Remember, we also have to present the best offer on the table:
By my estimation, the following seven teams will have cap room to throw around:
Thunder
Grizzlies
Pistons
Hawks
Wolves
Blazers
Toronto
Detroit is the team that could screw up everyone else's free agency plans. They have a respected GM, 2 veteran players (Hamilton, Prince), some respected young pieces (Stuckey, Maxiell), and they have a lot of money to throw around: about 22 million minus whatever Maxiell's extension was worth.
Atlanta has some room, but I think that will quickly disappear as they keep Marvin Williams and, since they'll really need a point guard, either blow the rest overbidding on Felton or spend it on keeping Bibby.
Minnesota will have a small amount of room, but I wouldn't be surprised to see them wait for Mike MIller to expire and combine all that space for 2010.
Toronto could have about 10 million if they let o'bryant and Graham go. I could see either of 2 paths for them: they could wait until 2010 and try to get a guy in case Bosh walks or they could blow it now in an effort to keep Bosh happy through next year.
Grizzlies are notoriously cheap.
Thunder are unpredictable. They have about 13 million to spare, but Presti seems to be very cautious, and I don't see them weighing themselves down with big long contracts that would inhibit their ability to afford to keep Durant, Green and Westbrook together.
Blazers will have about 5 million if they let Frye walk. They're a playoff team and have a ton of money coming off the books in 2010, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them overbid for a useful guy now.
So looking at that, I'd say that Detroit, Portland, and Toronto are all in a position to outbid us for similar players. This makes me think that younger, restricted free agents like Gortat are an impossibility, as the Celtics would not only need to outbid the player's current team, which can match any offer, but also outbid any interested team with space. Also, the Celtics need to decide if they are going after one main MLE type free agent and some little pieces, or 2-3 equal lower MLE types.
Some of the main MLE types include:
Pachulia
Felton
Artest
Marion
Gordon, Possibly
One team whose restricted free agents might be able to be had is New York's, since they are supposedly waiting for 2010. I don't know if Toronto would throw the whole book at him, or Portland either; would New York match if Boston threw the full MLE at him? Would you do that, knowing that you would have to fill in the backup wing spot with vet min contracts? Of course, if you already had Hill signed for the min., then no problem. Who knows.
Last year I said my dream free agency would have been to add Dooling/Pietrus/Andersen. Looks pretty good in retrospect.
This year, we'll see. If you could come away with Hill and Lee, that would be great. Let Baby walk, save that money. I'm looking for a backup ball handler (Hill could run the point forward), and some athleticism in the frontcourt, and some backup 2/3. If you could get Hill and Sheed on small deals, do it. I also wouldn't mind seeing Wilcox here for a couple million a year; I think the Celtics miss a guy that can dunk with ease near the hoop and run the floor for some easy transition baskets. I'd love Ariza, but he'll probably be kept by LA. Is Andre Miller ready for a pay cut?We'll see.