The Ariza signing was weird given that they have Battier already, and I don't see playing the two of them together as making a lot of sense. Has there been any real word on Yao's status? Sounds like at one time that his injury was career-threatening, or at least threatened to make him a Walton-esque figure for the rest of his playing days.
I think they'll play hard and be competitive, but it's hard to see how they're anything more than a 7 or 8 seed at best. Definately intriguing, though, because they don't have a ton of salary on the books after this year. As per Hoopshype, looks like they'd have about $30M committed next season IF they traded Battier for expiring deals - leaving them plenty to pursue a high-caliber free agent (and Bosh *is* a Texas guy).
They also might sit tight and wait until 2011, at which point they have no contracts of significance other than Ariza. Still, seems like if they COULD push for a major free agent next summer, AND Battier is rendered redundant by the addition of Ariza, Battier might be available for the right price. Since every other team in the league would also love to add Battier to their roster, the price will have to be more than just expiring contracts, which is where we fall short.