after beltre signing there isn't a chance.
Redsox will probably wait it out till he is a free agent in a couple of years and try to sign him to a texeira like deal.
How do you figure? There was no chance be was being traded before the season anyways, but the 1 year contract for Beltre I think makes it even more likely the Sox go after AGon. Because the contract is so short, it does not tie them down, and shows their intent to try to upgrade the corner infield spots before 2011.
I think they do everything they possibly can to get Gonzalez at the deadline, and if they do, they send Beltre to another team for some prospects, as either part of the AGon deal, or to offset it a bit. With the one year deal, Beltre will be very tradable if another contender is looking for a third baseman.
my thinking is this: if we have a team that is on pace to win 100 games, the front office is not going to make a deadline deal trading away three prime players...they are more likely to ride it out and keep the young guys....
I really don't think you have been paying attention to the Theo regime. With him, there have been two constants. First, he is never afraid to pull the trigger (or not pull it) on a deal at any time, no matter what the situation. Second, he goes harder after his "binkies" than any GM in pro sports. Whether it was JD Drew, Julio Lugo, or Mike Cameron. He always finds a way to get them. And one thing that has been incredibly clear for a long time now, is that AGon is one of those Binkies. Theo has reportedly been following him closely since his days in the minors, and nearly traded for him once before.
Now, perhaps things won't work out, because the Sox will be outbid, or San Diego will decide they are better off keeping their home town hero. But the idea that the Sox will simply give up on the search because they are on a good pace during the season is ridiculous IMO.
You and nick are posing this in a very abstract way...."If Theo thinks a move will make the team better, he's not afraid to make the move..."
My problem with Theo isn't a fear of making moves, it's recognizing what the need is.
You have suggested that Theo has been after the big bat....all I'm doing is noting that what has actually gotten done on the big bat front is to not actually get the big bat....after several attempts now (not to mention two less than satisfying playoff runs).
in fact, this offseason, not only have we not gotten the big bat, but we haven't even kept the big bat we had and instead ushered in a whole new philosophy that moves away from the big bat and toward pitching and defense...
Again, my point about not making a move during the season with a 100 win team isn't that Theo would be afraid to make a move for a big bat under those circumstances, but that he wouldn't consider that move (one for a big bat) an improvement.
remember, we would be trading something like Buch, Ells, and Kelly to get a deal done....my concern is that Theo will be satisfied with his 100 win team thinking they are good enough to win a WS as constructed and not be willing to part with the prospects to get an A-Gon...
and that's why I'm not crazy about this Beltre move. It de-emphasizes the need for A-Gon by putting out on the field a team that will do well during the regular season, but not have the pop in the lineup for the postseason...something that has happened two postseasons in a row now.