offer an all-star or borderline all-star for him?

Here's the thing though, you're looking at the stats. Tony Allen is averaging roughly the same 8 and 4. But I guarantee you Larry Bird & the Pacers would feel insulted by a trade proposal of Tony Allen for Brandon Rush, and wouldn't even consider doing that deal. So its not about the stats.

I always say, when it comes to looking at stats; that its not about the stats, but how one goes about getting those stats.

The Pacers are very high on Rush, and his game is the reason why, not his stats.

  By the same token, though, Rondo might be considered an all-star or borderline all-star and I'm pretty sure Ainge would be just as insulted if the Pacers offered Rush for him. Sure, stats are just stats, but who's going to offer an all-star caliber player for a 24 year old sg who gets 7 points a game?

That's exacly my point!
No one (ok maybe if Isaiah Thomas was still a GM) would trade for him like that.
The Pacers would have to get something of an All-Star caliber player in order to agree to deal Rush, because thats how high they are on him. They believe he can be an All-star caliber type player some day.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #16 on: January 17, 2010, 11:55:55 AM »

Offline PLamb

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My guess is unless you are willing to take on TJ Ford's extra year at $8.5 million and provide a player that can slip into a sixth player role or starting role in Indiana, the idea of trading for Brandon Rush is just not going to happen
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Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #17 on: January 17, 2010, 12:35:51 PM »

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Thanks, fanofgreen, for the scoop in one of my fav non-green teams.

The media seems to have been reporting fairly consistently that Larry is prety keen on both cleaning up the image, playing hard, and looking forward to cap space.  Any chance they'd move Rush/Ford for expirings and swapping our 1st for their 2nd round pick this year, moving them up about 15 places (and getting us out of paying a salary for a rookie that won't play)?

Not that I'd want to pay Ford's salary for a backup PG, but at least the C's are in the title chase, and a Ford/Rush/Daniels/BBD/Sheed 2nd unit would be pretty cool (of course, 'Sheed's fat rear would be the trailer on the break....)

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #18 on: January 17, 2010, 01:00:33 PM »

Offline fanofgreen

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Thanks, fanofgreen, for the scoop in one of my fav non-green teams.

The media seems to have been reporting fairly consistently that Larry is prety keen on both cleaning up the image, playing hard, and looking forward to cap space.  Any chance they'd move Rush/Ford for expirings and swapping our 1st for their 2nd round pick this year, moving them up about 15 places (and getting us out of paying a salary for a rookie that won't play)?

Not that I'd want to pay Ford's salary for a backup PG, but at least the C's are in the title chase, and a Ford/Rush/Daniels/BBD/Sheed 2nd unit would be pretty cool (of course, 'Sheed's fat rear would be the trailer on the break....)

No prob. More Banners

I dont think Larry Legend does this deal for a variety of reasons:

Larry and the organization have made it no secret that they are wanting to part with TJ.
But pairing him in a deal with Rush is unlikely to happen. Along with Granger, Rush, and maybe Hibbert (starting to really turn a corner) are the only guys Larry will not "actively" shop on the roster.

I dont think our expirings are that enticing to give up Rush, from Larry's perspective. Our expirings aren't big contracts, so they really wouldn't open up a lot of cap space for the Pacers anyway. They would be more inclined to look and move Dunleavy or Murphy for an expiring, they have bigger contracts, which would obviously open up more space.

Also, I'm not sold on how deep this draft is going to be, so I have a hard time imagining Larry being influenced by draft picks being involved.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #19 on: January 17, 2010, 03:17:17 PM »

Offline byennie

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What am I missing here? Brandon Rush has been pretty horrible thus far in his career. I know numbers aren't everything, but 8PPG in 27 minutes? A PER under 9? (BTW, I'm not a fan overall of PER, but it does have SOME relevance when it's that low). He's an average rebounder for 6'6", a lousy free throw shooter who never gets to the line, can't pass... and he's already 24 from a major program (Kansas) so it's not like he's going to improve by leaps and bounds.

Basically he's supposed to be a great shooter who can defend, but in his first 115 games he's shooting a whopping 41/37/64.

Granted, Walker and Giddens aren't worth much either, but the idea that Rush would be worth a borderline all-star makes me think someone in Indiana is smoking some gooood (stuff).

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #20 on: January 17, 2010, 04:33:12 PM »

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Thanks, fanofgreen, for the scoop in one of my fav non-green teams.

The media seems to have been reporting fairly consistently that Larry is prety keen on both cleaning up the image, playing hard, and looking forward to cap space.  Any chance they'd move Rush/Ford for expirings and swapping our 1st for their 2nd round pick this year, moving them up about 15 places (and getting us out of paying a salary for a rookie that won't play)?

Not that I'd want to pay Ford's salary for a backup PG, but at least the C's are in the title chase, and a Ford/Rush/Daniels/BBD/Sheed 2nd unit would be pretty cool (of course, 'Sheed's fat rear would be the trailer on the break....)

No prob. More Banners

I dont think Larry Legend does this deal for a variety of reasons:

Larry and the organization have made it no secret that they are wanting to part with TJ.
But pairing him in a deal with Rush is unlikely to happen. Along with Granger, Rush, and maybe Hibbert (starting to really turn a corner) are the only guys Larry will not "actively" shop on the roster.

I dont think our expirings are that enticing to give up Rush, from Larry's perspective. Our expirings aren't big contracts, so they really wouldn't open up a lot of cap space for the Pacers anyway. They would be more inclined to look and move Dunleavy or Murphy for an expiring, they have bigger contracts, which would obviously open up more space.

Also, I'm not sold on how deep this draft is going to be, so I have a hard time imagining Larry being influenced by draft picks being involved.

Cool.  Truthfully, sometimes I have no idea why teams do the trades that happen, or avoid those that don't.  But here's what I ran:

Rush/Ford for TA, Giddens, Scal, and House.

And it worked.  No way the squeaky clean Pacers keep shady characters like TA and Giddens, so they get cut ASAP, leaving them with Scal and Eddie, who are both squeaky clean, and O'Brien kind of guys.  We'd be pretty much shooting our wad for these guys, and I'm really not sure it's the best deal that we could do, either...

But, Indiana would drop about $635K in salary THIS YEAR, saving about $1.2 million up front with the tax, plus a load of cash next year, assuming they'd have both Ford and Rush, that would be over $10 million in salary, plus tax...20 million?

I'm not sure I like Rush that much, but I'm pretty darn sure Larry doesn't, either, and it would be a way to fill 2 of our needs in one deal.  We'd have to sign a player to get back up to 13 on the roster, but could sign Lue for the minimum, non-guaranteed, in case something better happens.

Money seems to be a deciding factor these days, for what it's worth...

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #21 on: January 17, 2010, 04:39:33 PM »

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On the tax:  The ESPN trade machine suggests Indiana's payroll is over 90 million, so I inluded tax considerations...  I suppose they could be wrong?

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #22 on: January 17, 2010, 04:40:35 PM »

Offline Fafnir

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On the tax:  The ESPN trade machine suggests Indiana's payroll is over 90 million, so I inluded tax considerations...  I suppose they could be wrong?
I'm not sure what the trade machine is smoking then.

http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/pacers.jsp

Indiana is well under the luxury tax.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #23 on: January 17, 2010, 05:05:31 PM »

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On the tax:  The ESPN trade machine suggests Indiana's payroll is over 90 million, so I inluded tax considerations...  I suppose they could be wrong?
I'm not sure what the trade machine is smoking then.

http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/pacers.jsp

Indiana is well under the luxury tax.

Me either...broke down and did the math myself with their numbers, and it didn't add up.  That's what I get for avoiding math.  My teachers would be very disappointed...

Still, a .500 team waiting for 2011 should want to save 11 million in the meantime, although I'm not sure we'd want to spend it for those two.

Thanks for not using a red pen...gives me flashbacks.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #24 on: January 18, 2010, 12:06:37 AM »

Offline fanofgreen

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What am I missing here? Brandon Rush has been pretty horrible thus far in his career. I know numbers aren't everything, but 8PPG in 27 minutes? A PER under 9? (BTW, I'm not a fan overall of PER, but it does have SOME relevance when it's that low). He's an average rebounder for 6'6", a lousy free throw shooter who never gets to the line, can't pass... and he's already 24 from a major program (Kansas) so it's not like he's going to improve by leaps and bounds.

Basically he's supposed to be a great shooter who can defend, but in his first 115 games he's shooting a whopping 41/37/64.

Granted, Walker and Giddens aren't worth much either, but the idea that Rush would be worth a borderline all-star makes me think someone in Indiana is smoking some gooood (stuff).
You say numbers aren't everything but that's all you mention in your post.

you talk about his PER (i dont pay attention at all to this irrelevant stat), minutes, pts, height, free throws, number of games, you even mention his age.

If you say numbers dont mean everything, then how can you claim that Rush's career has been horrible so far. Seems like you clearly haven't watched anyPacers game's over the last 2 years.

If I didn't know anything about the Celtics, and I payed more attention  or just looked at the numbers for KG, I would be questioning who is smoking what in Boston. Kevin Garnett, only 15/7/2......34yrs old.....for  $24 million+?? Injuries??

But we all know, there are things KG brings to this team in particular that dont and cant be displayed by numbers and stats.

Same thing with Brandon Rush, he does things for the pacers in particular that dont and cant be shown through stats.  you'd have to watch multiple Pacers games to see why Larry and the rest of the organization is high on him.

I'm by no means saying he is the next, Dwyane Wade or anything, but for the pacers in particular he is a very very valuable piece.

Sometimes i think we as Celtics fans get slightly spoiled having so many good players on one team who all play a valuable role in the success the Celts have. That when we look at other teams players, who may only have 1  legitimate All-Star on the entire roster, we undervalue the non-All Star players to that team, because we compare them to what we(the celtics) have on our team.

What I'm saying is the pacers are going to want something of considerable value, in giving up their only young player with any upside.
« Last Edit: January 18, 2010, 12:16:12 AM by fanofgreen »

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #25 on: January 18, 2010, 12:32:26 AM »

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The Pacers overrate Brandon Rush's potential.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #26 on: January 18, 2010, 12:39:32 AM »

Offline fanofgreen

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The Pacers overrate Brandon Rush's potential.

You may be right, they probably do overrate Rush's potential, but it's because of that reason that they wont just trade him for basically nothing.

Joe Dumars overrated Darko's potential
Danny overrated Kedrick and Gerald's potential
Pacer overrated Croshere's potential
WIzards overrated Kwame's potential
Sixers overrated Sam Dalembert's potential
Joe Dumars overrated Amir Johnson's potential
Bulls overrated Tyrus Thomas's potential

I could go on and on....
It's the NBA, that tends to happen a lot.
This is nothing new

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #27 on: January 18, 2010, 02:26:15 AM »

Offline byennie

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You say numbers aren't everything but that's all you mention in your post.

you talk about his PER (i dont pay attention at all to this irrelevant stat), minutes, pts, height, free throws, number of games, you even mention his age.

Number aren't everything, but when your numbers are this terrible, there's a good chance you aren't very good. He's not an overwhelmed high schooler. He's played 115 NBA games and was supposed to be NBA ready as a rookie. He's been nothing short of awful.

If you say numbers dont mean everything, then how can you claim that Rush's career has been horrible so far. Seems like you clearly haven't watched anyPacers game's over the last 2 years.

Um, because they don't mean *everything*, but they do mean *a lot*. It takes an awful lot of intangibles to make up for bad stats. Running around for 25 MPG not scoring, not rebounding and not passing... you better be All-NBA defense material or you belong on the bench.

If I didn't know anything about the Celtics, and I payed more attention  or just looked at the numbers for KG, I would be questioning who is smoking what in Boston. Kevin Garnett, only 15/7/2......34yrs old.....for  $24 million+?? Injuries??

But we all know, there are things KG brings to this team in particular that dont and cant be displayed by numbers and stats.

Um, no. KG brought Boston a championship and he did it putting up big numbers. Try 18/9/3 with 3 blocks/steals in just 32 minutes per game plus All-NBA defense. 2 years later and yes, he's overpaid. But he's still a good player and puts up good numbers which still stack up favorably against young PFs like LaMarcus Aldridge or Michael Beasley.

We often like to glamorize the "intangibles" of players we like, but there is only so much that doesn't show up on the stat sheet. KG has put up some of the best *numbers* in NBA history. In short, he's nothing like Brandon Rush. Bad analogy.

Same thing with Brandon Rush, he does things for the pacers in particular that dont and cant be shown through stats.  you'd have to watch multiple Pacers games to see why Larry and the rest of the organization is high on him.

And what exactly are those things? Because it's not scoring, rebounding or passing. His defense is decent for a young player, but he's not exactly a stopper. He's certainly not a team leader. So what does he do, dive for a couple of balls? High-five with super efficiency? Catch fire once every 5th game? Fact is, he has potential. But his actual performance to date has been bad, and focusing on the few glimmers you get to see as a Pacers fan doesn't change that.

Sometimes i think we as Celtics fans get slightly spoiled having so many good players on one team who all play a valuable role in the success the Celts have. That when we look at other teams players, who may only have 1  legitimate All-Star on the entire roster, we undervalue the non-All Star players to that team, because we compare them to what we(the celtics) have on our team.

What I'm saying is the pacers are going to want something of considerable value, in giving up their only young player with any upside.

Brandon Rush doesn't stack up very well against 90% of the starters in the league. It's not just the Celtics.

Teams always value their underachieving young talent higher than any other team, because they are hoping to recoup some value, and they witness all the little flashes of brilliance along the way. Even Marcus Banks got 170+ games to prove himself in Boston. He was pretty good on a few individual nights, like when he snared 7 steals in one game. But overall, he has always be lousy.

Don't get me wrong, it's possible that he'll "figure it out" and end up being a good player. 15/6 and a defensive stopper is possible, even in the near future. HOWEVER, there's not getting around the fact that he's been very bad so far.


Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #28 on: January 18, 2010, 02:53:43 AM »

Offline fanofgreen

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You say numbers aren't everything but that's all you mention in your post.

you talk about his PER (i dont pay attention at all to this irrelevant stat), minutes, pts, height, free throws, number of games, you even mention his age.

Number aren't everything, but when your numbers are this terrible, there's a good chance you aren't very good. He's not an overwhelmed high schooler. He's played 115 NBA games and was supposed to be NBA ready as a rookie. He's been nothing short of awful.

If you say numbers dont mean everything, then how can you claim that Rush's career has been horrible so far. Seems like you clearly haven't watched anyPacers game's over the last 2 years.

Um, because they don't mean *everything*, but they do mean *a lot*. It takes an awful lot of intangibles to make up for bad stats. Running around for 25 MPG not scoring, not rebounding and not passing... you better be All-NBA defense material or you belong on the bench.

If I didn't know anything about the Celtics, and I payed more attention  or just looked at the numbers for KG, I would be questioning who is smoking what in Boston. Kevin Garnett, only 15/7/2......34yrs old.....for  $24 million+?? Injuries??

But we all know, there are things KG brings to this team in particular that dont and cant be displayed by numbers and stats.

Um, no. KG brought Boston a championship and he did it putting up big numbers. Try 18/9/3 with 3 blocks/steals in just 32 minutes per game plus All-NBA defense. 2 years later and yes, he's overpaid. But he's still a good player and puts up good numbers which still stack up favorably against young PFs like LaMarcus Aldridge or Michael Beasley.

We often like to glamorize the "intangibles" of players we like, but there is only so much that doesn't show up on the stat sheet. KG has put up some of the best *numbers* in NBA history. In short, he's nothing like Brandon Rush. Bad analogy.

Same thing with Brandon Rush, he does things for the pacers in particular that dont and cant be shown through stats.  you'd have to watch multiple Pacers games to see why Larry and the rest of the organization is high on him.

And what exactly are those things? Because it's not scoring, rebounding or passing. His defense is decent for a young player, but he's not exactly a stopper. He's certainly not a team leader. So what does he do, dive for a couple of balls? High-five with super efficiency? Catch fire once every 5th game? Fact is, he has potential. But his actual performance to date has been bad, and focusing on the few glimmers you get to see as a Pacers fan doesn't change that.

Sometimes i think we as Celtics fans get slightly spoiled having so many good players on one team who all play a valuable role in the success the Celts have. That when we look at other teams players, who may only have 1  legitimate All-Star on the entire roster, we undervalue the non-All Star players to that team, because we compare them to what we(the celtics) have on our team.

What I'm saying is the pacers are going to want something of considerable value, in giving up their only young player with any upside.

Brandon Rush doesn't stack up very well against 90% of the starters in the league. It's not just the Celtics.

Teams always value their underachieving young talent higher than any other team, because they are hoping to recoup some value, and they witness all the little flashes of brilliance along the way. Even Marcus Banks got 170+ games to prove himself in Boston. He was pretty good on a few individual nights, like when he snared 7 steals in one game. But overall, he has always be lousy.

Don't get me wrong, it's possible that he'll "figure it out" and end up being a good player. 15/6 and a defensive stopper is possible, even in the near future. HOWEVER, there's not getting around the fact that he's been very bad so far.



CLEARLY, I have been misinterpreted and misunderstood. The original post was asking, if the pacers would do a deal somewhere along the lines of TJ Ford and Rush for Tony and JR.

Me Living in Indiana, I gave my input, based on what I see in the Pacers games, and what I hear from Larry and the organization, what i read in the paper, and what is said by Coach o'brien.

In reference to the KG analogy, I used the numbers 15/7/2 because thats what he has avg. since Rush has been in the League. And if you read thoroughly, I said, "If I didnt know anything about the Celtics. and only looked at the numbers". I was only making a point about, only looking at numbers and nothing else. I was not comparing KG's numbers to Rush's.
I was making a point or an example of only looking at the numbers and nothing else, and then making an argument or decision based soley on those numbers, without investigating further into what those numbers mean. And the investigating in this case means, watching multiple Pacers games. and then forming a conclusion.

THe Analogy, was more about how a team values its players
Not, KG and Rush are the same caliber of players. That doesn't even make sense for anyone to write that.

I was responding and letting someone know, that  here in Indiana, The Pacers organization is high on Brandon Rush, and really believe in him. But when you look at his stats, they are similar to Tony Allen's. However Larry Bird would not do that trade, because Rush's value to the Pacers is more than what he provides stat-wise. Which is why they wouldn't do the deal that was proposed at the beginning of this thread topic.

I feel sorry for you, if you took the time to respond to a post you thought was about Brandon Rush being better or more valuable than Kevin Garnett. I would not have even responded to something crazy like that if it were me.

And most of all, I certainly wouldn't post anything like that, because Kevin Garnett is my favorite player, and always has been. Ever since He, Steph, and Googs were up in Minny. runnin' things.

Re: Trade idea to acquire Brandon Rush
« Reply #29 on: January 18, 2010, 06:36:23 AM »

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My take on Brandon Rush's current ability ...

  • A natural shooting guard who can play some small forward. Most of his minutes come at the two.
  • Good defender at both wing spots. Again, better as a two guard but above average at both (not a lockdown guy, but good, and has potential to improve).
  • Very good rebounder for a shooting guard and a good rebounding small forward.
    (1) There are only about half a dozen starting two guards who out-rebound Rush based on per minute rebounding or rebounding rate.
    (2) And according to ESPN's position-by-position filter he ranks 10th in overall per game rebounding amongst SGs + fifth in rebounding per minute.
    (3) His rebounding rate is the same as Dwyane Wade's and is pretty much the same (slightly higher) as Ginobili's + Kobe's + Joe Johnson's rebounding levels. All of whom are considered good rebounding SGs.
  • Brandon Rush is a good perimeter shooter who has knocked down 36.8% of his shots from downtown so far in his career. He is good at catch and shoots when moving off screens and very good as a stand still shooter. He's also a good athlete who runs the floor and finishes well in transition. The rest of scoring game is poor (doesn't get easy shots inside of 15 feet and finishes very poorly in the paint when shot is contested, decent enough penetrator for a role player but doesn't finish the play yet, never gets to the FT line which hurts his efficiency greatly) and his passing is non-existent (team first player, just not a gifted passer, will become a James Jones like passer given time).

Brandon Rush is a good player. He plays good defense + is a good rebounder + is a good shooter + able to play two positions at a good level. All useful qualities that add to a team.

He is a very good complementary (role) player with the capacity to become an excellent role player once he gets more comfortable offensively and starts improving his overall scoring efficiency (TS% is poor-to-very poor) ... which would instantly improve (likely to a mediocre or a near mediocre level) if he was on a better team alongside players who can create easier shooting/scoring opportunities for him.